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What will be the Biggest Shock at the Oscars?

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    Kevin Jacobsen
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    #217111

    Well if we can predict it it’s not really a surprise, but regardless…

    Miss Gloomy Mara coming out of nowhere to win Best Supporting Actress. It’s still shocking to me that she hasn’t gotten a major win for such a great performance. Even though I’m predicting Vikander, it still wouldn’t shock me if she’s passed over. She had a breakout year but she’s not exactly a Lupita Nyong’o type. At least people have a sense of who Mara is.

    I could also see it being shocking if Mad Max loses a bunch of the awards people are predicting it for — most likely to The Revenant. 

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #217112

    Spotlight winning Best Picture. Watch and see.

    "I like big Asian butts and I cannot lie" ~Avery Bullock, American Dad!

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    Joe Burns
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    #217113

    Winslet beating Vikander is definitely a strong possibility at this point.

    Stallone on the other hand is a very strong front runner, but upsets from Hardy and to a lesser extent Rylance are not impossible, but would be shocking if they happened next Sunday.

    Ronan is done- Larson is a huge lock for Best Actress. She is pretty much unstoppable at this point. Same with Leo.

    Best Picture is definitely competitive, but The Revenant has the edge right now IMO. I would only call Mad Max”s win an upset. If The Big Short or Spotlight win,it won”t be an upset.

    Alejandro is the big favorite for Director and a Miller win would be surprising at this point since he hasn”t won anything major this season.

    Spotlight could lose Best Original Screenplay and get shut out, but right now, I”m not predicting it.

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    ankehuber
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    #217114

    Maybe i am the only person in the whole wide world to say that, but i think Mark Rylance could definitely beat Stallone for Best Supporting Actor, that would be a shoker for everyone cause Sly has the better odds, but not for me. This guy won the AACTA and the BAFTA in the supporting category, what you may not know, that several members who vote for those prizes are also members at the Oscars, that could help him to get the trophy !…

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    gyo ve45
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    #217115

    @taloson – Rooney Mara got the Cannes prize/Best Actress last year which is a major award. I am also dumbfounded they didn’t recognized her with a major one here in the US.

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    #217116
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    J-No
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    #217117

    In a sense, The Revenant winning Best Picture could be the biggest shock since it would be the first film to win without a SAG Best Cast nomination, PGA win, or a screenplay nomination. Every Best Picture winner since 1995 had at least one of those components. In that same time period, there have been instances where the Oscars deviated from the individual SAG acting and DGA results.

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    Mad Max Guitarist
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    #217118

    Beware of Tom Hardy, people. He very well could win the supporting actor. Just hear Leo’s speeches in Golden Globe and BAFTA, he always mentioned Tom in his speech with the hope people would also acknowledge Hardy’s contribution to the film. The Revenant’s success might drive the Academy to recognize Hardy’s performance too. Stallone still my top choice though

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    Eduardo Galhardo
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    #217119

    I would love to see those shockers…

    1. Cate Blanchett winning Best Actress
    2. Rooney Mara or Jennifer Jason Leight winning Best Supporting Actress
    3. “Carol” winning Best Adapted Screenpaly over “The Big Short”
    4. “Inside Out” winning Best Original Screenplay over “Spotlight”
    5. Tom Hardy winning Best Supporting Actor
    6. “Simple Song #3” winning Best Song

     

    #mrsunshinemoviederby

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #217120

    Not predicting either of them, but I have feeling they might happen. Jennifer Jason Leigh might just shock us all by winning supporting actress. And the second might be Ruffalo winning supporting actor (specially if they give Spotlight best Picture + they really love him)

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    Hunter Logan
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    #217121

    People act as if Actress is a race. It isn’t. It’s a done deal. The Academy loved Room. It got into directing. Brie Larson has a precursors’ trajectory similar to Natalie Portman. And she won all the biggies. She won more awards than Leo DiCaprio and she’s becoming quite popular to the general public as well. Even the Brits gave her the win instead of going with Saoirse Ronan. I believe that Brie will win in a landslide, with Ronan and Charlotte getting a lot of votes. I doubt Blanchett and Lawrence will get lots of votes at all.

    Actor is done. 

    Supporting Actor seems done, even though my fingers are crossed for Rylance to upset. 

    Supporting Actress is trickier, but I believe that between Ex Machina and The Danish Girl, Alicia will win. I wish Rooney had a shot for what is the best performance by an acress of the year.

    Directing. I don’t think it’s a lock, but Innaritu will probably win. Unfortunate as it is.

    But I’m predicting Spotlight for picture. Call me crazy. It’s a hunch.

    And I won’t give up on my Youth song prediction.

    I too am predicting a Simple Song #3 win. It’s the only big upset I have, although I could potentially see a Kate Winslet win. 

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    babypook
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    #217122

    Another ‘shock’ I’ll mention is if the show comes in on time and the ratings go up….

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    #217123
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    jhaddad
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    #217124

    I’m predicting three “shockers” at this year’s Oscars

    1. Original Score – Bridge of Spies. I don’t think The Hateful Eight will win even though it has won the precursors. The film isn’t popular and I think many of the older Academy members probably openly dislike it. I feel like this category will go to the most popular film which is Bridge of Spies. The score is also by Thomas Newman who at 13 nominations is way overdue.

    2. Adapted Screenplay – Room. I go back and forth in this category constantly but I think Room might pull off a major upset here. It reminds me of when Precious surprised everyone and won the same category year’s ago. Yes Up In the Air was the obvious screenplay choice but Precious was much more beloved, was very emotional, and had a rooting factor. Room has all three of these factors as well.

    3. Supporting Actor – Tom Hardy. A lot of people really love Tom Hardy and against a performance like Stallone’s I could see him getting a lot of votes for how hammy he was.

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    Monty
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    #217125

    I think the surprise will come from the craft categories. The Revenant generally has bigger support than Mad Max. It might win more craft categories than we expect along the ride (apart from Cinematography, Sound Editing and Sound Mixing). Possibilities are Makeup and Hairstyling and Visual Effects

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