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May 24, 2020 at 7:33 am #1203498341
Ever since the 1930s, at least one acting winner from the previous decade has repeated with a second win in the following decade.
30s & 40s
Walter Brenan
Fredrick March40s & 50s
Gary Cooper
Ingrid Bergman50s & 60s
Anthony Quinn
Shelley Wingers60s & 70s
Maggie Smith
Melvyn Douglas70s & 80s
Robert de Niro
Meryl Streep
Jack Nicholson
Sally Field
Dustin Hoffman80s & 90s
Jodie Foster
Jessica Oange
Diane Wiest
Jack Nicholson
Michael Caine1990s & 2000s
Hilary Swank
2000s & 2010s
Daniel Day-Lewis
Christophe Waltz
Cate Blanchett
Renee ZellwegerWhich of the acting winners from the 2010s do you think is most likely to pick up a second acting Oscar in the 2020s
2010s winners
Casey Affleck
Mahershala Ali
Patricia Arquette
Christian BaleCate Blanchett
Olivia Colman
Viola Davis
Laura DernLeonardo DiCaprio
Jean Dujardin
Colin Firth
Daniel Day-LewisAnne Hathaway
Alison Janney
Regina King
Brie LarsonJennifer Lawrence
Melissa Leo
Jared Leto
Rami MalekMatthew McConaughey
Frances McDormand
Julianne Moore
Lupita Nyong’oGary Oldman
Joaquin Phoenix
Brad Pitt
Christopher PlummerNatalie Portman
Eddie Redmayne
Sam Rockwell
Mark RylanceJK Simmons
Octavia Spencer
Emma Stone
Meryl StreepAlicia Vikander
Reply
Christophe Waltz
Renee ZellwegerMay 24, 2020 at 7:46 am #1203498359I’d rank them like this :
- Cate Blanchett
- Christian Bale
- Emma Stone
- Meryl Streep
- Leonardo DiCaprio
- Eddie Redmayne
- Laura Dern
- Lupita Nyong’o
- Sam Rockwell
- Natalie Portman
- Rami Malek
- Jennifer Lawrence
- Viola Davis
- Gary Oldman
- Christophe Waltz
- Alison Janney
- Brie Larson
- Olivia Colman
- Julianne Moore
- Frances McDormand
- Octavia Spencer
- Joaquin Phoenix
- Matthew McConaughey
- Brad Pitt
- Mark Rylance
- Anne Hathaway
- Renee Zellweger
- Christopher Plummer
- Regina King
- Colin Firth
- Jared Leto
- Daniel Day-Lewis
- JK Simmons
- Alicia Vikander
- Jean Dujardin
- Melissa Leo
ReplyCopy URLFYC:
"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")
May 24, 2020 at 7:47 am #1203498361I may sound cliché and i said this in another thread, but among the male actors, Leonardo DiCaprio and Christian Bale are of course the most likely, especially the former.
The former keeps starring in incredibly interesting and baity projects with all the best A-list filmmakers working today.
The latter also attracts talent behind the camera willing to work with him, and he’s kinda considered overdue for a win in the Lead category.
I’d also say that Gary Oldman is a threat this year for a second one with Mank.
ReplyCopy URLMay 24, 2020 at 7:55 am #1203498371I may sound cliché, i kinda said it in another thread, but among the male actors, DiCaprio and Bale are of course the most likely, especially the former. The former keeps starring in incredibly interesting and baity projects with all the best A-list directors working today. The latter also attracts talent behind the camera willing to work with him, and he’s kinda considered overdue for a win in the Lead category.
With all due respect, Leo isn’t more likely to repeat than Bale. The former took ages to finally win his first, so I doubt he’ll be awarded a second this early. Bale almost won his second last year, and he only lost due to the character he portrayed and Bohemian Rhapsody’s popularity.
ReplyCopy URLMay 24, 2020 at 8:21 am #1203498412Meryl Streep is for sure getting another Oscar this decade. I could see her winning for “Babylon” (she’s rumored to be in it) or “Wicked” (she’ll probably be cast as Madame Morrible) in supporting, before winning a final one in Lead.
The question mark is Cate Blanchett. She might have to wait the 2030s to win her third, but she could get it before if she is undeniable again, maybe with that Lucille Ball project (if it gets made) or even with Nightmare Alley.
ReplyCopy URLMay 24, 2020 at 8:24 am #1203498417This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.May 24, 2020 at 8:27 am #1203498419I’d also say that Gary Oldman is a threat this year for a second one with Mank.
Yeah, after he finally broke through with a first nomination and first win with ease and in relatively short time of each other. He’ll probably again in the “you like me, you really like me” vein.
With all due respect, Leo isn’t more likely to repeat than Bale. The former took ages to finally win his first, so I doubt he’ll be awarded a second this early.
It’s odd, after the overdue narrative works, the thespian in question usually takes forever to come back (Pacino, Sarandon, Penn). I feel something similar will happen wirh Leo but because he now takes so long in-between projects he’ll still get nominated regardless (just without the wins, similar to Streep, DDL & Washington)
Bale almost won his second last year, and he only lost due to the character he portrayed and Bohemian Rhapsody’s popularity.
