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October 17, 2020 at 3:58 pm #1203784858
Not a campaigning decision per se, but if Noah Baumbach/Netflix had gotten Marriage Story out a season earlier (it was filmed early 2018) it would have done much better.
Yeah, it would probably have won Best Original Screenplay. Might have won Best Actor.October 17, 2020 at 4:02 pm #1203784865
I was thinking Rooney Mara could have won in lead category for Carol because I was a bit underwhelmed by Larson. I think people didn’t vote for her in supporting because it is category fraud at its pinnacle. (the hilarious “Rooney Moore” by Diane Ladd) You still could argue Eddie Redmayne is the true lead in The Danish Girl rather than Vikander. In Mara’s case, there is no excuse.
To be honest, I think Blanchett and Mara were the obvious winners for that year… They probably would have won, if the Academy didn’t have a at-this-point bizarre prejudice against LGBT films… Imagine letting Crash win instead of Brokeback Mountain… Imagine letting The Martian get nominated for Best Picutre instead of Carol…October 17, 2020 at 4:07 pm #1203784878
* Viola Davis in FENCES. She was a lead and with that performance she would have beaten Stone and Huppert. I believe she would have swept the entire season for Best Actress. The history making win we are expecting from Davis this year could (and SHOULD) have happened in 2016/17
I doubt it… Yes, Viola Davis is great in Fences – but… La La Land was the Best Picture frontrunner and the best part of it is probably Emma Stone’s portrayal. Also, Denzel probably gets double Viola’s screen-time… I think they were risking it a little, if they put her in lead. Winning in Supporting was a guarantee – unless Michelle Williams managed to pull an upset… which, with the way the Oscars work now, was extremely unlikely.
I say that, however, and there are about a million examples of the best element of a Best Picture winner not being rewarded – Jack Lemmon’s portrayal in The Apartment comes to mind.October 17, 2020 at 4:08 pm #1203784882
Margaret Avery’s campaign for The Color Purple:October 17, 2020 at 4:14 pm #1203784895
I don’t know the ins & outs of the decision… but, for me, I think A24 not pushing Oscar Isaac for his portrayal in Ex Machina is a bit confusing to me, especially since Vikander got a mega-push.
Isaac gives the best performance in the film and I think it was a film that was universally well-liked. And Isaac is, particularly, in hindisight, I think, the element of it that has held up the best. (It’s probably regarded as his second best role after Llewyn Davis). And… the Best Supporting Actor category for 2015 was ridden with performances that had a similar vaguely subtle, character-actor vibe – Rylance (Bridge Of Spies), Bale (The Big Short), Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)… I don’t think it would have been hard for such a flamboyant performance as Isaac’s to get a nomination.October 17, 2020 at 4:19 pm #1203784906
Also, right… I know the film wasn’t a big hit financially – but it was critically beloved.
David Fincher’s Zodiac. Should have been nominated for Best Picture and more obviously Best Director – imagine nominating Jason Reitman over David Fincher.
Anyway, the point is there wasn’t even an effort. And the film could very easily have been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay – probably, wouldn’t have won… No Country For Old Men was preferred by the Academy.
I, also, reckon they could have gotten Downey Jr. an Oscar nod for his performance as Paul Avery… Philip Seymour Hoffman gives a similar-ish performance in Charlie Wilson’s War in the same year. My point being these are the sorts of performances the Academy like – aloof, eccentric, but kind of charismatic to watch. Deserved a Nod completely over Tom Wilkinson.October 17, 2020 at 4:42 pm #1203784929
While I adore Alicia Vikander in the Danish Girl she should not have won the Oscar in that category. If her studio had done their job properly she’d have been nominated in Best Actress (replacing JLaw) and won in supporting for Ex Machina. That would have been exciting and momentous for the sci-fi genre. There’s no excuse for her to be nominated in support for TDG when not long ago Felicity Jones was nominated in lead for a similar performance opposite Redmayne.
