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What if the 92nd Oscar ceremony was in March?

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    If the Oscar ceremony was delayed until March, how much do you think this would’ve affected the Oscar race? I’m not sure that much would’ve changed, but there would likely have been at least a few upsets below-the-lines, which the truncated Oscar season pretty much mostly prevented.

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    wolfali
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    If the Oscar ceremony was delayed until March, how much do you think this would’ve affected the Oscar race? I’m not sure that much would’ve changed, but there would likely have been at least a few upsets below-the-lines, which the truncated Oscar season pretty much mostly prevented.

    1. Taika Waitit would have gotten for Best Director.
    2. J-Lo would still be snubbed.
    3. Either Zellweger or Phoenix (or both) could have succumbed to an Olivia Colman.
    4. I think neither Parasite or 1917 would have won. There is always a sense of the favourite or joint favourites peaking early and then being campaigned against. Best Picture would have gone to either Once Upon a Time in Hollywood or JoJo Rabbit.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    3. Either Zellweger or Phoenix (or both) could have succumbed to an Olivia Colman.

    I’d say more likely Zellweger than Phoenix because Joaquin was always the most popular actor in his lineup. At the same time though, there wasn’t really one solitary can’t-miss performance in the Lead Actress lineup that people could rally behind if not Zellweger. If not Renee though, it would absolutely have been Scarlett due to her double-nominee status and overall popularity. The question is if they’d really give Marriage Story two acting awards.

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    wolfali
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    I’d say more likely Zellweger than Phoenix because Joaquin was always the most popular actor in his lineup. At the same time though, there wasn’t really one solitary can’t-miss performance in the Lead Actress lineup that people could rally behind if not Zellweger. If not Renee though, it would absolutely have been Scarlett due to her double-nominee status and overall popularity. The question is if they’d really give Marriage Story two acting awards.

    I disagree. I could see Scarlett upsetting Dern for JoJo Rabbit but if there’s anyone I could see upsetting Zellweger it would have been Theron.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    I disagree. I could see Scarlett upsetting Dern for JoJo Rabbit but if there’s anyone I could see upsetting Zellweger it would have been Theron.

    I disagree. Bombshell wasn’t well-liked enough for people to feel justified giving Theron a 2nd Oscar.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    4. I think neither Parasite or 1917 would have won. There is always a sense of the favourite or joint favourites peaking early and then being campaigned against. Best Picture would have gone to either Once Upon a Time in Hollywood or JoJo Rabbit.

    I have a feeling that Parasite had too much passion and love to be vulnerable enough. Maybe a month might’ve opened other possibilities, but I feel like there was just too much going in Parasite’s favor for it to lose.

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    Juanald02
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    I think the winners would’ve remained the same for the most part; but one category that could’ve gone differently might be Parasite winning editing over Ford v Ferrari

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    Eddy Q
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    1. Taika Waitit would have gotten for Best Director.
    2. J-Lo would still be snubbed.
    3. Either Zellweger or Phoenix (or both) could have succumbed to an Olivia Colman.
    4. I think neither Parasite or 1917 would have won. There is always a sense of the favourite or joint favourites peaking early and then being campaigned against. Best Picture would have gone to either Once Upon a Time in Hollywood or JoJo Rabbit.

    I don’t agree with any of these except no. 2. And why would Taika Waititi get into Director? He was able to get in at DGA and the Academy directors’ branch came to a different conclusion, as they always do. More time wouldn’t have helped Taika.

    Honestly I think the entire season would’ve been the same except mayyybe Song Kang-ho could’ve gotten into Supporting Actor with an extra week or two before the stage 1 voting period.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    Honestly I think the entire season would’ve been the same except mayyybe Song Kang-ho could’ve gotten into Supporting Actor with an extra week or two before the stage 1 voting period.

    Who would he have knocked out? My first assumption is Tom Hanks since he was the sole nominee for Won’t You Be My Neighbor?. That was actually the reason I thought he wouldn’t be nominated since he was likely going to be the only nominee for his film and I instead had Anthony Hopkins who wasn’t in the top 5 predicted Supporting Actor nominees by the time the nominees were announced.

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    JackO
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    If the Oscar ceremony was delayed until March, how much do you think this would’ve affected the Oscar race? I’m not sure that much would’ve changed, but there would likely have been at least a few upsets below-the-lines, which the truncated Oscar season pretty much mostly prevented.

    Not much if at all. 1917 probably would have had a worse night since the backlash would have had more time to get louder.

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