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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 9)

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    Chocoesq
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    #1204242187

    I imagine they would want to bring original song performances back to the telecast if names like Billie and Gaga end up nominated against each other.

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    Foolio
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    #1204242206

    My first Supporting Actress predictions:

    Frontrunners

    Thomasin McKenzie, The Power of the Dog
    Jodie Comer, The Last Duel
    Olga Mereditz, In the Heights

    Next in line

    Nicole Kidman, The Northman
    Glenn Close, Swan Song

    On the brink

    Ann Dowd, Mass
    Elisabeth Moss, Next Goal Wins
    Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up
    Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley
    Isabelle Huppert, Mrs Harris Goes to Paris
    Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho

    Strong possibilities

    Frances Conroy, The Power of the Dog
    Tiffany Haddish, The Card Counter
    Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley
    Regina King, The Harder They Fall

    Possibilities

    Julianne Moore, Dear Evan Hansen
    Alicia Vikander, Blue Bayou
    Cate Blanchett, Don’t Look Up
    Kiki Layne, Don’t Worry Darling
    Salma Hayek, House of Gucci
    Dakota Johnson, The Lost Daughter
    Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    Ruth Negga, Passing
    Rita Moreno, West Side Story

    Less likely but possible

    Rebecca Ferguson, Dune
    Marlee Matlin, Coda
    Vanessa Hudgens, Tick, Tick… Boom!
    Jessica Chastain, The Forgiven
    Viola Davis, Unforgiven
    Mary J. Blige, Respect
    Olivia Colman, Mothering Sunday
    Ania Taylor-Joy, The Northman
    Judi Dench, Belfast
    Bjork, The Northman
    Diana Rigg, Last Night in Soho
    Cherry Jones, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Charlotte Rampling, Dune

    Theoretical possibilities

    Amy Adams, Dear Evan Hansen
    Tilda Swinton, The French Dispatch
    Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard
    Annette Bening, Death on the Nile
    Audra McDonald, Respect
    Alana Haim, Soggy Bottom
    Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter
    Kaitlyn Dever, Dear Evan Hansen
    Amandla Stenberg, Dear Evan Hansen
    Vera Farmiga, The Many Saints of Newark
    Terry Moore, Silent Life
    Haley Bennett, Cyrano

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    mitchellfleming21
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    Jan 23rd, 2017
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    #1204242208

    Best Picture:
    Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    Dune (Warner Bros)
    The French Dispatch (Searchlight)
    House of Gucci (MGM)
    The Last Duel (20th Century)
    Last Night in Soho (Focus Features)
    Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)
    The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
    Three Thousand Years of Longing (MGM) (WINNER)
    The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    Best Director:
    Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog  (WINNER)
    Park Chan-Wook – Decision to Leave
    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley
    George Miller – Three Thousand Years of Longing
    Ridley Scott – The Last Duel

    Best Actor:
    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley
    Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog (WINNER)
    Adam Driver – House of Gucci
    Idris Elba – Three Thousand Years of Longing
    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Best Actress:
    Jodie Comer – The Last Duel
    Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog
    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci
    Jennifer Hudson – Respect (WINNER)
    Tilda Swinton – Three Thousand Years of Longing

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Willem Dafoe – The Card Counter
    Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley (WINNER)
    Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog
    Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog
    Steven Yeun – The Humans

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley
    Anya Taylor Joy – Last Night in Soho
    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Olga Merediz – In the Heights
    Ruth Negga – Passing (WINNER)

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up
    Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch
    Edgar Wright & Krysty Wilson-Cairns – Last Night in Soho
    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom
    George Miller – Three Thousand Years of Longing (WINNER)

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Stephen Haram – The Humans
    Ben Affleck, Matt Damon and Nicole Holofcener – The Last Duel (WINNER)
    Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan – Nightmare Alley
    Rebecca Hall – Passing
    Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

    Best Cinematography:
    Dariusz Wolski – The Last Duel (WINNER)
    Chung-hoon Chung – Last Night in Soho
    Jarin Blashcke – The Northman
    Ari Wegner – The Power of the Dog
    John Seale – Three Thousand Years of Longing

    Best Score:
    Ron and Russell Mael – Annette
    Nicholas Brittell – Don’t Look Up
    Hans Zimmer – Dune (WINNER)
    Alexandre Desplat – Nightmare Alley
    Jonny Greenwood – The Power of the Dog

    Best Editing:
    Joe Walker – Dune
    Claire Simpson – The Last Duel
    Paul Machliss – Last Night in Soho (WINNER)
    Peter Sciberras – The Power of the Dog
    Margaret Sixel – Three Thousand Years of Longing