On a much smaller scale Lesley Manville should have been campaigned as supporting actress for Another Year. She won lead at NBR but wasn’t known enough to break through an ambiguous category placement. If she’d been supporting throughout she could have at least been nominated even though she’s arguably lead. Unknown actresses have an easier job breaking into supporting.
Antonio Banderas and Asier Etxeandia, Dolor y Gloria (Best Actor/Supporting Actor)
Emily Beecham, Little Joe (Best Actress)
Ian McKellen and Helen Mirren, The Good Liar (Best Actor/Actress)October 17, 2020 at 4:58 pm #1203784947
Not people calling Viola Davis in Fences one of the worst decisions in campaigning history, when it in fact paid off and she won lmao. And he winning in Lead wouldn’t be such a certanity as people make it out to be.
Yes to this. Now everyone thinks Davis would’ve swept. Having a jelly with that overnominated movie was never going to be overshadowed by Davis’ performance. The final choice is such a joke, especially with the two gems that were actually nominated and deserved to win.October 17, 2020 at 5:52 pm #1203785046
Meryl Streep – Lead Actress for Devil Wears Prada. She probably would’ve had a better chance of winning her 3rd for that against Hudson than Mirren. In fact her and Blanchett should’ve switched nomination spots.October 17, 2020 at 6:00 pm #1203785086
Following on from Honey’s comments I’d say Blanchett should have campaigned Lead for Notes on a Scandal and Dench supporting. Sure it would be category fraud because in the novel Dench’s character is the clear Lead but in the film Blanchett and Dench are co-leads and it isn’t really that much category fraud for Dench to go supporting. Plus had Dench gone supporting then she could have beaten Hudson and Blanchett (whilst no one would ever beat Helen Mirren) would have stood a better chance of winning in Lead.
FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).October 17, 2020 at 6:05 pm #1203785092
Like someone said before, A24 REALLY dropped the ball on The Farewell. Uncut Gems was never happening at the Oscars, but A24 felt the need to suddenly switch and make that its campaign priority at the beginning of the season. Awful decision, as The Farewell would have been an easy Screenplay and Picture (and Zhao Shuzhen could have even made it over Kathy Bates) if A24 had paid it the attention it deserved. If they’d really gone all in and voters had realized how mid Harriet really was, Oscarfina could have had a chance at becoming a reality.October 17, 2020 at 6:49 pm #1203785141
Like someone said before, A24 REALLY dropped the ball on The Farewell. Uncut Gems was never happening at the Oscars, but A24 felt the need to suddenly switch and make that its campaign priority at the beginning of the season. Awful decision, as The Farewell would have been an easy Screenplay and Picture (and Zhao Shuzhen could have even made it over Kathy Bates) if A24 had paid it the attention it deserved. If they’d really gone all in and voters had realized how mid Harriet really was, Oscarfina could have had a chance at becoming a reality.
I couldn’t have said it better myself. A24 have SUCKED at campaigning since Lady Bird. I’m scared that they’re gonna mess up Minari the same way. It’s not like they have anything else in contention so they have no excuse this time around. I still think they should’ve gotten it to play at a few more festivals.October 17, 2020 at 7:16 pm #1203785190
Sony released Little Women FAR too late in the season. Sure, it’s a typical Christmas movie, but I think it would have fit just as well in a Thanksgiving slot. It’s a baity project, but it’s not a 1917 type project where just the concept can make voters go crazy. Being a remake, it needed to prove itself, and Gerwig/the younger cast are not name checks yet. It still needed to build hype to get everywhere it wanted. It ended up being able to collect that buzz in time for the Oscars, but it should have EASILY gotten Picture and Ensemble nods at the Globes and SAG. I still think Gerwig could’ve snagged a director nod over Phillips as well if the project had been given enough time to stack up hype.October 17, 2020 at 10:32 pm #1203785436
Some say Berry Gordy’s over campaigning for Diana Ross cost her the Oscar for Lady Sings the Blues. Even eventual winner Liza Minnelli confessed that she thought that Diana was going to win for her powerhouse performance.
Their co-nominee Cicely Tyson would have likely won in supporting had she been nominated there instead.
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