What if: Award Season 2021

[Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 36 Posts: 1460 View Predictions]

#1204679146

Being the Richardos

Lets say that Cate Blanchett was cast as Lucille Ball and got raves for her performance. And then with her supporting turn in both Dont Look Up and Nightmare Alley, would have position her yet again how versatile an actress she truly is.

Would Blanchett have been a favourite to win a 3rd Oscar?

What do you guys think?

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

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[ChocolateNomad Joined: Oct 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 202 View Predictions]

#1204679155

Didn’t Blanchett bail on the project due to Sorkin’s involvement? I think while she could’ve done an excellent job, she could only be competitive for a win if the film was absolutely amazing. You don’t win a third Oscar for a middling movie unless you’re Meryl Streep and Blanchett wasn’t seen as overdue for 30 years of amazing work.

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[Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 36 Posts: 1460 View Predictions]

#1204679970

The Last Duel

If the studio had campaign Jodie Comer in supporting, I think she would have had a great chance for a nomination. But who would have been kick out of the top 5?

What do you guys think?

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36814 View Predictions]

#1204679978

Whilst I do think she would have had a better chance at a nomination, I don’t think Comer would still get in at the Oscars in supporting. She’d have ended up being another Claire Foy in First Man.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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[Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 36 Posts: 1460 View Predictions]

#1204680048

wolfali wrote:

Whilst I do think she would have had a better chance at a nomination, I don’t think Comer would still get in at the Oscars in supporting. She’d have ended up being another Claire Foy in First Man.

Why do you think that? Is it her performance, the lack of buzz around the movie, screen time etc?

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

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[Shrek Superslam Joined: Feb 7th, 2019 Topics: 4 Posts: 976 View Predictions]

#1204680637

Do we reckon Leo would get in, if he had decided to do the Jon Peters role in Licorice Pizza?

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 58 Posts: 6112 View Predictions]

#1204680670

(a) Blanchett instead of Kidman won’t make much of a difference, just that Twitter would be kinder. The film is not getting BP and in a category as stacked as Actress, Blanchett probably would be where Kidman is at present but with a much weaker narrative (since she would not have faced much Twitter backlash).

(b) Comer in supporting would have boosted her chances but again the category is too strong and TLD is not strong. She could show up at BAFTA but I don’t think she could have made the Oscars. Add to that the problem that some Academy voters would probably place her in Lead (so vote splitting).

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36814 View Predictions]

#1204682062

Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR wrote:

Why do you think that? Is it her performance, the lack of buzz around the movie, screen time etc?

The buzz around the film mainly. I guess she theoretically could have pulled a Kathy Bates/Michael Shannon and gotten in as the sole nominee for a hyped up contender that underwhelmed after it premiered and throughout the season but I think the fact that both supporting categories tend to correlate with Best Picture wouldn’t have done her many favours with how stacked the competition is especially this year.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 2166 View Predictions]

#1204682070

Shrek Superslam wrote:

Do we reckon Leo would get in, if he had decided to do the Jon Peters role in Licorice Pizza?

No. It’s just not a significant enough role, especially given the placement of the scene in the film.

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[Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 36 Posts: 1460 View Predictions]

#1204687115

The Power of the Dog

Elisabeth Moss was the original choice to play Rose, but had to back out due to scheduling conflicts with Next Goal Wins. Would Moss had gotten more or less the same raves as Dunst? This could also had been her first overdue nomination as well

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 2166 View Predictions]

#1204687150

Had there been no pandemic, would any of the nominees and winners for awards season 2021 been any different? If so, how?

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[Babylonian Joined: Aug 16th, 2021 Topics: 8 Posts: 3853 View Predictions]

#1204687154

I think she might get nominated in both, but I’m not sure she would be a frontrunner to win a third.

FYC:

Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36814 View Predictions]

#1204687592

The hypothetical with the Elisabeth Moss casting is interesting because on the one hand I absolutely do think she would have received just as strong notices (she’s Elisabeth Moss, critics love her and she’s a fantastic actress who is arguably one of the most revered in the industry today) but although she’s the exact same age as Kirsten Dunst, her narrative is quite different. Kirsten Dunst is a film actress who since she was a child has received critical acclaim for numerous film performances and has often been cited as one of the actors you’d be “most shocked about having never been nominated for an Oscar”. Moss however is a television actress who hasn’t had the same opportunities she’s had in film as she’s had in television (like with Allison Janney, Regina King etc).

I think Dunst is probably in a stronger position in this Oscar race than Moss would have been because Rose isn’t really like a role she’s ever had in her filmography whilst Moss has played characters like Rose but I do think Moss would have still be in the Oscar conversation and grabbed a nomination at the very least. It would have been interesting to see how she fared with Aunjanue Ellis as they both have similar awards narratives and whether Moss would have overshadowed Ellis and her case completely or if their support would be even more evenly split than Dunst and Ellis’ seem to be and DeBose would thus be a much stronger frontrunner.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 1558 View Predictions]

#1204687637

Rachel615 wrote:

No. It’s just not a significant enough role, especially given the placement of the scene in the film.

If it was DiCaprio, they’d have written the part to be bigger.

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