What year had the most surprises in the acting races?

[RobertPius Joined: Nov 22nd, 2012 Topics: 260 Posts: 1801 View Predictions]

#1203851970

Did any year have three or four?

Off the top of my head I’d say 1988 had 2 shocks (Kevin Kline, Geena Davis) and Jodie Foster which not everyone was predicting but still not really a shock.

1973 Glenda Jackson (baffling shock) Jack Lemmon probably a shock over Al Pacino. Tatum? I think that was a bit of a surprise.

1968 Cliff Robertson, the tie, Jack Albertson? Were those surprises?

Ideas welcome!

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[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 1680 View Predictions]

#1203852005

Maybe 2001? I didn’t follow the oscars then and I know none of Denzel, Halle, or Broadbent were SHOCKS but I feel like all 3 were very close races and possibly none of them would’ve ranked 1st in vegas odds?

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[Milk Money Joined: Oct 2nd, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 634 View Predictions]

#1203852035

1962.

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[Eddy Q Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 4174 View Predictions]

#1203852505

I have no idea what the odds were at the time, but I don’t find Glenda Jackson’s second victory all that baffling. A Touch of Class was nominated for Best Picture and therefore had more support than any other film in her category save The Exorcist. Jackson was also showing a new side of herself in the type of sophisticated screwball role that Katharine Hepburn would have played in the 30s and 40s. Except for Burtsyn I haven’t seen the other Best Actress nominees that year so I couldn’t say who was the most deserving. (Jackson’s first win for Women in Love, however, is one of my favourites in the category ever.) I know Jackson herself was pretty indifferent to both her awards as well as the Oscars in general, saying that the win is really for those who voted for her.

Who was considered the frontrunner over Tatum O’Neal that same year? Sylvia Sydney? I know there was controversy about Linda Blair’s nomination after it emerged that Mercedes McCambridge did all of the demon voice-over (but really, how could anyone have thought that voice came from a thirteen-year-old?)

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 1037 View Predictions]

#1203852534

In regards to 2001, that was definitely a year in which 3 of the Acting categories (save Supporting Actress) were up in the air. I did end up predicting Berry and Washington at the time but I believe I ended up predicting McKellan for Supporitng. I think Broadbent was considered “Even money” in the Vegas odds so it wasn’t shocking.

Crowe’s lost does seem shocking without knowing the backstory behind his assault of a producer at the BAFTAs when he cut his acceptance speech short but there was certainly a groundswell of support for Washington brewing in the press and also many were still fuming over his losses for MALCOLM X and more recently for THE HURRICANE in which he was considered co-frontrunner with Spacey.

I also concur about 1988 because aside from Dustin Hoffman, none of the others were sure things. In fact, Davis and Kline might be two of the biggest upset wins based strictly on precursors and expectations. At least Foster was part of that 3-way Globe tie.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[Chloe Sevigny stan <3 Joined: Jul 13th, 2019 Topics: 2 Posts: 222 View Predictions]

#1203852540

2001 Supporting Actress: McDormand won the Critics Choice, Hudson won the Golden Globe, Walters won the BAFTA and Dench won the SAG. Then Harden (who wasn’t even nominated at any of those awards) won the Oscar.

FYC:

Best Actress: Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
Best Actor: Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
Best Supporting Actress: Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman)
Best Supporting Actor: Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami)

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[DCurrie Joined: Sep 18th, 2011 Topics: 26 Posts: 1598 View Predictions]

#1203852627

Chloe Sevigny stan <3 wrote:

2001 Supporting Actress: McDormand won the Critics Choice, Hudson won the Golden Globe, Walters won the BAFTA and Dench won the SAG. Then Harden (who wasn’t even nominated at any of those awards) won the Oscar.

That race immediately comes to mind for me.

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[AayaanUpadhyaya Joined: Dec 15th, 2011 Topics: 15 Posts: 2217 View Predictions]

#1203852827

2007 too comes to mind. Lead actress was quite up in the air and Julie Christie was the odds on favourite. And supporting actress not many were predicting Tilda Swinton to actually win.

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[Dan Backslide Joined: Apr 24th, 2016 Topics: 60 Posts: 5189 View Predictions]

#1203852868

According to my family, Tatum O’Neil was the favorite to win that year.

Also, the idea that anyone could think Linda Blair did the demon’s voice in The Exorcist is so ridiculous. The whole point of that voice is that it should sound nothing like a little girl.

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[Dan Jo Joined: Aug 16th, 2017 Topics: 6 Posts: 791 View Predictions]

#1203852998

AayaanUpadhyaya wrote:

2007 too comes to mind. Lead actress was quite up in the air and Julie Christie was the odds on favourite. And supporting actress not many were predicting Tilda Swinton to actually win.

I remember watching that year and my jaw dropped twice.

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[Jazzy Joined: Dec 3rd, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 771 View Predictions]

#1203853096

I think

RobertPius wrote:

Off the top of my head I’d say 1988 had 2 shocks (Kevin Kline, Geena Davis) and Jodie Foster which not everyone was predicting but still not really a shock.

I think I recall reading somewhere that Geena was predicted to win because the other 4 nominees were genuine supporting roles whereas she was a borderline lead. I think Siskel & Ebert were the ones who had predicted that, but I’m not sure. As for Jodie’s win, I don’t know that it was necessarily a surprise. She did win the Globe. Not that that was considered a “precursor” back then like it is today, but I’m just saying that she had already won a major award for that performance. I think the only other nominees who really stood a chance to win were Glenn and Melanie because they were both in BP nominees. Meryl wasn’t gonna win a third Oscar so soon. And Sigourney who was a double nominee probably got more votes in the supporting category. Jodie played a rape victim so that probably helped her chances of winning.

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[Eddy Q Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 4174 View Predictions]

#1203853111

The Glenn vs. Jodie year is definitely an “if we could only rewind the clock” race for Oscar. Not to mention the Marquise de Merteuil is an infinitely richer role than Sarah Tobias. Not that anyone could’ve known then that Jodie would win again three years later while Glenn would still be in the same situation now.

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[Bassett Joined: Dec 21st, 2016 Topics: 9 Posts: 3739 View Predictions]

#1203853169

AayaanUpadhyaya wrote:

2007 too comes to mind. Lead actress was quite up in the air and Julie Christie was the odds on favourite. And supporting actress not many were predicting Tilda Swinton to actually win.

Cotillard winning was such an event

FYC :

Best Actress - Viola Davis
Best Actor - Delroy Lindo, Chadwick Boseman
Best Supp Actor - Daniel Kaluuya, Yahya Abdul-Mateen II

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 242 Posts: 13009 View Predictions]

#1203853175

When Rylance won.

FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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[Honey Joined: Jan 30th, 2017 Topics: 20 Posts: 4999 View Predictions]

#1203853345

2002, none of the winners from the above the line categories swept the precursors including directing/picture/screenplays.

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