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What’s your out of the box prediction for the oscars?

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  • Ryan Lapierre
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    #177023

    Everyone sometimes has a out of the box, or weird prediction. Do you have any for the oscars this year? For example I’m predicting Joanna for documentary short when everyone is predicting Crisis Hotline Vetrans Press 1. What’s yours?

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    Tyler The Awesome Guy
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    #177025

    Actress: Rosemund Pike
    Original Screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel
    Adapted Screenplay: The Theory of Everything
    Original Song: “Lost Stars”
    Animated Feature: Song of the Sea or The Tale of Princess Kaguya
    Makeup: Foxcatcher
    Visual Effects: Guardians of the Galaxy

    (Not my official predictions, but some things that I think COULD happen) 

    FYC: Ready Player One. Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects, Original Score, Production Design, Director and BEST PICTURE (make it happen Oscars!!)

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    YourWrong
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    #177026

    Actress: Rosemund Pike
     

    I thank the sweet Lord Almighty that the industry has been far more lukewarm on Pike than the GDerby youthful cinephiles who get their panties all brown at a performance like that.

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    Gone_Guy
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    #177027

    I have three out-of-the-box predictions:

    • Adapted Screenplay – American Sniper
    • Editing – American Sniper  
    • Original Song – “Lost Stars”

    It’s really foolish to not predict “Glory.” It not only won the BFCA and Globe, but it’s the only other nom Selma received. After all of the backlash, there will be enormous pressure on voters of this category to vote for “Glory.” But in my objective and honest opinion, “Lost Stars” is the better song (“Glory” is a close second).   

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    YourWrong
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    #177028

    Upsets don’t happen at the Oscars anymore.

    There will be no risk taking or upsets.  Academy has become sheep.  Will do what the Globes/Critics Choice/SAG tell them to do. Tom’s be on the winning team theory at play.  It has destroyed the Oscars.

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    CAROL-CHANNING
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    #177029

    Upsets don’t happen at the Oscars anymore.

    There will be no risk taking or upsets.  Academy has become sheep.  Will do what the much the Globes/Critics Choice/SAG tell them to do. Tom’s be on the winning team theory at play.  It has destroyed the Oscars.

    Sheep in what way?

    Globe BP: Boyhood/The Grandy Budapest Hotel
    Critics Choice: The same (Boyhood overall, TGBH for comedy)
    SAG: Birdman (It’s not technically a “best picture” win, but it shows the support it could have from the actor’s branch) 
    PGA: Birdman

    Okay, sure, Boyhood will still probably win Best Picture despite Birdman’s recent wins and TGBH’s support.

    But then there’s Best Actor.  It’s a pretty solid race between Keaton and Redmayne.  Sure, Redmayne has been on the upswing since his SAG win, but Keaton is hardly out of the running.

    The rest of the Acting wins are set in stone.  No surprises there, so you’re right about that.

    But BOTH of the screenplay awards are fairly up in the air.  When was the last time THAT happened?

    So out of the eight major awards (Picture, Director, Acting, and Writing), we have three that are very much horse races (Actor, Original Screenplay, and Adapted Screenplay) and one that is not quite as set in stone as some races have been in the past (Best Picture).  Is it the most unpredictable year ever?  No.  But it’s hardly a year to cry about. 

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    24Emmy
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    #177030

    Upsets don’t happen at the Oscars anymore.

    There will be no risk taking or upsets.  Academy has become sheep.  Will do what the Globes/Critics Choice/SAG tell them to do. Tom’s be on the winning team theory at play.  It has destroyed the Oscars.

     

    Can you get more positive? Maybe the Oscars should be canceled due to your lack of interest.

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    Gone_Guy
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    #177031

    [quote=”YourWrong”]Upsets don’t happen at the Oscars anymore.

    There will be no risk taking or upsets.  Academy has become sheep.  Will do what the Globes/Critics Choice/SAG tell them to do. Tom’s be on the winning team theory at play.  It has destroyed the Oscars.

     

    Can you get more positive? Maybe the Oscars should be canceled due to your lack of interest.[/quote]

    Seriously. And welcome to GoldDerby! I’m guessing your screenname is irony? 

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    dude
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    #177032

    Best Song: Glen Campbell’s “I’m Not Gonna Miss You.”

