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I will post an update on my predictions soon since it’s been a couple of months.
I will say for now, Denzel and Frances are locks for their nominations.
Nightmare Alley: Now it’s a December 2021 release.
Wouldn’t be surprised if despite the premise or cast it ends up being a turd.
Del Toro is a huge hit and miss, he’s a wildly inconsistent filmmaker (LDC notoriously turned this movie down), i don’t have high hopes for this.Rooting for a performance is way too early but I want Kirsten Dunst to be nominated for the first time and possibly win. She is so underrated.
With all those pushbacks already, I think we are going to have an extended eligibility period next year too.
I can’t with Universal. They were so cocky about their deal with movie theaters and what a game-changer it was going to be a few months ago and now they will provide them like 1-2 movies until June lol
I wonder if “Old” could kill McKenzie buzz for SoHo since it came out before SoHo (Summer 2021)
Old looks destined to be garbage.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
Old looks destined to be garbage.
As long as she doesnt pull a Wahlberg and Deschanel in The Happening IMO her buzz is safe lol. Its premise sounds so Absurd
Early pred:
1. Don’t Look Up
2. Amsterdam
3. The French Dispatch
4. The Power of The Dog
5. Annette
6. Nightmare Alley
7. Don’t Worry Darling
8. The Tragedy of Macbeth
9. West Side Story
10.Last Night in SohoCloser to awards season The hype is getting real.
Is there even any way this doesn’t at least get into the Globes and BAFTA? I mean of course it could be awful (although I don’t see how that’s possible with Wright) but the hype, the buzz and the bait should be enough to get in at the Globes. And the Britishness enough for it at BAFTA lol.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
Is there even any way this doesn’t at least get into the Globes and BAFTA? I mean of course it could be awful (although I don’t see how that’s possible with Wright) but the hype, the buzz and the bait should be enough to get in at the Globes. And the Britishness enough for it at BAFTA lol.
It’s a psychological horror film so there is always a world where it gets ignored entirely. That being said, I’m fairly confident.
Acting categories update:
Best Actor:
1. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
2. Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley
3. Christian Bale, Amsterdam
4. Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
5. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the DogBest Actress:
1. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
2. Margot Robbie, Amsterdam
3. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
4. Ana De Armas, Blonde
5. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the DogBest Supporting Actor:
1. Willem Dafoe, Nightmare Alley/The Northman
2. Idris Elba, The Harder They Fall
3. Jesse Plemmons, The Power of the Dog
4. Richard Jenkins, The Humans/Nightmare Alley
5. Bradley Cooper, Soggy BottomBest Supporting Actress:
1. Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley
2. Regina King, The Harder They Fall
3. Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up
4. Viola Davis, Unforgiven
5. Anya Taylor-Joy, Amsterdam/The Northman/Last Night in Soho5. Anya Taylor-Joy, Amsterdam/The Northman/Last Night in Soho
It’s time for Anya to get that nod she deserves.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
It’s time for Anya to get that nod she deserves.
If all of her films are acclaimed I can see her following Florence’s path in some way,
1. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
yes to this, yes to all of this
FYC:
Picture: Nomadland
Director: Chloe Zhao
Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Original Screenplay: Promising Young WomanIt’s a psychological horror film so there is always a world where it gets ignored entirely. That being said, I’m fairly confident.
Tbh i expect it to be Blurry as hell between Psycho-Thriller and Psycho-Horror so they could pull a Black Swan or Get Out for their leads, at least. A blurry Horror-Thriller movie is something that The Academy keen to embrace (Get Out and Black Swan). Besides, their Period Pieces label perhaps would be enough to pass the Academy though we never know lol.
As for now, I dont think Soho will be a straight supernatural horror that the Academy wouldnt embrace normally (“Us”, “Hereditary”)
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