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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 2)

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    Jajajajjaja
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    #1203993528

    Maybe? One of The Northman and Last Night in SoHo WILL be Focus’ priority. The question is which. <i>The Northman </i>feels more inaccessible so I am a bit wary but I expect it will premiere at Venice and <i>Last Night in SoHo </i>will go to Berlin (and if it’s release date is delayed) Cannes. Or they both go to Venice and Anya Taylor-Joy is the talk of the festival like Kirby was this year haha.

     

    Speaking of accesibility, they have one more release this year which is Stillwater (about legal crime drama thingy). IMO, it sounds more accesible from either SoHo or Northman. The question is its award trajectory.

     

    Matt Damon already had Last Duel and probably will campaign there with 20th Century rather than in Stillwater unless focus frauded him into supporting and Abigail Breslin, despite being an Academy Award nominee has been losing her buzz last couple years. By far McKenzie and Anya are far more promising to be competitive in Awards season than Breslin as for now

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    wolfali
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    #1203993689

    Speaking of accesibility, they have one more release this year which is Stillwater (about legal crime drama thingy). IMO, it sounds more accesible from either SoHo or Northman.

    Stillwater seems to have no pre-buzz at the minute. I don’t know I feel like it’s another Dark Waters.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Miles
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    #1203993909

    Very Early Acting Predictions!

    Best Actor

    1. Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    2. Adam Driver, Annette (Amazon)/The Last Duel (20th Century)
    3. Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    4. Christian Bale, Amsterdam (20th Century)
    5. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog (Netflix)/Louis Wain (Amazon)

    6. Matt Damon, The Last Duel (20th Century)/Stillwater (Focus)
    7. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)
    8. Jonathan Majors, The Harder They Fall (Netflix)
    9. Andrew Garfield, Tick, Tick… Boom! (Netflix)
    10. Harry Styles, Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros)

    Best Actress

    1. Margot Robbie, Amsterdam (20th Century)
    2. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    3. Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up (Netflix)/Red, White, and Water (A24)
    4. Marion Cotillard, Annette (Amazon)
    5. Ana de Armas, Blonde (Netflix)

    6. Rachel Zegler, West Side Story (20th Century)
    7. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)
    8. Angelina Jolie, Those Who Wish Me Dead (Warner Bros)
    9. Jennifer Hudson, Respect (MGM)
    10. Florence Pugh, Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros)

    Best Supporting Actress

    1. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
    2. Jodie Comer, The Last Duel (20th Century)
    3. Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    4. Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    5. Regina King, The Harder They Fall (Netflix)

    6. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (20th Century)
    7. Anya Taylor-Joy, Amsterdam (20th Century)/The Northman (Focus)
    8. Nicole Kidman, The Northman (Focus)
    9. Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    10. Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans (A24)

    Best Supporting Actor

    1. Willem Dafoe, Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)/The Northman (Focus)
    2. Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom (MGM)
    3. Idris Elba, The Harder They Fall (Netflix)
    4. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
    5. John David Washington, Amsterdam (20th Century)

    6. Rami Malek, Amsterdam (20th Century)
    7. Brian Tyree Henry, Red, White, and Water (A24)
    8. Ethan Hawke, The Northman (Focus)
    9. Ben Affleck, The Last Duel (20th Century)
    10. Richard Jenkins, The Humans (A24)/Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

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    Stank83
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    #1203993936

    I’m also not buying into it. Adam McKay hasn’t had any awards success outside of biopics, and if it is a true comedy I am nowhere near as convinced it’s even a contender as everyone else.

    It’s not a broad comedy like Anchorman or Step Brothers.
    It’s been literally described as a dark political satire in the vein of Dr. Strangelove, Network, and Wag The Dog.
    This is the type of stuff Academy voters eat up.

