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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 13)

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    vinichelsea
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    #1204310353

    I didn’t see “Passing” on Sundance (I’ve read the book), however I know people who saw it and all of them believe Tessa Thompson, Ruth Negga and Andre Holland are all Oscar worthy.

    Then again, this “not the Oscar thing” is silly because the campaign is what makes the movie an oscar thing. It may not be the winner but if it was purchased by non other than NETFLIX soon after Sundance then there is no reason to believe they’ll not work on it.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204310361

    I didn’t see “Passing” on Sundance (I’ve read the book), however I know people who saw it and all of them believe Tessa Thompson, Ruth Negga and Andre Holland are all Oscar worthy. Then again, this “not the Oscar thing” is silly because the campaign is what makes the movie an oscar thing. It may not be the winner but if it was purchased by non other than NETFLIX soon after Sundance then there is no reason to believe they’ll not work on it.

    Yeah, but I don’t know of anyone who absolutely loves the movie as a movie. If there were more people who absolutely loved it, I would consider it a lot more. But I don’t really think that Netflix has all that much confidence in the film.

    Oscar winners Emerald Fennell Daniel Kaluuya and Youn Yuh-jung

    #StopAsianHate

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    Croman
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    #1204310366

    I didn’t see “Passing” on Sundance (I’ve read the book), however I know people who saw it and all of them believe Tessa Thompson, Ruth Negga and Andre Holland are all Oscar worthy. Then again, this “not the Oscar thing” is silly because the campaign is what makes the movie an oscar thing. It may not be the winner but if it was purchased by non other than NETFLIX soon after Sundance then there is no reason to believe they’ll not work on it.

    I actually think Netflix buying Passing was a bad thing to happen to it because it will most likely get buried underneath their bigger contenders like Don’t Look Up and The Power of the Dog.

    I wouldn’t say Andre Holland is Oscar-worthy in it lol I don’t really remember his performance and Tessa Thompson is very good but for a lead actress nomination, it’s too small and she is overshadowed by Negga in my opinion.

    Just look at the reception on Letterboxd compared to something like Mass, it does not elicit the same passionate response as the latter does.

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    George Ehret
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    Sep 3rd, 2019
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    #1204310539

    I’ve seen a lot of other people do it, so I’ll post my entire predictions and y’all can judge as y’all please. Winners for each category are in bold.

    BEST PICTURE
    Don’t Look Up
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    A Hero
    The Humans
    Last Night in Soho
    Nightmare Alley
    Soggy Bottom
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom
    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley
    Asghar Farhadi – A Hero
    Denis Villeneuve – Dune
    Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho

    BEST ACTOR
    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley
    Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up
    Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon
    Will Smith – King Richard
    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST ACTRESS
    Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Ana de Armas – Blonde
    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci
    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Martha Plimpton – Mass

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom
    Andrew Garfield – The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Richard Jenkins – The Humans
    Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog
    Benny Safdie – Soggy Bottom

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Toni Collette – Nightmare Alley
    Ariana DeBose – West Side Story
    Ann Dowd – Mass
    Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans
    Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    Dune
    The Humans
    Nightmare Alley
    The Power of the Dog
    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    Don’t Look Up
    The French Dispatch
    A Hero
    Last Night in Soho
    Soggy Bottom

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
    Encanto
    Flee
    Luca
    The Mitchells vs the Machines
    Where is Anne Frank?

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    Last Night in Soho
    Nightmare Alley
    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN
    Cruella
    The French Dispatch
    House of Gucci
    Last Night in Soho
    West Side Story

    BEST FILM EDITING
    Don’t Look Up
    Dune
    Nightmare Alley
    Soggy Bottom
    West Side Story

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
    Blonde
    Dune
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    The French Dispatch
    House of Gucci

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    The Humans
    Nightmare Alley
    West Side Story

    BEST SCORE
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    Nightmare Alley
    The Power of the Dog
    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST SONG
    Annette
    Encanto
    In the Heights
    No Time to Die
    West Side Story

    BEST SOUND
    Dune
    The Humans
    Nightmare Alley
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
    Bios
    Dune
    Eternals
    Godzilla vs Kong
    Shang-chi: The Legend of the 10 Rings

    Oscar winners Emerald Fennell Daniel Kaluuya and Youn Yuh-jung

    #StopAsianHate

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    Croman
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    #1204310598

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog 

    How come some of y’all are just predicting Plemons to get an acting nomination for The Power of the Dog and not the other 2? I haven’t read the book but from the people who have read it they say his character is the least “interesting” out of the 3 main players so how does Plemons get in and not Cumberbatch and Dunst. It’d be like if Laura Dern got in for Marriage Story without Driver and Johannson.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204310604

    How come some of y’all are just predicting Plemons to get an acting nomination for The Power of the Dog and not the other 2? I haven’t read the book but from the people who have read it they say his character is the least “interesting” out of the 3 main players so how does Plemons get in and not Cumberbatch and Dunst. It’d be like if Laura Dern got in for Marriage Story without Driver and Johannson.