    Best Sound:
    Dune
    Last Night in Soho (WINNER)
    A Quiet Place Part II
    Three Thousand Years of Longing
    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Best Visual Effects:
    Don’t Look Up
    Dune (WINNER)
    Eternals
    Godzilla vs Kong
    Three Thousand Years of Longing

    Best Production Design:
    Cyrano
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    Nightmare Alley
    Three Thousand Years of Longing (WINNER)

    Best Costume Design:
    Cyrano
    The French Dispatch
    House of Gucci (WINNER)
    Nightmare Alley
    Three Thousand Years of Longing

    Best Hair and MakeUp:
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    House of Gucci (WINNER)
    Nightmare Alley
    Three Thousand Years of Longing

    TOTAL NOMINATIONS OF THE BEST PICTURE NOMINEES:

    Don’t Look Up – 4 nominations
    Dune – 7 nominations
    The French Dispatch – 5 nominations
    House of Gucci – 6 nomimations (including Song)
    The Last Duel – 6 nominations
    Last Night in Soho – 6 nominations
    Nightmare Alley – 10 nominations
    The Power of the Dog – 10 nominations
    Three Thousand Years of Longing – 12 nominations
    The Tragedy of Macbeth – 4 nominations
    ~

    I think I’m being too optimistic that Scott will have two BP nominees given how inconsistent he is. I’m expecting The Last Duel to be great but I have my doubts about Gucci. The writer’s a first timer, so I don’t know what approach he’s bringing to the story. I think it could be a very witty, self aware drama about rich people and find success (similar to Succession) but if it’s very bleak and dour like Scott’s previous true story drama All the Money in the World, then I can see this being snubbed save for Gaga’s performance and some craft categories. Like all of Scott films, it really does depend on the writer.
    Also, I’m rooting for MGM. They’re in a good position where they have 4 or 5 potential contenders, and I don’t think them being able to get 2 BP nominations is too far fetched (unless they completely botch the campaigns).

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    schmids
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    #1204242213

    I think it could be a very witty, self aware drama about rich people and find success (similar to Succession) but if it’s very bleak and dour like Scott’s previous true story drama All the Money in the World, then I can see this being snubbed save for Gaga’s performance and some craft categories.

    Dariusz Wolski has described it as ‘high end soap opera’ so I doubt they’re going for dour.

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    mitchellfleming21
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    Jan 23rd, 2017
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    #1204242217

    Dariusz Wolski has described it as ‘high end soap opera’ so I doubt they’re going for dour.

    Yeah honestly that description is what’s giving me hope that they’re actually gonna have some fun with this and make it purposefully campy and darky comedic.

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    kingfan011
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    Mar 11th, 2017
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    #1204242238

    Surprised that Soggy Bottom isn’t being predicted in costume design. Even Inherent Vice got a costume design nomination.

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    LA26
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    Apr 3rd, 2021
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    #1204242264

    I don’t quite understand the comparison to JLaw but it seems like Harvey Weinsten has become an extension to JLaw whenever somebody talks about her. I’m not even a fan of JLaw but give her a break.

    I’ve seen this happen with Alicia Vikander as well.

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1204242315

    I don’t quite understand the comparison to JLaw but it seems like Harvey Weinsten has become an extension to JLaw whenever somebody talks about her. I’m not even a fan of JLaw but give her a break.

    Cause she thanked him (amongst others) in her Oscar speech and when the NYTimes article broke the GP was already in their “we’re sick of her” moment at her. And the connection stuck.

    That’s literally it, it’s not even like de was one multiple TWC productions, literally only just SLP.

    Where is this same energy for Colin Firth (exact same situation as her) or lifelong collaborator Tarantino.

    Emmys FYC: Alan Tudyk in “Resident Alien”, Billie Piper in “I Hate Suzie”, Ego Nwodim in “Saturday Night Live”, Kaley Cuoco in “Harley Quinn”

    “Dickinson”, “P-Valley”, “Pose” & “Superstore” in all categories

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    walkinuniverse
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    May 5th, 2020
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    #1204242336

    I didn’t get LOTR vibes the Eternals shots, but there was Nomadland vibes for sure. Also, I think West Side Story will be much more than what people are trying to make it look. I think it will be a big contender.

    Also, Dune will be A tech contender only

    I think the LOTR and Eternals comparison stems from the fact that the story spans a 7,000 year journey of characters and the story pays homage to some ancient and medieval stuff while also heavily dwelling on the sci-fi cosmic side of the universe outside Earth.

