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For every year since the expansion to nominees (2009) list what YOU think would have been the 5 nominated for best picture each year.
ReplyLetterboxd: Brayfers
!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film EditingFYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of Us- 2009:
- The Hurt Locker
- Avatar
- Inglorious Basterds
- Precious
- Up in the Air
- 2010:
- The King’s Speech
- The Social Network
- True Grit
- Inception
- The Fighter
- 2011:
- The Artist
- The Descendants
- Hugo
- Midnight in Paris
- Moneyball
- 2012:
- Argo
- Django Unchained
- Life of Pi
- Lincoln
- Silver Linings Playbook
- 2013:
- 12 Years a Slave
- American Hustle
- Gravity
- Nebraska
- The Wolf of Wall Street
- 2014:
- Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
- Boyhood
- The Grand Budapest Hotel
- The Imitation Game
- Whiplash
- 2015:
- Spotlight
- The Big Short
- Mad Max: Fury Road
- The Revenant
- The Martian
- 2016:
- Moonlight
- Arrival
- Hacksaw Ridge
- La La Land
- Manchester by the Sea
- 2017:
- The Shape of Water
- Dunkirk
- Get Out
- Lady Bird
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- 2018:
- Green Book
- BlacKkKlansman
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- The Favourite
- Roma
- 2019:
- Parasite
- The Irishman
- Joker
- 1917
- Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
- 2020:
- Nomadland
- The Father
- Mank
- Minari
- Promising Young Woman
- 2021:
- CODA
- Belfast
- Dune
- The Power of the Dog
- West Side Story
- 2022:
- Everything Everywhere All At Once
- All Quiet On The Western Front
- Top Gun: Maverick
- The Banshees of Inisherin
- TAR
ReplyCopy URLLetterboxd: Brayfers
!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film EditingFYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of UsWell we need to remember that films have a different momentum on nominations morning than on the day of the actual ceremony. Neither CODA nor The Father would have made Best Picture in a field of 5 on nominations morning but would definitely have on the day of the ceremony. Considering here we’re talking of nominations morning:
- 2009:
- The Hurt Locker
- Avatar
- Inglorious Basterds
- Precious
- Up in the Air
Easy locked five.
- 2010:
- The King’s Speech
- The Social Network
- True Grit
- Black Swan
- The Fighter
Inception would be the big snub. Nolan and the Editing misses are enough to say it would have been hurt by the genre bias.
- 2011:
- The Artist
- The Descendants
- Hugo
- Midnight in Paris
- Moneyball
Yeah makes me think this would be the five. Moneyball being the 5th one.
- 2012:
- Argo
- Zero Dark Thirty
- Life of Pi
- Lincoln
- Silver Linings Playbook
An easy five. No way Django would have been the 5th one with the rise of Silver Linings Playbook and with the technical support of Life Of Pi.
- 2013:
- 12 Years a Slave
- American Hustle
- Gravity
- Nebraska
- The Wolf of Wall Street
Easy five.
- 2014:
- Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
- Boyhood
- The Grand Budapest Hotel
- The Imitation Game
- American Sniper
Considering the late surge of support, American Sniper would have gotten a surprise nomination. Whiplash peaked later after nominations.
- 2015:
- Spotlight
- The Big Short
- Mad Max: Fury Road
- The Revenant
- The Martian / Room
Either The Martian or Room would have been the fifth one.
- 2016:
- Moonlight
- Arrival
- Hacksaw Ridge / Lion
- La La Land
- Manchester by the Sea
Either Lion or Hacksaw Ridge would have been No.5
- 2017:
- The Shape of Water
- Dunkirk
- Get Out
- Lady Bird
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Easy five.
- 2018:
- Green Book
- BlacKkKlansman
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- The Favourite
- Roma
I really want to put Vice in but in place of what?
- 2019:
- Parasite
- The Irishman
- Joker
- 1917
- Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Easy five.
- 2020:
- Nomadland
- The Trial Of The Chicago 7
- Mank
- Minari
- Promising Young Woman
Easy five at this stage although wouldn’t be surprised if after 10 days, The Father would have replaced Trial.