He also almost got nominated this year for a performance, role & film which are all very basic and paint-by-numbers.
Him having his first win in supporting helps win for a 2nd, as there is still this idea that actors have his star level / fame having they’re Oscar be for supporting is lesser. It’s why Washington, Blanchett & Zellweger all managed to 2nd with relative ease and without any objectifications.
That’s the same reasoning why I think Hathaway & Davis (probably this year for Ma Rainey) will also get a 2nd sooner rather than later.
ReplyCopy URLMay 24, 2020 at 8:54 am #1203498439I wouldn’t be surprised if Janney won a second Oscar. She still appears in quite a lot of Oscar bait movies and I suspect had Bad Education been acquired for a cinematic release last year instead of by HBO she could have threatened Laura Dern for the win.
The same applies to Dern. I could easily seeing her being like Mahershala Ali and win a second Oscar in Supporting very soon.
ReplyCopy URLFYC:
"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")
May 24, 2020 at 9:32 am #1203498500I’d rank them like this :
- Cate Blanchett
- Christian Bale
- Emma Stone
- Meryl Streep
- Leonardo DiCaprio
- Eddie Redmayne
- Laura Dern
- Lupita Nyong’o
- Sam Rockwell
- Natalie Portman
- Rami Malek
- Jennifer Lawrence
- Viola Davis
- Gary Oldman
- Christophe Waltz
- Alison Janney
- Brie Larson
- Olivia Colman
- Julianne Moore
- Frances McDormand
- Octavia Spencer
- Joaquin Phoenix
- Matthew McConaughey
- Brad Pitt
- Mark Rylance
- Anne Hathaway
- Renee Zellweger
- Christopher Plummer
- Regina King
- Colin Firth
- Jared Leto
- Daniel Day-Lewis
- JK Simmons
- Alicia Vikander
- Jean Dujardin
- Melissa Leo
I mostly agree, but I doubt the retired Day-Lewis is more likely to win an Oscar than Simmons, Vikander, Dujardin, Leo.
If he actually takes a role, though, I’d put him way up there.
ReplyCopy URL"It is impossible to defeat an ignorant man in an argument." - William Gibbs McAdoo
May 24, 2020 at 12:03 pm #1203498772
ReplyCopy URLAnne Hathaway for lead actress. She has the talent and ambition to go for a second Oscar.
May 24, 2020 at 12:25 pm #1203498784Bale, Blanchett, Rockwell, Davis, Phoenix. Maybe Dern and maybe Streep.
ReplyCopy URLwatch I May Destroy You
May 24, 2020 at 1:18 pm #1203498847Very likely: Christian Bale, Cate Blanchett, Viola Davis, Leonardo DiCaprio, Meryl Streep.
Possible: Anne Hathaway, Jennifer Lawrence, Lupita Nyong’o, Joaquin Phoenix, Natalie Portman, Sam Rockwell, Emma Stone.
Could happen: Olivia Colman, Laura Dern, Alisson Janney, Regina King, Brie Larson, Rami Malek, Julianne Moore, Frances McDormand, Gary Oldman, Brad Pitt, Eddie Redmayne, Octavia Spencer
Unlikely/not happening: Casey Affleck, Mahershala Ali, Patricia Arquette, Daniel Day-Lewis, Jean Dujardin, Colin Firth, Melissa Leo, Jared Leto, Matthew McConaughey, Christopher Plummer, Mark Rylance, JK Simmons, Alicia Vikander, Christoph Waltz, Renée Zellweger.
ReplyCopy URLMay 24, 2020 at 1:41 pm #1203498870High contender: Bale, Blanchett
Contender: Davis, Nyongo, Portman, Hathaway, Janney
Maybe: Affleck, Firth, Oldman, DiCaprio
Unlikely: the rest
ReplyCopy URL2023 Oscar
Best Picture: The Way of The Wind
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: TAR
Best Actor: The Whale
Best Supporting Actress: The Whale
Best Supporting Actor: Poor ThingsMay 24, 2020 at 7:40 pm #1203499285Christian Bale
Cate Blanchett
Viola DavisLeonardo DiCaprio
Anne HathawayJennifer Lawrence
Julianne Moore
Gary Oldman
Brad PittNatalie Portman
Emma Stone
ReplyCopy URLLetterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/IsabelaOlivie/
May 25, 2020 at 2:31 am #1203499566I think La Streep will win her fourth this decade. If things turn out alright for her, she might even win a fifth, but she has to be really lucky to get a fifth. The fourth is extremely likely.
Blanchett has two and at this point in her career she isn’t in third Oscar territory, so she’ll have to wait until the 2030s and deliver regularly. And by the way, somebody pointed out undeniable performances. Unfortunately, for the Academy, there is no such thing. They’ve honoured plenty of undeniable performances and snubbed just as many.
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