    I don’t know anything about the book, I’m just going out on a limb and I have a hunch that this movie is not gonna be very accessible…

    Oscar winners Emerald Fennell Daniel Kaluuya and Youn Yuh-jung

    #StopAsianHate

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    Piper Halliwell
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    #1204310650

    BEST PICTURE
    Don’t Look Up
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    A Hero
    The Humans
    Last Night in Soho
    Nightmare Alley
    Soggy Bottom
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom
    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley
    Asghar Farhadi – A Hero
    Denis Villeneuve – Dune
    Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho

    BEST ACTOR
    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley
    Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up
    Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon
    Will Smith – King Richard
    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST ACTRESS
    Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Ana de Armas – Blonde
    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci
    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Martha Plimpton – Mass

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom
    Andrew Garfield – The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Richard Jenkins – The Humans
    Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog
    Benny Safdie – Soggy Bottom

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Toni Collette – Nightmare Alley
    Ariana DeBose – West Side Story
    Ann Dowd – Mass
    Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans
    Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up

    This would be such a white lineup, I’m not sure that such list is possible in this current era of awards shows. The all-white, mostly young Supporting Actor predictions seems pretty wild of an idea, and honestly, Cooper getting in twice would be an overkill.

    I’m pretty sure we’ll get a more diverse list to be honest. 🙂

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    Sir Pierce
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    Feb 7th, 2019
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    #1204310654

    This would be such a white lineup, I’m not sure that such list is possible in this current era of awards shows. The all-white, mostly young Supporting Actor predictions seems pretty wild of an idea, and honestly, Cooper getting in twice would be an overkill. I’m pretty sure we’ll get a more diverse list to be honest. 🙂

    I don’t know…. I mean, he is working with two of the best working directors in the modern-age. He’s the full-lead in Nightmare Alley – the whole film revolves around him and he’s playing a baity part. It’s in a similar line to his A Star Is Born role in that it’s an alcoholic, but I get the impression it won’t be a “rock n roll” type performance and more the kind of sleazy and smooth kind of character – in between his roles in American Hustle and The Hangover, I think. And in Soggy Bottom, he appears to be playing a role in the line of the one Burt Reynolds did in Boogie Nights (which almost won an Oscar), with him playing a film director/producer, albeit with a bit more youth and the typical Bradley Cooper intensity (based on the set pictures, where his shirt is stained with blood).

    Also, I wouldn’t be surprised, in general, if it was a bit less diverse this year, based on the directors and some of the films coming out. But I think it will be more diverse than the predictions.

    A very annoying young man, who loves cinema. 🙂

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/pierce_sir
    Letterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/11higuys/

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    Calvin
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    Dec 27th, 2017
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    #1204310661

    I think last year might’ve spoilt me a bit much but I’m really hoping we have diverse acting lineups again this year from unexpected places.

    Still celebrating Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

    FYC Emmys: The Underground Railroad

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    Crackleking
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    Jan 12th, 2017
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    #1204310761

    Here’s my Bold Predictions

    Best Picture
    Nightmare Alley
    Next Goal Wins
    The French Dispatch
    Soggy Bottom
    A Hero
    Don’t Look Up
    The Humans
    The Power of the Dog
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    Best Director
    Adam Mckay – Don’t Look Up
    Asghar Farhadi – A Hero
    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley
    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom
    Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch

    Best Actor
    Amir Jadidi- A Hero
    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley
    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up
    Michael Fassbender – Next Goal Wins

    Best Actress
    Ana De Armas – Blonde
    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley
    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Jennifer Hudson – Respect
    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci

    Best Supporting Actor
    Adrian Brody – Blonde
    Benny Safdie – Soggy Bottom
    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom
    Jared Leto – House of Gucci
    Richard Jenkins – The Humans

    Best Supporting Actress
    Ann Dowd – Mass
    Jane Houydyshell – The Humans
    Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up
    Sarina Farhadi – A Hero
    Toni Collette – Nightmare Alley

    Best Original Screenplay
    A Hero
    Don’t Look Up
    The French Dispatch
    Mass
    Soggy Bottom

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Next Goal Wins
    Nightmare Alley
    The Humans
    The Power of the Dog
    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Best Animated Feature
    Encanto
    Flee
    Luca
    The Mitchells vs the Machines
    Where is Anne Frank?