    Chloe Zhao decided to shoot many scenes during magic hour if that’s what you mean by “Nomadland vibes”. She also stated how Terrence Malick inspired her as a filmmaker and she compares Eternals to The Revenant in terms of its process but less gritty in tone.

    I do agree with West Side Story’s potential to become a big contender and what’s interesting is that WSS is being underestimated for reasons like “the Academy doesn’t feel the urgency to reward/recognize Spielberg” and “what fresh ideas can he bring to this” when in fact one of the main reasons why people are excited about is bc it is Spielberg’s take on a well-known musical and he will cater to theater fans as well those who are fans of the original adaptation.

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    JV
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    #1204242344

    Cause she thanked him (amongst others) in her Oscar speech and when the NYTimes article broke the GP was already in their “we’re sick of her” moment at her. And the connection stuck. That’s literally it, it’s not even like de was one multiple TWC productions, literally only just SLP. Where is this same energy for Colin Firth (exact same situation as her) or lifelong collaborator Tarantino.

    Meryl Streep literally called Harvey Weinstein a god and applauded Roman Polanski (after he was convicted. He wasn’t even on the ceremony because he couldn’t land feet on US), which she has yet to criticize. I don’t see the same hate towards her. People are too harsh with JLaw when the whole industry used to kiss his feet.

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    MysticMagix
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    #1204242347

    I imagine they would want to bring original song performances back to the telecast if names like Billie and Gaga end up nominated against each other.

     

    And florence if she gets a nom

     

    https://twitter.com/TheFilmUpdates/status/1389499704992583681?s=19

    A little bit of Magic never hurt anybody.

    ~ MYSTIC

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    Delilah
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    #1204242426

    My first Supporting Actress predictions: Frontrunners Thomasin McKenzie, The Power of the Dog 

    Unless they’ve rewritten that role substantially, it’s a total nothing character in the book.

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    Paradoxymoron
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    Apr 20th, 2021
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    #1204242463

    My first Supporting Actress predictions: Frontrunners Thomasin McKenzie, The Power of the Dog Jodie Comer, The Last Duel Olga Mereditz, In the Heights Next in line Nicole Kidman, The Northman Glenn Close, Swan Song On the brink Ann Dowd, Mass Elisabeth Moss, Next Goal Wins Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley Isabelle Huppert, Mrs Harris Goes to Paris Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho Strong possibilities Frances Conroy, The Power of the Dog Tiffany Haddish, The Card Counter Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley Regina King, The Harder They Fall Possibilities Julianne Moore, Dear Evan Hansen Alicia Vikander, Blue Bayou Cate Blanchett, Don’t Look Up Dakota Johnson, Don’t Worry Darling Salma Hayek, House of Gucci Dakota Johnson, The Lost Daughter Ariana DeBose, West Side Story Ruth Negga, Passing Rita Moreno, West Side Story Less likely but possible Rebecca Ferguson, Dune Marlee Matlin, Coda Vanessa Hudgens, Tick, Tick… Boom! Jessica Chastain, The Forgiven Viola Davis, Unforgiven Mary J. Blige, Respect Olivia Colman, Mothering Sunday Ania Taylor-Joy, The Northman Judi Dench, Belfast Bjork, The Northman Diana Rigg, Last Night in Soho Cherry Jones, The Eyes of Tammy Faye Charlotte Rampling, Dune Theoretical possibilities Amy Adams, Dear Evan Hansen Tilda Swinton, The French Dispatch Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard Annette Bening, Death on the Nile Audra McDonald, Respect Alana Haim, Soggy Bottom Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter Kaitlyn Dever, Dear Evan Hansen Amandla Stenberg, Dear Evan Hansen Vera Farmiga, The Many Saints of Newark Terry Moore, Silent Life Haley Bennett, Cyrano

    Is there any chance Audra McDonald could be in with a chance for Respect? I don’t know how large the role will end up being, but she is another powerhouse who is an Oscar away from the EGOT, and I’d absolutely love it if she managed it!

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    gorman
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    #1204242487

    Unless they’ve rewritten that role substantially, it’s a total nothing character in the book.

    I think it’s possible they have, McKenzie is one of the foremost rising stars at the moment so I could see her having a more fleshed out character than a minor role in the source might suggest. Whether that’s enough to get a nod I don’t know, but either way I imagine she won’t be relegated to a nothing role.

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    JV
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    #1204242505

    LOL, they did it  Fuck the Academy.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/TheFilmUpdates/status/1389672020003205120

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