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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 4)

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    Chris Beachum
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    #1204073638

    Part 4 is now open.

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    fefface
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    #1204073661

    So to carry on from the previous thread – as far as I know films without dates that are definitely slated for Cannes is just Dispatch and Annette. Soho may be Cannes but it has an official release date already.

    Any others?

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    wolfali
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    #1204073688

    I don’t think so but what about Venice? As far as we know it seems to only be Spencer and The Power of the Dog no?

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    walkinuniverse
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    #1204073708

    The Northman, Next Goal Wins and The Card Counter all might go for any of the festivals.

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    Jajajajjaja
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    #1204073714

    Is it possible that Focus opted to premiere Soho first at Cannes/Venice to build momentum first for the movie itself and actors in it just like how Black Swan and Get Out managed to overcame genre bias??

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    walkinuniverse
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    #1204073718

    EARLY PREDICTIONS

    PICTURE
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. The French Dispatch
    3. House of Gucci
    4. Nightmare Alley
    5. Eternals
    6. Last Night in Soho
    7. West Side Story
    8. Dune
    9. Don’t Look Up
    10. In The Heights

    DIRECTOR
    1. Ridley Scott, House of Gucci
    2. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    3. Edgar Wright, Last Night in Soho
    4. Chloe Zhao, Eternals
    5. Guillermo Del Toro, Nightmare Alley

    LEAD ACTOR
    1. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
    2. Adam Driver, Annette
    3. Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley
    4. Michael Fassbender, Next Goal Wins
    5. Oscar Isaac, The Card Counter

    LEAD ACTRESS
    1. Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
    2. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
    3. Margot Robbie, Amsterdam
    4. Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up
    5. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    1. Adam Driver, The Last Duel
    2. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
    3. Willem Dafoe, The Card Counter
    4. Stellan Skarsgard, Dune
    5. Richard Jenkins, Nightmare Alley

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    1. Elizabeth Moss, Next Goal Wins
    2. Jodie Comer, The Last Duel
    3. Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho
    4. Marion Cotillard, Annette
    5. Toni Collete, Nightmare Alley

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    1. Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch
    2. Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
    3. Paul Schrader, The Card Counter
    4. Katie Silberman, Don’t Worry Darling
    5. Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    1. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    2. Taika Waititi & Iain Morris, Next Goal Wins
    3. Guillermo Del Toro & Kim Morgan, Nightmare Alley
    4. Quiara Alegría Hudes, In The Heights
    5. Roberto Ventivegna, House of Gucci

    FILM EDITING
    1. Don’t Look Up
    2. Next Goal Wins
    3. Last Night in Soho
    4. Eternals
    5. The French Dispatch

    CINEMATOGRAPHY
    1. Eternals
    2. Nightmare Alley
    3. Dune
    4. West Side Story
    5. The Tragedy of Macbeth

    SCORE
    1. Nightmare Alley
    2. Amsterdam
    3. Soggy Bottom
    4. Dune
    5. Eternals

    SOUND
    1. Last Night in Soho
    2. Dune
    3. Eternals
    4. Mission Impossible VII
    5. A Quiet Place II

    VISUAL EFFECTS
    1. Dune
    2. Godzilla vs. Kong
    3. Eternals
    4. Don’t Look Up
    5. Mortal Kombat

    PRODUCTION DESIGN
    1. The French Dispatch
    2. West Side Story
    3. House of Gucci
    4. In The Heights
    5. Nightmare Alley

    COSTUME DESIGN
    1. House of Gucci
    2. Eternals
    3. Last Night in Soho
    4. Dune
    5. The Last Duel

    MAKE-UP & HAIRSTYLING
    1. Amsterdam
    2. The Suicide Squad
    3. House of Gucci
    4. The French Dispatch
    5. Soggy Bottom

    ORIGINAL SONG
    1. In The Heights
    2. Annette
    3. No Time To Die
    4. Encanto
    5. Dear Evan Hansen

    ANIMATED FILM
    1. Encanto
    2. Luca
    3. Raya and the Last Dragon
    4. The Boss Baby: Family Business
    5. Minions: The Rise of Gru

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    walkinuniverse
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    #1204073772

    Is it possible that Focus opted to premiere Soho first at Cannes/Venice to build momentum first for the movie itself and actors in it just like how Black Swan and Get Out managed to overcame genre bias??

    This is plausible

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    fefface
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    #1204073819

    Is it possible that Focus opted to premiere Soho first at Cannes/Venice to build momentum first for the movie itself and actors in it just like how Black Swan and Get Out managed to overcame genre bias??

    Very possible!

    Also I know it’ll be a 2023 season at earliest but I just need somewhere to put the fact that Netflix has apparently given Noah Baumbach $80million to make White Noise.

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    walkinuniverse
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    #1204073857

    Very possible!

    Also I know it’ll be a 2023 season at earliest but I just need somewhere to put the fact that Netflix has apparently given Noah Baumbach $80million to make White Noise.

    Is this the one with Adam Driver and Greta Gerwig as lead?

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    wolfali
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    #1204073862

    Yes I agree that is quite possible. I think Focus and Universal are using this tactic more commonly now (they’ve done the same with <i>Promising Young Woman </i>this year) so I won’t be surprised if they premiere The Northman at Venice too to try and do what the user suggested.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    fefface
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    #1204073885

    Is this the one with Adam Driver and Greta Gerwig as lead?

    Yes.

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    walkinuniverse
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    #1204073891

    I’m afraid Sundance films like CODA, Mass and Passing will probably get overshadowed by the upcoming film festivals.

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    walkinuniverse
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    #1204073906

    Yes.

    That’s good to know. It’s finally time to invest on filmmakers like Noah Baumbach and Chloe Zhao to do big budget projects.

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    schmids
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    #1204073921

    They gave Baumbach an $80million budget??

    It’ll definitely be his most ambitious project so far (special effects and so on) but wow that’s a chunk of money for a risky adaptation. Good for Netflix for investing in letting filmmakers get weird AF stuff made.

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    schmids
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    #1204073932

    Yes I agree that is quite possible. I think Focus and Universal are using this tactic more commonly now (they’ve done the same with <i>Promising Young Woman </i>this year) so I won’t be surprised if they premiere The Northman at Venice too to try and do what the user suggested.

    The Northman will almost certainly get a festival premiere. Where did Eggers premiere The Lighthouse?

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