Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 6)

[schmids Joined: Oct 10th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 446 View Predictions]

#1204171148

wolfali wrote:

I think Jodie Comer is very likely getting nominated. Doesn’t she have Free Guy (I know that’s obviously not an awards film) this year too? And the final season of <i>Killing Eve </i>next year? If her performance is as good as we think it is I think she could be at the very least the Vanessa Kirby of this year and snag Golden Globe, BAFTA and SAG nominations with a strong performance + a star is born narrative.

If she’s as good as all this early chatter seems to indicate she is, Comer has a very good chance of being next year’s young, first-time Leading Actress nominee. Based on this interview with Wolski I am leaning towards her being Lead and not Supporting.

As for the rest of it, we know Driver will be good as he always is but I just can’t quite see him getting nominated for a role of this nature. Villains do often do well in Supporting but…yeah. And if the Academy wants to nominate him they will have other options.

I recently saw News of the World and it’s cinematography is gorgeous, so if Wolski thinks his work on Duel is better than that then he could go b2b.

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[mitchellfleming21 Joined: Jan 23rd, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 5 View Predictions]

#1204171169

EARLY APRIL PREDICTIONS:
(I kinda have a feeling Amsterdam will be this year’s big failed Oscar bait, and O Russell being O Russell might make a lot of people not wanna support it when voting. Also, who knows if it’s even coming out this year. Isn’t it still filming?)

Best Picture:

Don’t Look Up
Don’t Worry Darling
Eternals
The French Dispatch
The Harder They Fall
The Last Duel
Last Night in Soho
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Director:
Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog
Guillermo Del Toro – Nightmare Alley
Ridley Scott – The Last Duel
Olivia Wilde – Don’t Worry Darling
Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho

Best Actor:
Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog
Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up
Jonathan Majors – The Harder They Fall
Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Actress:
Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog
Jennifer Hudson – Respect
Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth
Florence Pugh – Don’t Worry Darling
Tessa Thompson – Passing

Best Supporting Actor:
Adam Driver – The Last Duel
Willem Dafoe – The Card Counter
Idris Elba – The Harder They Fall
Jeremy Irons – House of Gucci
Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog

Best Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley
Jodie Comer – The Last Duel
Anya Taylor Joy – Last Night in Soho
Regina King – The Harder They Fall
Ruth Negga – Passing

Best Original Screenplay:
Katie Silberman, Carey Van Dyke and Shane Van Dyke – Don’t Worry Darling
Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up
Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch
Jeymes Samuel & Boaz Yakin – The Harder They Fall
Edgar Wright & Krysty Wilson-Cairns – Last Night in Soho

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Chloe Zhao – Eternals
Ben Affleck, Matt Damon and Nicole Holofcener – The Last Duel
Guillermo Del Toro & Kim Morgan – Nightmare Alley
Rebecca Hall – Passing
Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

Best Cinematography:
Greig Fraser – Dune
Dariusz Wolski – The Last Duel
Chung-hoon Chung – Last Night in Soho
Dan Lausten – Nightmare Alley
Ari Wegner – The Power of the Dog

Best Score:
Hans Zimmer – Dune
Ramin Djawadi – Eternals
Steven Price – Last Night in Soho
Alexandre Desplat – Nightmare Alley
Jonny Greenwood – The Power of the Dog

Best Editing:
Hank Corwin – Don’t Look Up
Andrew Weisblum – The French Dispatch
Claire Simpson – The Last Duel
Paul Machliss – Last Night in Soho
Peter Sciberras – The Power of the Dog

Best Sound:
Dune
Eternals
In the Heights
Last Night in Soho
No Time to Die

Best Visual Effects:
Dune
Eternals
Godzilla vs Kong
No Time to Die
The Suicide Squad

Best Production Design:
Dune
The French Dispatch
The Last Duel
Last Night in Soho
Nightmare Alley

Best Costume Design:
Dune
Eternals
The French Dispatch
House of Gucci
Last Night in Soho

Best Hair and Make Up:
The French Dispatch
House of Gucci
The Last Duel
Last Night in Soho
The Suicide Squad

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[fefface Joined: Jan 14th, 2020 Topics: 3 Posts: 1030 View Predictions]

#1204171312

schmids wrote:

If she’s as good as all this early chatter seems to indicate she is, Comer has a very good chance of being next year’s young, first-time Leading Actress nominee. Based on this interview with Wolski I am leaning towards her being Lead and not Supporting.  

I’ve been saying this for a while and honestly, the more we hear about this film the more convinced I am it’s happening. Whether she gets the nomination or not I don’t know, and who knows how much screen time she has, but the entire plot hinges on her character. And, crucially, the film believes her – which I am extremely glad to hear.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 271 Posts: 21125 View Predictions]

#1204171384

schmids wrote:

If she’s as good as all this early chatter seems to indicate she is, Comer has a very good chance of being next year’s young, first-time Leading Actress nominee. Based on this interview with Wolski I am leaning towards her being Lead and not Supporting. As for the rest of it, we know Driver will be good as he always is but I just can’t quite see him getting nominated for a role of this nature. Villains do often do well in Supporting but…yeah. And if the Academy wants to nominate him they will have other options. I recently saw News of the World and it’s cinematography is gorgeous, so if Wolski thinks his work on Duel is better than that then he could go b2b.

I hadn’t read the interview with Woslki! If Comer is as good in this role as she’s suggested to be then she could indeed be next year’s first time actress nominee (like Vanessa Kirby this year). I wonder considering what fefface mentioned about the film’s possible subversion of its source materials treatment of its principal female if Comer might get some critics rallying behind her. I have my hopes high considering how good Nicole Holofcener is at writing strong multi-faceted female leads.

