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November 20, 2020 at 9:59 pm #1203851970This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.November 20, 2020 at 10:38 pm #1203852005
Maybe 2001? I didn’t follow the oscars then and I know none of Denzel, Halle, or Broadbent were SHOCKS but I feel like all 3 were very close races and possibly none of them would’ve ranked 1st in vegas odds?
ReplyCopy URLNovember 21, 2020 at 6:47 am #1203852505This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.November 21, 2020 at 6:56 am #1203852534In regards to 2001, that was definitely a year in which 3 of the Acting categories (save Supporting Actress) were up in the air. I did end up predicting Berry and Washington at the time but I believe I ended up predicting McKellan for Supporitng. I think Broadbent was considered “Even money” in the Vegas odds so it wasn’t shocking.
Crowe’s lost does seem shocking without knowing the backstory behind his assault of a producer at the BAFTAs when he cut his acceptance speech short but there was certainly a groundswell of support for Washington brewing in the press and also many were still fuming over his losses for MALCOLM X and more recently for THE HURRICANE in which he was considered co-frontrunner with Spacey.
I also concur about 1988 because aside from Dustin Hoffman, none of the others were sure things. In fact, Davis and Kline might be two of the biggest upset wins based strictly on precursors and expectations. At least Foster was part of that 3-way Globe tie.
ReplyCopy URL“The art of making art is putting it together...”
November 21, 2020 at 6:58 am #12038525402001 Supporting Actress: McDormand won the Critics Choice, Hudson won the Golden Globe, Walters won the BAFTA and Dench won the SAG. Then Harden (who wasn’t even nominated at any of those awards) won the Oscar.
ReplyCopy URLEmmy FYC:
Chloë Sevigny in “The Girl From Plainville” and “Russian Doll”
November 21, 2020 at 7:21 am #12038526272001 Supporting Actress: McDormand won the Critics Choice, Hudson won the Golden Globe, Walters won the BAFTA and Dench won the SAG. Then Harden (who wasn’t even nominated at any of those awards) won the Oscar.
That race immediately comes to mind for me.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 21, 2020 at 8:40 am #12038528272007 too comes to mind. Lead actress was quite up in the air and Julie Christie was the odds on favourite. And supporting actress not many were predicting Tilda Swinton to actually win.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 21, 2020 at 8:54 am #1203852868According to my family, Tatum O’Neil was the favorite to win that year.
Also, the idea that anyone could think Linda Blair did the demon’s voice in The Exorcist is so ridiculous. The whole point of that voice is that it should sound nothing like a little girl.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 21, 2020 at 9:52 am #12038529982007 too comes to mind. Lead actress was quite up in the air and Julie Christie was the odds on favourite. And supporting actress not many were predicting Tilda Swinton to actually win.
I remember watching that year and my jaw dropped twice.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 21, 2020 at 10:39 am #1203853096I think
Off the top of my head I’d say 1988 had 2 shocks (Kevin Kline, Geena Davis) and Jodie Foster which not everyone was predicting but still not really a shock.
I think I recall reading somewhere that Geena was predicted to win because the other 4 nominees were genuine supporting roles whereas she was a borderline lead. I think Siskel & Ebert were the ones who had predicted that, but I’m not sure. As for Jodie’s win, I don’t know that it was necessarily a surprise. She did win the Globe. Not that that was considered a “precursor” back then like it is today, but I’m just saying that she had already won a major award for that performance. I think the only other nominees who really stood a chance to win were Glenn and Melanie because they were both in BP nominees. Meryl wasn’t gonna win a third Oscar so soon. And Sigourney who was a double nominee probably got more votes in the supporting category. Jodie played a rape victim so that probably helped her chances of winning.
ReplyCopy URLFYC: Vanessa Kirby - Pieces of a Woman
November 21, 2020 at 10:54 am #1203853111This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.November 21, 2020 at 11:25 am #12038531692007 too comes to mind. Lead actress was quite up in the air and Julie Christie was the odds on favourite. And supporting actress not many were predicting Tilda Swinton to actually win.
Cotillard winning was such an event
ReplyCopy URLFYC
Best Actress - Pénélope Cruz, Olivia Colman
Best Actor - Denzel Washington
Best Supporting Actress - Aunjanue Ellis, Kathryn Hunter
November 21, 2020 at 11:27 am #1203853175When Rylance won.
ReplyCopy URLFYC:
"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")
November 21, 2020 at 1:14 pm #12038533452002, none of the winners from the above the line categories swept the precursors including directing/picture/screenplays.
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