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Very Early 2022 Oscar Predictions (Part 7)

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    schmids
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    #1204233000

    Next Best Picture published an article yesterday about their early 2022 predictions. No mention of Annette, which is weird but they included Red, White and Water, C’Mon C’Mon, and Armageddon Time which starts shooting this fall. The writer had Driver in supporting for HoG for his own predictions at the end. Could he be supporting instead of lead for that film?https://www.nextbestpicture.com/latest/year-in-advance-oscar-predictions-for-2021

    I would be surprised if he was. They already have Pacino and Leto in Supporting.

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    wolfali
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    #1204233010

    What do we think of Zola’s chances. We’ve seen the Academy this past season go for less traditional pictures and subject matter. It’s already spawned a popular meme “wanna know how me and this bitch fell out?” with A24 releasing it in the summer, seems like their confident in being a somewhat decent commercial hit a la Ari Aster’s films and The Farewell.

    Box office will make or break it.

    I don’t think it has much of a chance this year due to how competitive the field is but if it has a massive box office I might reconsider. And no I don’t mean the $13.3 million that Promising Young Woman has made worldwide (no offence to its or something like Minari‘s gross, they are quite big achievements considering we’re in the middle of a pandemic and I’m sure with the pandemic plateauing, post Oscars buzz and cinemas opening up in Europe that these grosses will improve). For Zola to be a contender it needs a $50 million + gross.

    I do expect it to do well at the Spirits though.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    schmids
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    #1204233016

    I do expect it to do well at the Spirits though.

    I wonder if Amazon will submit Annette for the Spirits? It would qualify for main categories as an American production under their rules:

    – set in the US

    – small enough budget

    – has American citizens in two of the three designated categories (Sparks as writers and Adam Driver as producer)

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    fefface
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    #1204233023

    I wonder if Amazon will submit Annette for the Spirits? It would qualify for main categories as an American production under their rules: – set in the US – small enough budget – has American citizens in two of the three designated categories (Sparks as writers and Adam Driver as producer)

    Can’t see any reason why they wouldn’t. Especially given that if they submit it as International, which I’m assuming they can’t if it qualifies as American, they then wouldn’t be able to submit actors.

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    Stank83
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    #1204233035

    Netflix just has awful bad luck with films. Marriage Story was too much of a middle brow drama against monsters like Parasite, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, and Joker. Marriage Story would have done excellent this year where the majority of Best Picture nominees were just dramas. I mean look at how well <i>The Father</i> did as a character study drama. Mank, Trial of Chicago 7, The Irishman inspire passion from nobody. The Power of the Dog seems to hit the ceiling of high brow drama with elements of eerie tension and thriller like moments that will be able to compete against the likes of Nightmare Alley and House Of Gucci. It is a western after all. I am hoping the film is able to capture the passion that was well received from The Piano and capture the zeitgeist that was fond over There Will be Blood or Parasite. Its best shot is at Adapted Screenplay and in Acting. I don’t think it will win Picture.

    The hell are you talking about??? Aside from awards politics Marriage Story is a superior film to flashy middlebrow forgotten stuff of the moment like Joker and 1917.

    And don’t you dare compare terrific films that will hold up over time like The Irishman and Mank to shit like The Trial of Chicago 7.

    And plus, at the time the Academy people aside from Day-Lewis’s performance, weren’t that much fond over TWBB, in fact No Country swept everything at the time. It’s a film that grew up in reputation and estimation, and managed to become an all time classic over time.

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    fefface
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    #1204233054

    And plus, at the time the Academy people aside from Day-Lewis’s performance, weren’t that much fond over TWBB, in fact No Country swept everything at the time. It’s a film that grew up in reputation and estimation, and managed to become an all time classic over time.

    Yep – both got eight nominations but No Country got four wins to TWBB two. Plus all of No Country‘s wins were above the line.

