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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 8)

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    wolfali
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    #1204236741

    As someone who is predicting Last Night in Soho to do very well this awards season, it doesn’t strike me as an ensemble film.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    kaziz
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    #1204236746

    As someone who is predicting Last Night in Soho to do very well this awards season, it doesn’t strike me as an ensemble film.

    Yeah, I guess my point is I don’t really know what that is to SAG. 3BB didn’t strike me as ensemble either.

    Justice for Passing, Tessa Thompson & Ruth Negga.

    The Power of the Dog / Jane Campion / Benedict Cumberbatch / Kristen Stewart / Kirsten Dunst / Troy Kotsur

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    #1204236761
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    Harmen Moes
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    #1204236767

    District 9 and Star Trek were both nominated for PGA. Baby Driver wasn’t.

     

    2011: Drive

    2012: The Avengers

    2013: ??

    2014: Interstellar & Guardians of the Galaxy

    2015: Star Wars: The Force Awakens

    2016: Deadpool & Inside Out

    2017: Logan

    2018: Into the Spider-Verse & If Beale Street Could Talk

    2019: Knives Out

    2020: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom & One Night in Miami

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    Harmen Moes
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    #1204236773

    Just like he tried to make Avengers: Endgame happen. Eternals will be a tech only film, and that’s assuming it gets anything outside vfx.

     

    We have BP and Joker in the past. 2020 was an worst comic book year.

     

    And The Batman coming in 2022. Maybe is than Eternals the best chance for Oscars. And Shang-Chi for SAG

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    wolfali
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    #1204236792

    SAG ensemble: 1. The French Dispatch 2. Nightmare Alley 3. In the Heights 4. The Tragedy of Macbeth 5. The Harder They Fall 6. The Power of the Dog 7. Don’t Look Up 8. Last Night in Soho 9. Dear Evan Hansen 10. House of Gucci 11. Soggy Bottom 12. Canterbury Glass 13. Dune

    I absolutely agree with your ranking from top to bottom!

    I think The Harder They Fall could get Idris Elba and Regina King in at SAG too if it’s any good/buzzy.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    Drusilla
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    #1204236819

    SAG ensemble: 1. The French Dispatch 2. Nightmare Alley 3. In the Heights 4. The Tragedy of Macbeth 5. The Harder They Fall 6. The Power of the Dog 7. Don’t Look Up 8. Last Night in Soho 9. Dear Evan Hansen 10. House of Gucci 11. Soggy Bottom 12. Canterbury Glass 13. Dune

    No “The Northman” ?

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    fefface
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    #1204236841

    Just saw some major spoilers on Twitter about Annette from a 2016 WIP script. I think it’s legit because it would fit with the weirdness of Carax.

    I saw those. Sounds like a fantastic showcase for Driver but it has to land with critics/audiences.

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    SN
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    #1204236845

    I hope Jane Campion becomes the first woman to be nominated twice in Directing.

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    wolfali
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    #1204236858

    Agreed! I’m also keeping a close eye on Delroy Lindo. He was definitely the buzziest snub of this last season, and while I still don’t believe in apology nominations being a thing, the general chatter surrounding his name can’t hurt him. The wild card supporting nominations I’m predicting at SAG (that will end up being snubbed at the Oscars) are Richard E. Grant for Everybody’s Talking About Jamie and Tiffany Haddish for The Card Counter.

    Richard E. Grant I think has the potential to go all the way to a nomination. It’s a showy performance that if well executed, I think critics can rally behind. He seems like such a Globe and SAG’s choice and one thing I feel quite confident in saying with Everybody’s Talking About Jamie is that it’s going to dominate the BAFTAs. Especially with the jury system in place for the acting shortlists.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204236903

    I mean if you’re going to say stuff like that, may as well say more…

    Well for one, I hear it’s a thriller. Not like Parasite, but more like Sicario. And Sicario was not well received by the Academy. Take this with a grain of salt, my senses/connections may be completely off base, but I’m not really feeling it atm.

    FYC
    Everything Everywhere All at Once for everything, everywhere, all at once

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    Drusilla
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    #1204236905

    I think SAG is the organization least likely to go for The Northman. It seems wild and dark and brutal and violent, something the SAG population wouldn’t really gravitate towards despite the quality of its cast.

    You’re right. I think it will get a cinematography nom at the Oscars and that’s it. It’s probably too niche.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204236919

    The book also doesn’t sound like something that would make an Oscar-friendly movie just based on the plot description. But again, maybe I’m wrong.

    FYC
    Everything Everywhere All at Once for everything, everywhere, all at once

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