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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 14)

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    LifeIsAmazing
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    #1204315665

    But why Disney/Fox still aren’t starting the promotion for TLD? Could it be a signal that they don’t have confidence in this film?

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    storminthedark
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    #1204315674

    I may be wrong, but I think studios might still be unsure what the best path to take with promotion is now that ITH has flopped. The pandemic situation is a lot better in the US, there’s no denying that, but limited capacities are still a thing and most international markets are not fully open. Perhaps they’re worried the earlier they start their campaigns the more likely people are to forget and move on. The pandemic has meant people have had shorter attention spans and with such a packed year it could be a blink-and-you-miss-it deal for a lot of these contenders. Either that, or more films will be pushed back to 2022 than expected.

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    LA26
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    #1204315676

    But why Disney/Fox still aren’t starting the promotion for TLD? Could it be a signal that they don’t have confidence in this film?

    It is weird that not even official photos have been released. I was just thinking yesterday that maybe they’re trying to figure out how to promote it, or as storminthedark just posted, they don’t want to start early. I’m personally looking forward to seeing Comer and Driver’s performances. And someone correct me if I’m wrong, but of Disney’s potential contenders, only WSS got promoted so far.

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    Calvin
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    #1204315678

    The problem with Parasite when it came to acting nods aside from racism lol was that it was very divided when it came to a favorite performance. Supporting actress had like 4 possible contenders, all of which had their fans, and while there was a clear push for Song Kang-ho to be nominated, he might very well have split votes with Choi Woo-shik (the closest the film had to a lead) and Lee Sun-kyun (who was also very acclaimed). If LNIS’ award team focuses solely on McKenzie and ATJ (preferably in separate categories), they stand a real chance for a nod (maybe even a win in ATJ’s case).

    While I agree with a lot of this, I highly doubt Song split any votes with Choi and Lee. It was very clear who everyone’s favourite in that category was, he was by FAR the best known member of the cast to a lot of the voting body (I believe he was already a member of the Academy before, actually). He likely just missed out in sixth place to Hopkins, and with just a bit more of an extra push might’ve gotten in (and should’ve, really).

    Still celebrating Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

    FYC Emmys: The Underground Railroad

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    Calvin
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    #1204315680

    With A24, alongside The Humans and The Tragedy of Macbeth I honestly think After Yang (premiering at Cannes next month) is one to watch out for. I know sci-fi isn’t generally a very Academy friendly genre but the source material is actually quite light on those elements, it’s more of a human/family drama with a lot of themes that will connect with a lot of people if executed well by Kogonada and co.

    Still celebrating Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

    FYC Emmys: The Underground Railroad

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    fefface
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    #1204315697

    Yeah I’m not sure where the idea that either of them are untrained comes from. Given that he has mentioned singing ‘Happy Birthday’ at his audition Driver almost certainly did some training at Juilliard, and Cotillard has already done a movie musical. Also I’m pretty sure they will have recorded all the tracks in a studio to use if they need to, especially for scenes like the storm where there will be a lot of background noise. Plus Sparks have said it’s not a traditional musical in any sense, which I am assuming includes the style in which it is sung (the song we have heard so far is seemingly not ‘in’ the film).

    It’s not in the film? How do you mean? Based on the title and lyrics it can’t be an end credits number.

    But yes when Sparks were on the promo trail for their album last year they talked quite a lot about the film and how impressed they were by the performances of Driver and Cotillard. They also mentioned wanting to do a music project with Driver in future but whether that ever comes to fruition who knows. So whether the film lands is one thing but I think the leads will be great.

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    mansos
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    #1204315704

    BEST PICTURE

    1. Soggy Bottom (MGM)
    2. The French Dispatch (Searchlight Pictures)
    3. The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
    4. Dune (Warner Bros. Pictures)
    5. Nightmare Alley (Searchlight Pictures)
    6. Don’t Look Up (Netflix)
    7. House of Gucci (MGM)
    8. West Side Story (20th Century Studios)
    9. The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)
    10. Belfast (Focus Features)

    BEST DIRECTIOR

    1. Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch
    2. Denis Villeneuve, Dune
    3. Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom
    4. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    5. Asghar Farhadi, A Hero

    BEST LEADING ACTRESS

    1. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
    2. Ana de Armas, Blonde
    3. Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    4. Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
    5. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST LEADING ACTOR

    1. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    2. Will Smith, King Richard
    3. Adam Driver, House of Gucci
    4. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
    5. Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    1. Ruth Negga, Passing
    2. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
    3. Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up
    4. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    5. Judi Dench, Belfast

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    1. Richard Jenkins, The Humans
    2. Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom
    3. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
    4. Andrew Garfield, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    5. Al Pacino, House of Gucci

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    1. Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom
    2. Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch
    3. Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
    4. Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
    5. Edgar Wright & Krysty Wilson-Cairns, Last Night in Soho

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    1. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    2. Guillermo del Toro & Kim Morgan, Nightmare Alley
    3. Stephen Karam, The Humans
    4. Roberto Bentivegna, House of Gucci
    5. Tony Kushner, West Side Story

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    1. Dan Laustsen, Nightmare Alley
    2. Greig Fraser, Dune
    3. Robert D. Yeoman, The French Dispatch
    4. Bruno Delbonnel, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    5. Chung-hoon Chung, Last Night in Soho

    BEST EDITING

    1. Andrew Weisblum, The French Dispatch
    2. Joe Walker, Dune
    3. Hank Corwin, Don’t Look Up
    4. Peter Sciberras, The Power of the Dog
    5. Michael Kahn & Sarah Broshar, West Side Story