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    wolfali
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    #1204233074

    The joint third most nominated BAFTA TV leading actress is coming to pull a Colman/Hopkins next year:

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    LA26
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    #1204233126

    When it comes to Netflix, are the films they’re planning to campaign for consideration only Blonde, Don’t Look Up, and The Power of the Dog? Does Amazon have anything other than Annette? And is Last Night in Soho the only prominent film Focus Features plans to campaign for, considering Stillwater is getting dumped in July?

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    wolfali
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    #1204233150

    And is Last Night in Soho the only prominent film Focus Features plans to campaign for, considering Stillwater is getting dumped in July?

    Focus also have The Card Counter and The Northman (assuming that ends up getting released this season).

    Amazon also have The Electrical Life of Louis Wain.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    SoniNon
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    #1204233155

    Cumberbatch seems a lock since he will also have goodwill from The Electrical Life of Louis Wain

    Has this “goodwill from multiple roles” thing ever played out in real life? For as much as people repeat it I can’t recall when it’s actually worked. I can’t imagine people having goodwill for Benedict Cumberbatch being in yet ANOTHER biopic of a British guy.

    As someone who is proud of having had Promising Young Woman on their radar in their predictions around this time last season, I don’t see how it and The Northman are comparable at all.

    The original post I was replying to said “so and so movie absolutely will not compete in so and so category because of its premise” that is ALL I was referring to. You’re taking it way off on a tangent. And putting PYM in predictions after it premiered at Sundance is completely different than saying a movie won’t compete in something even though no one has seen anything from it yet. Would anyone have looked at the logline BEFORE it premiered and said “yes, absolutely, that is happening”? I remember when it was filming and set pictures of Carey came out and people were mostly just confused.

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    Arman Saxena
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    #1204233178

    What do y’all think about the Eternals’ chances especially with the Oscar ratings hitting a new low?

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    JV
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    #1204233199

    https://mobile.twitter.com/TheFilmUpdates/status/1387380896626585600

    Olivia Wilde says she’s still editing Don’t Worry Darling.

    This will probably be one of those late releases.

    What do y’all think about the Eternals’ chances especially with the Oscar ratings hitting a new low?

    Nah. All these films are the same and the director usually don’t have much creative control since he has to set up the next steps of the MCU. Marvel is just doing a mistake in trying to hype it up.

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    LA26
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    #1204233216

    Nah. All these films are the same and the director usually don’t have much creative control since he has to set up the next steps of the MCU. Marvel is just doing a mistake in trying to hype it up.

    You’re absolutely right about their films being the same. I think Angelina Jolie and Salma Hayek being a part of it is why they’re hyping it up. I was surprised when the news about Jolie’s involvement broke. I never thought she would end up doing comic book movies.

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    JV
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    #1204233233

    https://mobile.twitter.com/DiscussingFilm/status/1387391290258694144

    Trailer for Luca

    Assuming Disney will exhibit it in a random small theater just to make it eligible, I think it has a good shot at a Best Picture nomination, with 10 slots.

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    LA26
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    #1204233240

    Adam Driver was recently interviewed about his partnership with Breitling watches, and he briefly talked about working on The Last Duel: https://dujour.com/style/adam-driver-breitling-cinema-squad-charlize-theron-brad-pitt/

    Quote: Scott is clearly a big fan of the actor, who also stars in his upcoming film The Last Duel, a reteaming of Matt Damon and Ben Affleck (who star and co-wrote the script with Nicole Holofcener) in an epic tale of betrayal and justice set in 14th-century France. “It was great,” says Driver of the opportunity. “It was a dream job. I love [Scott’s] movies and working with him. It’s such an incredible group of writers and actors, including Matt Damon and Ben Affleck and the incredible Jodie Comer. They’re unprecious about their material and so trusting and collaborative. All of the dream things that you hope for.”

    I think the interview was done shortly before filming on House of Gucci began because the writer mentions at the beginning he was getting ready to play Maurizio.

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