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    YourWrong
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    #177033

    Truth hurts.  It’s boring

    Acting/performances is where you make your mark as a voter and they have always gone for frontrunners in recent years.  Sheep.  And they usually go for the most shamelessly pandering performance too which makes it even worse!  A transvestite with a heart of Gold!  AIDS! ALS! Alztheimer’s!

    What’s next?  Kawasaki Disease?

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    Gone_Guy
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    #177034

    Truth hurts.  It’s boring

    You’re wrong, YourWrong.

    I don’t mind the repeat-winners as long as they’re worthy performances. Of the nominees, Julianne Moore, J.K. Simmons, and Patricia Arquette are the best (in my opinion). I look for them to win at BAFTA and Oscar as well, which means they would have swept CCA/Globe/SAG/BAFTA/Oscar, and I’m okay with that, as their performances warrant those wins.

    As mentioned before, Lead Actor is a race. Michael Keaton is in the better film, but Eddie Redmayne gives a more physically difficult performance. I think both are worthy of wins, and even though I think Redmayne will edge out Keaton, it’s still a race.

    There are plenty of categories up for grabs also. With no LEGO Movie in Animated Film, it’s a toss-up. And the screenplay categories? They’re both three-way races between Birdman/Boyhood/TGBH and American Sniper/The Imitation Game/Whiplash. I hope considering this will make you less cynical.  

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    Ghost
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    #177035

    Best Animated Feature- Big Hero 6

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #177036

    I’m not sure if it’s still outside the box to predict Dawn of the Planet of the Apes for Visual Effects, but I’m not changing it.

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    YourWrong
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    #177037

    [quote=”YourWrong”]Truth hurts.  It’s boring

    You’re wrong, YourWrong.

    I don’t mind the repeat-winners as long as they’re worthy performances. Of the nominees, Julianne Moore, J.K. Simmons, and Patricia Arquette are the best (in my opinion). I look for them to win at BAFTA and Oscar as well, which means they would have swept CCA/Globe/SAG/BAFTA/Oscar, and I’m okay with that, as their performances warrant those wins.

    As mentioned before, Lead Actor is a race. Michael Keaton is in the better film, but Eddie Redmayne gives a more physically difficult performance. I think both are worthy of wins, and even though I think Redmayne will edge out Keaton, it’s still a race.

    There are plenty of categories up for grabs also. With no LEGO Movie in Animated Film, it’s a toss-up. And the screenplay categories? They’re both three-way races between Birdman/Boyhood/TGBH and American Sniper/The Imitation Game/Whiplash. I hope considering this will make you less cynical.  [/quote]

    I just reject the notion some of the acting frontrunners are that superior to some of their nominees that they should win 5 televised awards over them.  And I think that endless sweep is why Oscar voters feel so strong armed to be on the “winning” team.

    In the 80’s you literally had the Globes in January and the Oscars in Late March/early April.  Not the endless stream of awards and pressure.  People like Linda Hunt, Anna Paquin,  Joe Pesci, Brenda Fricker, Geraldine Page, Anjelica Huston, William Hurt, and Anthony Hopkins would lose the Globe and than go on and win the Oscar.  People like Kevin Kline, Geena Davis, and Marisa Tomei wouldn’t even be nominated at the Globes and would still win the Oscar.

    You would never see that these days.  It’s a big time problem and anyone who pretends otherwise isn’t paying attention.  The Globes pick the winners (usually based on the intense buildup of the ever increasing amount of film critics awards.  Than the Critics Choice literally vote the day AFTER the Globes air.  Their members include Feinberg and Hammond whose job it is to predict the Oscars. Hmmm. SAG AND Bafta than make it official and by Oscar time…YAWN!

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    dude
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    #177038

    Any time for bitching will be AFTER the Oscars, YourWrong, ’cause this year is brimming with possibilties. Nobody agrees more with you about the notion that any of the nominees is so superior that they should win everything, but I think us fans who follow the derby probably know more about who’s been winning than the average Oscar voter, and if anything, some Oscar voters would go against conventional wisdom out of defiance. I was NOT EXPECTING Christoph Waltz to win; I was NOT EXPECTING Meryl Streep to win for THE IRON LADY, but it was EXHILARATING for me when she did. The year Charlize Theron won best actress? Now, THAT was boring, as the same ol’ same ol’ kept winning (nothing against Charlize Theron, I just can’t remember who the others were). My suggestion is to EMBRACE this year. It’s a ride!

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