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    ahmad769
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    #1203994195

    Colin Farrell will get his first nomination either from kogonada’s movie or from neil burger’s one

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    mansos
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    #1203994261

    Updated predictions:

     

    BEST PICTURE

    • Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)
    • Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    • Dune (Warner Bros.)
    • The French Dispatch (Searchlight Pictures) *
    • Nightmare Alley (Searchlight Pictures)
    • The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
    • Soggy Bottom (MGM)
    • Stillwater (Focus Features)
    • Three Thousand Years of Longing (MGM)
    • The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    BEST DIRECTOR

    • Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch *
    • Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    • George Miller, Three Thousand Years of Longing
    • Guillermo del Toro, Nightmare Alley
    • Denis Villeneuve, Dune

    BEST LEADING ACTRESS

    • Ana de Armas, Blonde *
    • Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up
    • Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    • Florence Pugh, Don’t Worry Darling
    • Margot Robbie, Amsterdam

    BEST LEADING ACTOR

    • Christian Bale, Amsterdam
    • Matt Damon, Stillwater
    • Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
    • Adam Driver, Annette *
    • Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    • Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley *
    • Abigail Breslin, Stillwater
    • Jodie Comer, The Last Duel
    • Marion Cotillard, Annette
    • Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    • Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom *
    • Idris Elba, The Harder They Fall
    • Tom Hanks, Elvis
    • Richard Jenkins, Nightmare Alley
    • John David Washington, Amsterdam

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    • Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch *
    • Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom
    • Tom McCarthy, Noé Debré & Thomas Bidegain, Stillwater
    • Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
    • Katie Silberman, Carey Van Dyke & Shane Van Dyke, Don’t Worry Darling

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    • Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog *
    • Matt Damon, Ben Affleck & Nicole Holofcener, The Last Duel
    • Rebecca Hall, Passing
    • Guillermo del Toro & Kim Morgan, Nightmare Alley
    • Taika Waititi & Iain Morris, Next Goal Wins

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    • Bruno Delbonnel, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    • Greig Fraser, Dune
    • Dan Laustsen, Nightmare Alley *
    • John Seale, Three Thousand Years of Longing
    • Robert D. Yeoman, The French Dispatch

    BEST EDITING

    • Hank Corwin, Don’t Look Up
    • Tom McArdle, Stillwater
    • Margaret Sixel, Three Thousand Years of Longing *
    • Joe Walker, Dune
    • Andrew Weisblum, The French Dispatch

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    • Fiona Crombie & Alice Felton, Cruella
    • Stefan Dechant & Nancy Haigh, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    • Roger Ford & Lisa Thompson, Three Thousand Years of Longing
    • Adam Stockhausen & Rena DeAngelo, The French Dispatch *
    • Patrice Vermette, Richard Roberts & Zsuzsanna Sipos, Dune

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    • Kirsty Cameron, The Power of the Dog
    • Milena Canonero, The French Dispatch
    • Arianne Phillips, Don’t Worry Darling *
    • Luis Sequeira, Nightmare Alley
    • Mary Zophres, The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

    • Carter Burwell, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    • Alexandre Desplat, The French Dispatch
    • Jonny Greenwood, Soggy Bottom
    • Hildur Guðnadóttir, Amsterdam
    • Hans Zimmer, Dune *

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    • Dune *
    • Eternals
    • The Matrix 4
    • No Time to Die
    • Three Thousand Years of Longing

     

    Speculated winners with an *

     

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    Magnus
    Joined:
    Jan 20th, 2020
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    #1203994396

    Don’t take these seriously. At this point it’s just for fun.

    Picture:
    1. Newsflash
    2. Nightmare Alley
    3. The Power of the Dog
    4. Dune
    5. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    6. Don’t Look Up
    7. Last Night in Soho
    8. Next Goal Wins
    9. The French Dispatch
    10. Amsterdam

    Director:
    1. Denis Villeneuve, Dune
    2. Guillermo Del Toro, Nightmare Alley
    3. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    4. Alfonso Gomez-Rejon, Newsflash
    5. Joel Coen, The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Actress:
    1. Ana de Armas, Blonde
    2. Lady Gaga, The House of Gucci
    3. Margot Robbie, Amsterdam
    4. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    5. Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up

    Actor:
    1. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    2. Christian Bale, Amsterdam
    3. Chris Pine, Newsflash
    4. Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
    5. Michael Fassbender, Next Goal Wins

    Supporting Actress:
    1. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
    2. Diana Rigg, Last Night in Soho
    3. Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley
    4. Rebecca Fergusson, Dune
    5. Elisabeth Moss, Next Goal Wins