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    1. Adam Stockhausen & Rena DeAngelo, The French Dispatch
    2. Patrice Vermette, Richard Roberts & Zsuzsanna Sipos, Dune
    3. Stefan Dechant & Nancy Haigh, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    4. Eve Stewart & Michael Standish, Eternals
    5. Adam Stockhausen & Rena DeAngelo, West Side Story

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    1. Jacqueline Durran, Spencer
    2. Luis Sequeira, Nightmare Alley
    3. Milena Canonero, The French Dispatch
    4. Mark Bridges, Soggy Bottom
    5. Jenny Beavan, Cruella

    BEST MAKEUP & HAIR

    1. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    2. House of Gucci
    3. Dune
    4. Nightmare Alley
    5. The French Dispatch

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

    1. Jonny Greenwood, Soggy Bottom
    2. Hans Zimmer, Dune
    3. Alexandre Desplat, The French Dispatch
    4. Steven Price, Last Night in Soho
    5. Nicholas Britell, Don’t Look Up

    BEST SOUND

    1. Dune
    2. West Side Story
    3. Eternals
    4. No Time to Die
    5. Last Night in Soho

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

    1. “No Time to Die”, No Time to Die
    2. “TBD”, Encanto
    3. “So May We Start”, Annette
    4. “Call Me Cruella”, Cruella
    5. “TBD”, Luca

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    1. Dune
    2. Eternals
    3. No Time to Die
    4. The Matrix Resurrections
    5. Godzilla vs Kong

     

     

     

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    mf617
    Joined:
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    #1204315734

    Some of y’all freaking out about the lack of a promotional push for movies not being released for another 4-6 months is comical. Nowadays, the streamers release trailers for their new shows with less than two months and sometimes with just a few weeks before their premiere so they have a tight window for buzz. It shouldn’t be too surprising to see the same thing happening with film, especially after a year of seeing films largely at home and buzz being hard to maintain without in-person screenings and campaign events. I suspect that until many of those details are really nailed down, the studios will wait and see with starting to make a push for their late fall awards contenders. I wouldn’t start reading too much into it just yet.

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    Harmen Moes
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    Nov 7th, 2020
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    #1204315747

    This are my Oscar 2022 Predictions…

     

    Best Picture

    1. Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    2. The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    3. Soggy Bottom (United Artists)

    4. House of Gucci (United Artists)

    5. DUNE (Warner Bros)

    6. The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

    7. West Side Story (20th Century Studios)

    8. Don’t Look Up (Netflix)

    9. The French Dispatch (Searchlight)

    10. Annette (Amazon Studios)

     

    Best Director

    1. Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    2. Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    3. Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom (United Artists)

    4. Jane Campton – The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

    5. Denis Villeneuve – Dune (Warner Bros)

     

    Best Actor

    1. Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    2. Will Smith – King Richard (Warner Bros)

    3. Adam Driver – Annette (Amazon Studios)

    4. Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    5. Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon (A24)

     

    Best Actress

    1. Ana de Armas – Blonde (Netflix)

    2. Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    3. Margot Robbie – Canterbury Glass (20th Century Studios)

    4. Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye (20th Century Studios)

    5. Lady Gaga – House of Gucci (United Artists)

     

    Best Supporting Actor

    1. Christian Bale – Soggy Bottom (United Artists)

    2. John David Washington – Canterbury Glass (20th Century Studios)

    3. Jared Leto – House of Gucci (United Artists)

    4. Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley (20th Century Studios)

    5. Al Pacino – House of Gucci (United Artists)

     

    Best Supporting Actress 

    1. Ann Dowd – Mass (Bleecker Street)

    2. Olga Merediz – In the Heights (Warner Bros)

    3. Ariana Debose – West Side Story (20th Century Studios)

    4. Toni Collette – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    5. Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

     

    Best Original Screenplay

    1. Soggy Bottom (United Artists)

    2. The French Dispatch (20th Century Studios)

    3. Don’t Look Up (Netflix)

    4. Last Night in Soho (Focus Features)

    5. Mass (Bleecker Street)

     

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    1. Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    2. The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24)

    3. The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

    4. House of Gucci (United Artists)

    5. Dune (Warner Bros)

     

    Best Animated Feature

    1. Encanto (Disney)

    2. Flee (Amazon Studios)

    3. Vivo (Netflix)

    4. Luca (PIXAR)

    5. Where is Anne Frank? (???)

     

    Best Foreign Language Feature

    1. Annette (France)

    2. The Humans (USA)

    3. Where is Anne Frank? (France)

    4. ??

    5. ??

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    schmids
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    #1204315751

     Best Foreign Language Feature 1. Annette (France) 2. The Humans (USA) 3. Where is Anne Frank? (France) 4. ?? 5. ??

    Annette is in English and will not qualify.

    It’s not in the film? How do you mean? Based on the title and lyrics it can’t be an end credits number.

    I will DM you. But there’s a clue in the trailer!

     

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    Cabelo da Shiv
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    #1204315753

    Netflix released the first trailer for The Harder They Fall.

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    schmids
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    #1204315761

    Trailer for CODA.

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    JV
    Joined:
    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204315850

    Netflix released the first trailer for The Harder They Fall.

    This looks really cool, although it might not be traditional western-ish enough for the Academy, but with the awesome ensemble and Netflix backing up, I believe it could be a contender.

    Let’s get Idris Elba his Oscar.

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    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204315854

    Trailer for CODA.

    I feel like I’ll probably like this film a lot in the end but I really don’t see it going any further than the Spirits and maybe a BAFTA nomination for Emilia Jones (who is British and a rising star and in a film that can be construed as having social relevancy by an acting jury) if she’s long-listed there.

    FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    May 3rd, 2015
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    #1204315859

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

    “TBD”, Luca

    For anyone whose seen Luca, does it have a song?

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