- 2021:
- King Richard
- Belfast
- Dune
- The Power of the Dog
- West Side Story
King Richard would have easily made in considering it got all the major nominations it needed. CODA had no shot at this stage and West Side Story would have been No.5
- 2022:
- Everything Everywhere All At Once
- All Quiet On The Western Front
- Top Gun: Maverick
- The Banshees of Inisherin
- TAR
All Quiet being No.5
ReplyCopy URLWell we need to remember that films have a different momentum on nominations morning than on the day of the actual ceremony. Neither CODA nor The Father would have made Best Picture in a field of 5 on nominations morning but would definitely have on the day of the ceremony. Considering here we’re talking of nominations morning:
- 2009:
- The Hurt Locker
- Avatar
- Inglorious Basterds
- Precious
- Up in the Air
Easy locked five.
- 2010:
- The King’s Speech
- The Social Network
- True Grit
- Black Swan
- The Fighter
Inception would be the big snub. Nolan and the Editing misses are enough to say it would have been hurt by the genre bias.
- 2011:
- The Artist
- The Descendants
- Hugo
- Midnight in Paris
- Moneyball
Yeah makes me think this would be the five. Moneyball being the 5th one.
- 2012:
- Argo
- Zero Dark Thirty
- Life of Pi
- Lincoln
- Silver Linings Playbook
An easy five. No way Django would have been the 5th one with the rise of Silver Linings Playbook and with the technical support of Life Of Pi.
- 2013:
- 12 Years a Slave
- American Hustle
- Gravity
- Nebraska
- The Wolf of Wall Street
Easy five.
- 2014:
- Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
- Boyhood
- The Grand Budapest Hotel
- The Imitation Game
- American Sniper
Considering the late surge of support, American Sniper would have gotten a surprise nomination. Whiplash peaked later after nominations.
- 2015:
- Spotlight
- The Big Short
- Mad Max: Fury Road
- The Revenant
- The Martian / Room
Either The Martian or Room would have been the fifth one.
- 2016:
- Moonlight
- Arrival
- Hacksaw Ridge / Lion
- La La Land
- Manchester by the Sea
Either Lion or Hacksaw Ridge would have been No.5
- 2017:
- The Shape of Water
- Dunkirk
- Get Out
- Lady Bird
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Easy five.
- 2018:
- Green Book
- BlacKkKlansman
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- The Favourite
- Roma
I really want to put Vice in but in place of what?
- 2019:
- Parasite
- The Irishman
- Joker
- 1917
- Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Easy five.
- 2020:
- Nomadland
- The Trial Of The Chicago 7
- Mank
- Minari
- Promising Young Woman
Easy five at this stage although wouldn’t be surprised if after 10 days, The Father would have replaced Trial.
- 2021:
- King Richard
- Belfast
- Dune
- The Power of the Dog
- West Side Story
King Richard would have easily made in considering it got all the major nominations it needed. CODA had no shot at this stage and West Side Story would have been No.5
- 2022:
- Everything Everywhere All At Once
- All Quiet On The Western Front
- Top Gun: Maverick
- The Banshees of Inisherin
- TAR
All Quiet being No.5
I agree with pretty much all of this. I’d say The Martian would get in over Room; it’s more mainstream so would have more votes from producers, publicists and members at large, as well as more below-the-line support. (Room weirdly wasn’t even nominated for PGA). Hacksaw vs. Lion is a real head-scratcher; I’m slightly inclined towards the former but only just. I also don’t think it’s unquestionable that Arrival could’ve missed out.
ReplyCopy URL2023: All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, TÁR
You could be right about Fabelmans making it in.