I’m not predicting Driver but I wouldn’t entirely rule him out. I think he has a strong shot at ending up like Scarlett Johansson in getting double nominations due to his strong individual buzz, the buzz of his projects and the year he’s had.

FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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[Synthadora Joined: Apr 5th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 71 View Predictions]

#1204171409

schmids wrote:

If she’s as good as all this early chatter seems to indicate she is, Comer has a very good chance of being next year’s young, first-time Leading Actress nominee. Based on this interview with Wolski I am leaning towards her being Lead and not Supporting.  

Didn’t he say her point of view is the last to be shown? Kinda sounds supporting tbh ain’t nothing wrong with that though.

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[schmids Joined: Oct 10th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 446 View Predictions]

#1204171413

wolfali wrote:

I hadn’t read the interview with Woslki! If Comer is as good in this role as she’s suggested to be then she could indeed be next year’s first time actress nominee (like Vanessa Kirby this year). I wonder considering what fefface mentioned about the film’s possible subversion of its source materials treatment of its principal female if Comer might get some critics rallying behind her. I have my hopes high considering how good Nicole Holofcener is at writing strong multi-faceted female leads. I’m not predicting Driver but I wouldn’t entirely rule him out. I think he has a strong shot at ending up like Scarlett Johansson in getting double nominations due to his strong individual buzz, the buzz of his projects and the year he’s had.

It’s linked at the end of the Part 5 thread – here’s the link.

And yeah it appears that the film will believe Marguerite, which is a good thing, but I imagine it will still explore the fact that several of the characters don’t. If they can achieve what Wolski talks about in terms of telling the story through a 21st century lens then it could work, but any film that includes a scene of serious sexual assault, as this one does, is going to invite a lot of commentary as to whether or not it needs to exist.

The combination of Comer and Holofcener gives me good reason to believe that Marguerite will be well written and represented. But there will be a lot of people who will avoid it just based on the subject matter.

 

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[schmids Joined: Oct 10th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 446 View Predictions]

#1204171432

Synthadora wrote:

Didn’t he say her point of view is the last to be shown? Kinda sounds supporting tbh ain’t nothing wrong with that though.

I don’t take away from what he said about perspectives that the film is divided into three distinct parts – by ‘final perspective’ I think he was just referring to the order he discussed the characters in and could just as easily have said ‘and the final perspective is the husband’, if that makes sense.

And even if it is, all three characters are going to appear in all three perspectives…so it wouldn’t follow that she would have to be Supporting in that scenario.

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[walkinuniverse Joined: May 5th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 192 View Predictions]

#1204171450

The fact that Ridley Scott opted to cast Jodie Comer for the Napoleon epic simply because he was impressed by her in The Last Duel is already sign that she’s gonna eat this up. The same thing can be said for Adam Driver.

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[crabbie Joined: Feb 26th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 964 View Predictions]

#1204171485

Ridley Scott is so hit and miss though. Michelle Williams couldn’t break in for All the Money in the World since the best actress competition was so fierce and next season looks just as competitive.

Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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[schmids Joined: Oct 10th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 446 View Predictions]

#1204171523

crabbie wrote:

Ridley Scott is so hit and miss though. Michelle Williams couldn’t break in for All the Money in the World since the best actress competition was so fierce and next season looks just as competitive.

Scott is hit and miss, but I genuinely believe the script is the most important thing for this particular piece. They have to get it exactly right.

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[walkinuniverse Joined: May 5th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 192 View Predictions]

#1204171548

crabbie wrote:

Ridley Scott is so hit and miss though. Michelle Williams couldn’t break in for All the Money in the World since the best actress competition was so fierce and next season looks just as competitive.

Good thing Jodie can be campaigned in supporting if the lead category is stacked. I just hope its not totally a category fraud though.

We also have to consider that All The Money in the World took a significant bullet amidst the Spacey controversy that year which led to Plummer getting the sole nod for saving that film at the last minute.

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[Fletcher Joined: Nov 12th, 2016 Topics: 4 Posts: 500 View Predictions]

#1204171637

Please God!!!

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[Gunpowder M.M. Joined: Mar 15th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 12 View Predictions]

#1204171689

Lets be real, most of Ridley’s movies involved in award contention are misses these days but Holofcener is much more promising than the man who wrote the day the earth stood still.

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[schmids Joined: Oct 10th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 446 View Predictions]

#1204171708

Gunpowder M.M. wrote:

Lets be real, most of Ridley’s movies involved in award contention are misses these days but Holofcener is much more promising than the man who wrote the day the earth stood still.

His last two Oscar movies got eight nominations between them.

But you’re right about Holofcener. She’s phenomenal.

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[kaziz Joined: Nov 10th, 2011 Topics: 10 Posts: 811 View Predictions]

#1204172672

My April predix (changed it up just a lil)

Best Picture

1. The Power of the Dog
2. The French Dispatch
3. Last Night in Soho
4. Passing
5. Annette
6. Nightmare Alley
8. Soggy Bottom
9. The Lost Daughter
10. Unforgiven

Best Director

1. Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch
2. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
3. Edgar Wright, Last Night in Soho
4. Rebecca Hall, Passing
5. Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom

Lead Actress

1. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
2. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
3. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
4. Martha Plimpton, Mass
5. Tessa Thompson, Passing

Lead Actor

1. Adam Driver, Annette
2. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
3. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
4. Oscar Isaac, The Card Counter
5. Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom

Supporting Actress

1. Ann Dowd, Mass
2. Regina King, The Harder They Fall
3. Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho
4. Ruth Negga, Passing
5. Thomasin McKenzie, The Power of the Dog

Supporting Actor

1. Willem Dafoe, The Card Counter
2. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
3. Idris Elba, The Harder They Fall
4. Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
5. Al Pacino, House of Gucci

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