    Best Cinematography
    Dune
    Nightmare Alley
    Soggy Bottom
    The French Dispatch
    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Best Production Design
    Dune
    Nightmare Alley
    Soggy Bottom
    The French Dispatch
    West Side Story

    Best Costume Design
    Cruella
    House of Gucci
    The French Dispatch
    Nightmare Alley
    West Side Story

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling
    House of Gucci
    Nightmare Alley
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    The French Dispatch
    West Side Story

    Best Original Score
    Dune
    Nightmare Alley
    The French Dispatch
    The Power of the Dog
    Tragedy of Macbeth

    Best Film Editing
    A Hero
    Don’t Look Up
    Next Goal Wins
    Nightmare Alley
    The French Dispatch

    Best Sound
    Dune
    Nightmare Alley
    The Humans
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Top Gun: Maverick

    Best Visual Effects:
    Bios
    Dune
    Eternals
    Godzilla vs Kong
    The Matrix 4

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    Champs12
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    #1204310847

    Diversity just for the sake of it its annoying imo. If a white lead movie is better than the Black lead movie, that should be the one nominated. If the black led movie is better than the white lead movie, then it should be nominated. Ive been getting a feeling that diversity is destroying Hollywood. So much for diversity but then no one shows up to support the movie. If ITH was a franchise, u cant make a sequel just for the sake of latino representation. The movie is doing terribly

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204310875

    There’s isn’t much black led movies in the awards season this year TBH. That’s why I believe either Passing or The Harder They Fall will be a BP contender.

    Respect and King Richard seems like acting contenders at best. And I doubt King Richard will be good in the first place.

    The Tragedy of MacBeth has Denzel Washington, Corey Hawkins, Moses Ingram and Sean Patrick Thomas

    West Side Story has Rachel Zegler and Ariana DeBose

    And A Hero is a movie that takes place in middle eastern.

    Ana de Armas is white, but she is latino. Latino representation matters, even if they’re still white.

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    George Ehret
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    Sep 3rd, 2019
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    #1204310943

    This would be such a white lineup, I’m not sure that such list is possible in this current era of awards shows. The all-white, mostly young Supporting Actor predictions seems pretty wild of an idea, and honestly, Cooper getting in twice would be an overkill. I’m pretty sure we’ll get a more diverse list to be honest. 🙂

    I would like for that to be true… but let’s not kid ourselves this is the Academy. Yes, it’s younger, yes there are more people of color, but they’re still mostly white. And now they’re not even adding as many people to their membership as they’ve done the past few years in a row. And someone said that there’s not as many black-led films this year that can get attention. I doubt that Netflix has confidence in The Harder They Fall or Passing, and King Richard and Respect are movies that are solely acting contenders. I probably should be putting one of the actors from A Hero but I’m confused as to who’s playing who and I wanna hear from people who see the film before I do that. Blue Bayou is a possibility and I’ve been more seriously considering that. But yeah, it’s never a good idea to rely on the Academy to be more diverse. They had the perfect opportunity last year to give all four Acting awards to people of color and they didn’t. They had the opportunity to give both Screenplay awards to women and they didn’t. They only go for diversity when they want to. It’s sad, but it’s true.

    Oscar winners Emerald Fennell Daniel Kaluuya and Youn Yuh-jung

    #StopAsianHate

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    Jajajajjaja
    Joined:
    Oct 16th, 2020
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    #1204310947

    June prediction:

    Best Picture:

    Canterbury Glass
    House of Gucci
    The Last Duel
    Passing
    The Power of the Dog
    The French Dispatch
    Last Night in Soho
    Nightmare Alley
    Soggy Bottom
    West Side Story

    Best Director:

    Edgar Wright- Last Night in Soho
    Paul Thomas Anderson-Soggy Bottom
    Wes Anderson-The French Dispatch
    Guillermo Del Toro-Nightmare Alley
    Joel Coen-The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Best Actor:

    Christian Bale-Canterbury Glass
    Denzel Washington-The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Will Smith-King Richard
    Leonardo DiCaprio- Don’t Look Up
    Adam Driver-House of Gucci

    Best Actress:

    Cate Blanchett-Nightmare Alley
    Tessa Thompson-Passing
    Lady Gaga-House of Gucci
    Margot Robbie-Canterbury Glass
    Ana De Armas-Blonde

    Best S. Actor:

    Richard Jenkins-Nightmare Alley
    Bradley Cooper- Soggy Bottom
    Willem Dafoe-The Card Counter
    John David Washington- Canterbury Glass
    Andrew Garfield-The Eyes of Tammy Faye

    Best S. Actress:

    Anya Taylor Joy-Last Night in Soho
    Ruth Negga-Passing
    Toni Collette-Nightmare Alley
    Zoe Saldana-Canterbury Glass
    Meryl Streep-Don’t Look Up

    Best Original Screenplay:

    Last Night in Soho
    The French Dispatch
    Don’t Look Up
    C’mon C’mon
    Soggy Bottom

    Best Adapted Screenplay:

    The Power of the Dog
    Nightmare Alley
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Dune

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    mitchellfleming21
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    Jan 23rd, 2017
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    #1204311028

    https://deadline.com/2021/06/christoph-waltz-willem-dafoe-walter-hill-western-dead-for-dollar-1234778568/

    So, Christoph Waltz and Willem Dafoe are gonna star in a Walter Hill western together. I know it’ll be for 22/23, but are we all in agreement that it’s not gonna be an Oscars movie at all like most westerns nowadays or does anyone think this could be more akin to Django Unchained? It sounds like it’ll lightly touch on some social aspects, but I see it being more action based and less high-brow. Sounds like it could be incredible though!

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