I’m happy they expanded to 10, when I think of films like WT and almost every other film missing out.ReplyCopy URLThe Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses whiteDarling, my theory based off precursors and possible passion votes:
2009
The Hurt Locker
Avatar
Inglourious Basterds
Up In The Air
Precious2010
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
The Fighter
True Grit
Black Swan2011
The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
Moneyball
Midnight In Paris2012
Argo
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty2013
12 Years A Slave
American Hustle
Gravity
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street2014
Birdman
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
The Theory Of Everything2015
The Revenant
The Big Short
Mad Max Fury Road
Bridge of Spies
Room2016
La La Land
Moonlight
Manchester by The Sea
Hidden Figures
Hacksaw Ridge2017
Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing Missouri
The Shape of Water
Dunkirk
Darkest Hour
Call Me By Your Name2018
Green Book
Blackkklansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
A Star Is Born
Roma2019
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
1917
The Irishman
Little Women
Parasite2020
Nomadland
Mank
The Trial of Chicago 7
Promising Young Woman
Minari2021
The Power of The Dog
Belfast
King Richard
West Side Story
Dune2022
ReplyCopy URL
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
The Banshees of Inisherin
TÁRWell we need to remember that films have a different momentum on nominations morning than on the day of the actual ceremony. Neither CODA nor The Father would have made Best Picture in a field of 5 on nominations morning but would definitely have on the day of the ceremony. Considering here we’re talking of nominations morning:
- 2009:
- The Hurt Locker
- Avatar
- Inglorious Basterds
- Precious
- Up in the Air
Easy locked five.
- 2010:
- The King’s Speech
- The Social Network
- True Grit
- Black Swan
- The Fighter
Inception would be the big snub. Nolan and the Editing misses are enough to say it would have been hurt by the genre bias.
- 2011:
- The Artist
- The Descendants
- Hugo
- Midnight in Paris
- Moneyball
Yeah makes me think this would be the five. Moneyball being the 5th one.
- 2012:
- Argo
- Zero Dark Thirty
- Life of Pi
- Lincoln
- Silver Linings Playbook
An easy five. No way Django would have been the 5th one with the rise of Silver Linings Playbook and with the technical support of Life Of Pi.
- 2013:
- 12 Years a Slave
- American Hustle
- Gravity
- Nebraska
- The Wolf of Wall Street
Easy five.
- 2014:
- Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
- Boyhood
- The Grand Budapest Hotel
- The Imitation Game
- American Sniper
Considering the late surge of support, American Sniper would have gotten a surprise nomination. Whiplash peaked later after nominations.
- 2015:
- Spotlight
- The Big Short
- Mad Max: Fury Road
- The Revenant
- The Martian / Room
Either The Martian or Room would have been the fifth one.
- 2016:
- Moonlight
- Arrival
- Hacksaw Ridge / Lion
- La La Land
- Manchester by the Sea
Either Lion or Hacksaw Ridge would have been No.5
- 2017:
- The Shape of Water
- Dunkirk
- Get Out
- Lady Bird
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Easy five.
- 2018:
- Green Book
- BlacKkKlansman
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- The Favourite
- Roma
I really want to put Vice in but in place of what?
- 2019:
- Parasite
- The Irishman
- Joker
- 1917
- Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Easy five.
- 2020:
- Nomadland
- The Trial Of The Chicago 7
- Mank
- Minari
- Promising Young Woman
Easy five at this stage although wouldn’t be surprised if after 10 days, The Father would have replaced Trial.
- 2021:
- King Richard
- Belfast
- Dune
- The Power of the Dog
- West Side Story
King Richard would have easily made in considering it got all the major nominations it needed. CODA had no shot at this stage and West Side Story would have been No.5
- 2022:
- Everything Everywhere All At Once
- All Quiet On The Western Front
- Top Gun: Maverick
- The Banshees of Inisherin
- TAR
All Quiet being No.5
great picks!
the reason I had Inception in over Black Swan was because I thought the genre bias would hurt BS and Inception pulled a screenplay nom.
I had Django over ZDT only because Django ended up winning screenplay and supporting actor, and I know there was a pushback against ZDT for the whole torture propaganda or whatever
I also considered American Sniper but I was being optimistic and hoping Whiplash would make it off of BAFTA support for Chazelle
I picked The Martian just because of the overall visibility over Room
I picked Hacksaw because of Gibson name checking and It performed well with wins later on
And I was actually considering dropping Mank for Trial instead of the Father, idk I just felt like it was overall passionless
ReplyCopy URLLetterboxd: Brayfers
!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film EditingFYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of Us - 2009:
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