April 19, 2021 at 7:58 am #1204209138
In a usual year, possibly (it doesn’t have the star power and Netflix). But this year the C/M is so competitive, I see no way he or that film makes it in (unless everything flops).
It does have Disney, will likely have a friendlier release date than a lot of the musicals in contention and as some have said it feels right up the Globes street due to its aesthetic and the fact it’s an adaptation of a beloved British musical?
I won’t be surprised if it ends up being a big player at the Globes. I think provided it isn’t panned it certainly will be a big contender at the BAFTAs.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")April 19, 2021 at 7:59 am #1204209143
I hate to say it, but I believe Helen Mirren only had one nom and win at the Globes in 2006 and that was for the Queen.
She also won for Elizabeth I and had a nomination for Prime Suspect: The Final Act.
It's about the chaotic editing in Moulin Rouge!April 19, 2021 at 8:00 am #1204209147
Jlaw is a movie star. ATJ is leaning more into character actress (outside of Furiosa).
As for Annette, I can’t wait to see Cotillard again.
True but last night In soho does seem like a good movie but not Oscar friendly if it’s was Jennifer Lawrence or the other blonde Margot Robbie I could see it but Anya does not have there level of industry respect.April 19, 2021 at 8:05 am #1204209154
True but last night In soho does seem like a good movie but not Oscar friendly if it’s was Jennifer Lawrence or the other blonde Margot Robbie I could see it but Anya does not have there level of industry respect.
Not yet though. If ATJ continues to work with interesting directors and roles she might. Last Night in Soho requires her to perform, not just acting. But I just don’t it see it as a contender.April 19, 2021 at 8:10 am #1204209171
diego come on Jennifer can act circles around her if we talking acting skills Anya nowhere near Ms Lawrence level.
Two different actors. I don’t see Jlaw can pull off Thomasin in The Witch and I don’t see Anya can pull of Ree in the Winter’s Bone.April 19, 2021 at 8:20 am #1204209192
I don’t know whether Annette will be a contender (I am certainly excited for it though) but as others have said pretty much every year we have a strange/controversial film in the mix and considering the pedigree of this one I’m not ready to rule it out yet. That being said the early release date isn’t great.
Adam Driver’s first Oscar nomination came for a film released in August.
Obviously this is Carax and not Spike Lee, but if he wins at Cannes or the film takes the Palme I can see people talking about it. Remember – the last Palme winner ended up winning BP (though did admittedly have a more awards-friendly release date).
This one has a pair of actors who are very much on the Academy radar to help boost its chances, and I guess Carax could have a bit of a narrative as ‘respected French auteur makes a comeback’ plus it’s his first time working in English.
Who knows. Feel like Cannes reviews will help me decide where this lands.April 19, 2021 at 8:20 am #1204209194
I don’t know whether Annette will be a contender (I am certainly excited for it though) but as others have said pretty much every year we have a strange/controversial film in the mix and considering the pedigree of this one I’m not ready to rule it out yet. That being said the early release date isn’t great. Perhaps Amazon are prioritising Louis Wain? I don’t know. I can see this range from being completely shut out to being a top contender although at the moment I only have Cottillard (in supporting) and the screenplay above the line. Carax could be “the European director who breaks through at the Oscars” this season but I think that will be Claire Denis and that she’ll repeat what Pawlikowski and Vinterberg did and turn a BAFTA nomination into an Oscar nom.
I completely agree – as long as Annette doesn’t bomb (and the trailer looks really great so far – beyond expectations) then Carax is likely to be the Pawlikowski/Vinterberg/Joon Ho foreign film nom in directing next year. It’s a clear pattern for a director slot to go that way now, so if he can get a Cannes award then his trajectory is pretty solid. It’s also likely to be boosted by Adam potentially getting Best Actor at Cannes too (and his and Marion’s profile will help the film overall).April 19, 2021 at 8:37 am #1204209236
The Power of the Dog
The French Dispatch
West Side Story
Don’t Look Up
The Tragedy of Macbeth
In the Heights
Mrs Harris Goes to Paris
The Last Duel
Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom
Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch
Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Guillermo Del Toro, Nightmare Alley
Chloe Zao, The Eternals
(Halle Berry, Bruised
Robert Eggers, The Northman
Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
Leos Carax, Annette
Rebecca Hall, Passing)
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Margot Robbie, Amsterdam
Halle Berry, Bruised
Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Jennifer Hudson, Respect
(Kristen Stewart, Spencer
Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
Marion Cotillard, Annette
Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up
Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Will Smith, King Richard
Christian Bale, Amsterdam
Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
Adam Driver, Annette
(Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Andrew Garfield, Instrumental
Mahershala Ali, Swan Song
Anthony Ramos, In the Heights)
Nicole Kidman, The Northman
Elisabeth Moss, Next Goal Wins
Thomasin McKenzie, The Power of the Dog
Emma Thompson, Matilda
Jodie Comer, The Last Duel
(Olga Mereditz, In the Heights
Glenn Close, Swan Song
Isabelle Huppert, Mrs Harris Goes to Paris
Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up
Tiffany Haddish, The Card Counter)
Idris Elba, The Harder They Fall
Jake Gyllenhaal, Fun Home
Mark Ruffalo, Newsflash
John David Washington, Amsterdam
Oscar Isaac, Armageddon Time
(Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom
Timothee Chalamet, Don’t Look Up
Adam Driver, The Last Duel
Brian Tyree Henry, Red, White and Water
Rami Malek, No Time to Die)April 19, 2021 at 8:49 am #1204209264
Adam Driver’s first Oscar nomination came for a film released in August.
Yeah I’m not disagreeing with the notion that he can get nominated or the film can rack up nominations (I don’t have him in because I am predicting him for House of Gucci and of course he cannot be nominated for both) but I was more pointing out how unfriendly the release date was.
I agree that if the film does well at Cannes (which I suspect it will) that it does have a shot. I think as Vanessa Kirby’s Volpi Cup win last year showed, even having some sort of festival buzz during the pandemic can really boost your chances.
It will be interesting to see how much release dates play a factor this year with the shortened season. Annette‘s release date of course is friendlier than In the Heights for example.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")
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