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When was Meryl Streep the front runner at the Oscars?

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  • Jsimmy
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    Jan 21st, 2017
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    #1205169287

    I would guess that throughout awards season, she was the front runner for her first 2 wins, but even for her third win, I was under the impression that leading up to the ceremony, Viola Davis was the front runner. Were any of Streep’s losses a surprise, as in many/most were predicting her to win?

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    Jake
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    #1205169307

    I think she was for “The French Lieutenant’s Woman”. She was in strong position for “Adaptation.” but not really a frontrunner and overdue narrative made her more visible for “Doubt” and “Julie & Julia”. Other than that she wasn’t in top 2, I think (excluding her wins, of course). Maybe for “Silkwood” and “The Devil Wears Prada” but it had to be far behind eventual winners. “Out of Africa” is interesting because it won main categories but she had to be third at best behind Page and Goldberg.

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    nkb325
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    #1205169572

    Davis and Streep seemed pretty neck and neck that year, but I think just by virtue of Streep having lost so many times it was just assumed Davis would have the edge. In retrospect we should’ve realized she was closer than in a while.

    The way I heard about it also looked like she might pull it off for Doubt. She was the only one who beat Winslet for anything televised that year and with how all over the place Winslet’s campaign was, I’m sure it felt like it could finally be Streep’s year.

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    theruraljuror
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    #1205171694

    Though she wasn’t really a threat to win for The Devil Wears Prada she was probably in the top three, and was almost certainly second place for Doubt and Julie & Julia. Getting so close three times in a row really helped her narrative going into The Iron Lady. If she hadn’t won for that, she would have been very competitive with Blanchett for August: Osage County.

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    veronikavoss
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    #1205173271

    Davis and Streep seemed pretty neck and neck that year, but I think just by virtue of Streep having lost so many times it was just assumed Davis would have the edge. In retrospect we should’ve realized she was closer than in a while.

    The way I heard about it also looked like she might pull it off for Doubt. She was the only one who beat Winslet for anything televised that year and with how all over the place Winslet’s campaign was, I’m sure it felt like it could finally be Streep’s year.

    I remember watching The Iron Lady and being surprised that she wasn’t considered more of a frontrunner than Davis, I think I probably even predicted Davis by the end just because Davis’s narrative was so compelling, but Meryl just seemed to be operating on like 11/10 (in effort, at least) with REALLY close focus, lots of speeches/monologues, and range between younger/older Thatcher all throughout the film that one couldn’t say for Viola’s character in The Help. And that’s without getting to the Weinstein of it all that season.
    It taught me to trust my instinct more for a performance’s flash factor in predicting, I had the same feeling when I watched McConaughey in Dallas Buyers Club a few years later before he became an established frontrunner.

    I think Doubt was considered possible for Meryl when there was a presumption that they could reward Kate in Supporting for The Reader, and that’s how SAG shook out — but a) Kate was submitted in Supporting for SAG so they couldn’t vote for her there in lead, b) Meryl had never won at SAG for a film role yet given they just started giving awards in the 90s and she hadn’t quite been the frontrunner for a film until then. But at the Oscars, it was clear that lead was the only place they could reward Kate and she was more overdue for a first win than Meryl her third, and voters liked The Reader more than Doubt (not to mention, yet again, the Weinstein of it all).

    She wasn’t considered likely to win for either Adaptation or Prada by their respective Oscar nights, but they jumpstarted the momentum and narrative leading up to her Iron Lady win and momentum for Doubt/J&J (plus major work in The Hours and Angels in America).

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    MultipleOscarWinner
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    #1205173281

    Only three times: the two times she won (Kramer vs. Kramer and Sophie’s Choice) and her nom between these two for The French Lieutenant’s Woman. I’ve always felt Academy voters place her high for the nom and then last for the win.

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