    Supporting Actor:
    1. Willem Dafoe, Nightmare Alley
    2. Adam Driver, The House of Gucci
    3. Mark Ruffalo, Newsflash
    4. Richard Jenkins, Nightmare Alley
    5. Michael Shannon, Amsterdam

    Original Screenplay:
    1. Newsflash
    2. Last Night in Soho
    3. Don’t Look Up
    4. The French Dispatch
    5. Nine Days

    Adapted Screenplay:
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. Nightmare Alley
    3. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    4. Next Goal Wins
    5. Dune

    Cinematography:
    1. Nightmare Alley
    2. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    3. Dune
    4. The French Dispatch
    5. The Northman

    Editing:
    1. Last Night in Soho
    2. Newsflash
    3. Dune
    4. Don’t Look Up
    5. Nightmare Alley

    Production Design:
    1. Dune
    2. The French Dispatch
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    5. Newsflash

    Costume Design:
    1. Dune
    2. Nightmare Alley
    3. The French Dispatch
    4. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    5. West Side Story

    Original Score:
    1. Dune
    2. The French Dispatch
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    5. No Time to Die

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    tsc
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    Jan 6th, 2020
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    #1203995272

    Last Night in Soho has been pushed to October 22

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    ENGLAND
    Joined:
    Oct 5th, 2011
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    #1203995275

    Halle Berry will win Best Actress 20 years after her historical win.

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    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203995279

    Last Night in Soho has been pushed to October 22

    This is actually better for it. Not only does it give the opportunity of a stronger box office but it also gives it the opportunity of more memorability and recency in the awards season.

    It’s reminding me of how Focus gave <i>Promising Young Woman </i>a December release date.

    Edgar and Anya are coming to collect their things!

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Jajajajjaja
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    #1203995319

    This is actually better for it. Not only does it give the opportunity of a stronger box office but it also gives it the opportunity of more memorability and recency in the awards season. It’s reminding me of how Focus gave <i>Promising Young Woman </i>a December release date. Edgar, McKenzie and Anya are coming to collect their things!

     

    Fixed it for You!!

     

    Its Obvious from the start that this will be purposed for Awards season, not just a Box Office Cashgrab. Previously it was slated for September 2020. Now it also has the chance to become Box Office Success compared to previous release date which will face tough competition from another horror movie. Now Focus has two movies to campaign for at awards season (Northman and Soho, three if you count Stillwater in but Northman and Soho looks more promising).

    On the side note, Edgar Wright failed to snatch his BP and Director nomination for 2018 Oscars was caused by Kevin Spacey. Baby Driver had a lot of buzz for BP and director if im not mistaken.

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    wolfali
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    #1203995343

    Fixed it for You!!

    Yes McKenzie too (although I am really excited about Anya in this more haha)!

    What helps Wright at the moment is he is pushing this pro movie theatre experience (without getting into controversy) and this film is apparently meant to be an ode to both horror cinema and vintage cinema. Whether it’s direct campaigning or not he is charming people!

     

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Miss
    Joined:
    Apr 1st, 2018
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    #1203995346

    When is Nightbitch filming?? Need a Damy campaign STAT

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    Ash
    Joined:
    Jan 31st, 2017
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    #1203995348

    It’s not a broad comedy like Anchorman or Step Brothers. It’s been literally described as a dark political satire in the vein of Dr. Strangelove, Network, and Wag The Dog. This is the type of stuff Academy voters eat up.

    A political satire  comedy about an Astronaut going on a world tour to warn about an deadly asteroid is coming to possibly end the world wants no Oscars. I’m a big Adam McKay fan will be a masterpiece  i can tell in the fun to watch movie type of way like other McKay films but this movie is not what the academy touches its a just for entertainment movie which is not what Oscars even touch. This political satire comedy is also si fi with them genres and the plot under Adam McKay’s direction ya will entertaining but not to academy members.

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    Jajajajjaja
    Joined:
    Oct 16th, 2020
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    #1203995368

    EMERALD

    I wonder if “Old” could kill McKenzie buzz for SoHo since it came out before SoHo (Summer 2021)

     

    I mean, Shyamalan is a hit or miss. It could be extremely brilliant like Sixth Sense, Signs and Split or either extremely garbage like The Happening. Because the premise remind me of the Happening

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