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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 2)

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    fefface
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    #1204009929

    I think In the Heights will be a big contender. I don’t think it’ll win anything above the line, but it seems like it’ll be the type of Black Panther-esque cultural phenomenon that combines critical praise and popular hype. Especially because this year is lacking in really any feel-good contenders, voters will be itching for something fun and bright and inspiring as the world begins its shift back to normal, and this’ll fit the bill. The Academy doesn’t love musical performances in Actor as much, but I think Ramos will squeeze in. They’ll also almost definitely be giving Lin-Manuel the Oscar for the original song (and it’ll be a great moment for them when this year’s winner Leslie Odom Jr. is able to present and hand it off to his former co-star).

    This is a fair assessment but there are a few things working against it – next year is going to be crowded for musicals and In the Heights has the earliest release date of them all.

    It will definitely get the Original Song nom and the feel-good factor is a consideration but it will have to maintain massive momentum to get in outside the categories where musicals do tend to show up.

    Even in Actor – no actor has won for a true musical since like 1960ish, and Ramos will be up against Ben Platt, Adam Driver etc just for the nom. Obviously I haven’t seen any of their films, but just on instinct I’d put both of them ahead of him at this point.

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    M: The Original
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    #1204009940

    I was hoping the reshuffle of AMPAS would prevent the return of David O Russell and his obnoxious pantomimes…does anyone with a straight face still enjoy his movies?

    His worst movies are the ones embraced by the Academy.

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    RIDLEY SCOTT
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    #1204009946

    <p style=”text-align: left;”>Predictions (Oscars 2022)</p> Best Director: Jon M. Chu (In The Heights) Nattawut Poonpiriya (One For The Road) Wes Anderson (The French Dispatch Denis Villenueve (Dune) Sian Heder (CODA) next-in-line: Guillermo Del Toro (Nightmare Alley) Adam McKay (Don’t Look Up) Joel Coen (The Tragedy Of Macbeth) Edgar Wright (Last Night In Soho) Joe Wright (The Woman In The Window)

    Director will be very crowded. There are 15 possible contenders. And we are forgetting Spielberg and Ridley Scott. What about Paul Thomas Anderson?

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    Stank83
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    #1204009973

    Actor:

    1. Will Smith (King Richard)
    2. Adam Driver (Annette)
    3. Christian Bale (Amsterdam)
    4. Leonardo DiCaprio (Don’t Look Up)
    5. Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)

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    DestinyFulfilled
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    #1204010033

    Wow… This must have awards potential if Apple buys the movie for that amount of money…

     

    https://deadline.com/2021/01/coda-apple-record-deal-2021-sundance-film-festival-north-of-twenty-five-million-dollars-1234683970/

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    Heptapod
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    #1204010042

    This is a fair assessment but there are a few things working against it – next year is going to be crowded for musicals and In the Heights has the earliest release date of them all.

    I actually think that’ll be best for it. Audiences might end up in musical fatigue by the end of the year, but In the Heights will be the first one on the scene, so it won’t have to rise above the other ones.

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    fefface
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    #1204010077

    I actually think that’ll be best for it. Audiences might end up in musical fatigue by the end of the year, but In the Heights will be the first one on the scene, so it won’t have to rise above the other ones.

    Yeah but the general public are not Oscar voters. So it might do the best box office or streaming numbers, but that often doesn’t mean anything when it comes to award nominations.

    When it comes to award nominations it will have to rise above the others, as it will have to remain memorable the longest and not be overshadowed.

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    SN
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    #1204010079

    We know almost every year we have ONE contender from Sundance. CODA could be the one next season.

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    fefface
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    #1204010544

    We know almost every year we have ONE contender from Sundance. CODA could be the one next season.

    Definitely! Over the last few years not many films have made the leap from Sundance to the Oscars but you’re right, there is usually one.

    I wouldn’t necessarily look at how much Apple has paid for it as an indicator, as there are definitely films that have been acquired for big money and then flopped, but the early chatter definitely sounds good.

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    wolfali
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    #1204010676

    I wouldn’t necessarily look at how much Apple has paid for it as an indicator, as there are definitely films that have been acquired for big money and then flopped, but the early chatter definitely sounds good.

    Yep like Malcolm and Marie.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    24fanatic
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    #1204010782

    Wow… This must have awards potential if Apple buys the movie for that amount of money…

    https://deadline.com/2021/01/coda-apple-record-deal-2021-sundance-film-festival-north-of-twenty-five-million-dollars-1234683970/

    I watched it Day 1 of Sundance. It definitely could be a factor. It’s a crowd pleasing movie that will make you laugh and cry. It really sets itself apart with its inclusion of deaf characters. It does suffer slightly from a couple of coming of age cliches, but I didn’t mind. I did love it.

    It’s chances at Oscar noms (in my opinion):

    Best Picture
    Best Supporting Actor – Troy Kotsur
    Best Supporting Actress – Marlee Matlin (although not as great as Troy… I’m assuming being a former winner might help her score a nom)
    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Best Original Song (performed by star Emilia Jones)

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    jjjmoss1
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    #1204010790

    it’d be nice if matlin left the one and done club

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    Luca
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    #1204012295

    “Mass” is getting some very, very good notices. Can we please make Ann Dowd happen? I’ll gladly run her campaign!

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    #1204012310
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    jjjmoss1
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    #1204012679

    May have been discussed already, but do people think the eligibility will be

    March-December 2021?

    Or March 2021-February 2022, giving a full 12 months? COVID is still raging strong with many theatres still closed.

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