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How do you guys think certain years would be different in nominations? Discuss.
ReplyFYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.
That’s a lot of movies to think about…
They would’ve probably nominated a couple of high profile performances that came out of Cannes, like Kirsten Dunst in Melancholia, Mads Mikkelsen in The Hunt, Isabelle Huppert in Elle
Josh O’Connor in God’s Own Country, Florence Pugh in Lady Macbeth
ReplyCopy URLAsier Etxeandia should have won for Pain and Glory
ReplyCopy URLFYC:
Zar Amir Ebrahimi - Holy Spider (Best Actress)
Ana de Armas, Julianne Nicholson - Blonde (Best Actress, Supporting Actress)
Samantha Morton - She Said (Best Supporting Actress)
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin (Best Supporting Actress)Whilst Mulligan did lose the London Film Critics award to McDormand, it’s worth mentioning that Promising Young Woman under-performed there whilst it completely over-performed at BAFTA winning British Film over The Father (which performed just as well at the Oscars as it did at the BAFTAs).
I don’t know whether she would have still won the Oscar had she been nominated for and won the BAFTA but between how much the British film industry seemed to disproportionately favour Promising Young Woman, what was going on over here at the time with the Sarah Everard case and the fact that Mulligan was in a Netflix film that was a massive audience hit in the UK… I don’t think the possibility of her getting nominated at the BAFTAs and winning would have been as implausible as is often stated on here. It’s not like BAFTA haven’t awarded British actors with buzzy Oscar competitive performances before in spite of them losing at the LFCC.
ReplyCopy URLFYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.
Ok. I’ll just say it. I know many will strongly disagree but if this year’s system was used last year, I believe Carey Mulligan would have been nominated for a BAFTA, and with the BAFTA nomination, I believe she would have gone on to win the Oscar.
I absolutely agree. It wasn’t ideal that Mulligan was underperforming at other televised precursors but missing BAFTA entirely was the single biggest blow to her campaign. I honestly wonder if it was a small part of the reason that they tweaked the system this year to ‘save’ the top two membership choices from being kicked out by juries, she was likely in that position based on how well PYW did in the longlists.
ReplyCopy URLWhilst Mulligan did lose the London Film Critics award to McDormand, it’s worth mentioning that Promising Young Woman under-performed there whilst it completely over-performed at BAFTA winning British Film over The Father (which performed just as well at the Oscars as it did at the BAFTAs).
I agree. I think people who think McDormand would definitely have won both anyway disregard how much awards races depend upon momentum. Due to her BAFTA snub, Mulligan’s momentum stopped with the critics’ awards, allowing McDormand to become seen as a truly viable option due to being the only one at BAFTA in with a chance at Oscar. In a split race like last year’s was, McDormand was the only one by Oscar voting that had escaped unscathed throughout which, combined with her film being the BP winner, is why I believe she triumphed in the end.
ReplyCopy URLSupporting Actor
– Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
– Hugh Laurie, The Personal History of David Copperfield
– Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
– Song Kang-ho, Parasite
– Al Pacino, The Irishman
– Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in HollywoodThoughts: Wow what a barren category!
Where was Michael Ward (Blue Story) placed? I could see him getting in here if frauded here, or possibly another Blue Story performer (Khali Best?). It being an independent film that broke out with the GP (and also survived a tragedy at a screening) seems like something a jury would want to reward somewhere.
Did Parasite also run everybody supporting here as well, because Park Myung-hoon gives the type of performer a jury would eat (and is an actual supporting role).
ReplyCopy URLSo my thoughts now we’ve had a taste of how the top 2 fares.
2020: McDormand + Mulligan, Hopkins + Rahim, Colman (or Foster) + Youn, SBC + Kaluuya
2019: Zellweger + Johansson/Ronan, DiCaprio + Phoenix, Pacino + Pitt, Dern + Pugh
2018: Colman + Gaga, Cooper + Malek, Ali + Driver, Stone + Weisz
2017: Chalamet + Oldman, Hawkins + McDormand, Harrelson + Rockwell, Janney + Manville
2016: Affleck + Gosling, Adams (or Portman) + Stone, Ali + Patel, Harris (or Squires) + Williams
ReplyCopy URLFYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.
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