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When will Best Actress become clear?

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  • sofan
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    #1202432458

    Anyone who believes they’ll reward someone who is playing a high schooler needs to give me their dealer’s address, I want what you are smoking.

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    JB
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    #1202432490

    I see it this way right now… (and this will all probably change, lol)

    Critics Choice: Saoirse Ronan
    Globe Comedy: Margot Robbie
    Globe Drama: Sally Hawkins
    BAFTA: Sally Hawkins
    SAG: Meryl Streep
    Oscar: Hawkins v. Streep … and flip of a coin, Streep

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    Filmatelist
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    #1202432564

    I don’t think Hawkins has a chance at a win. Although the horror genre has done OK in the category with AMPAS, only once has an actress won the lead Oscar for a film with supernatural elements, and she (Julie Andrews) was in the biggest money-maker of that year. There’s no denying that the film is well-placed for some craft/tech wins, but the older voters will probably be turned off by two particular scenes (avoiding spoilers, but one’s very bizarre, the other very explicit)

    Those two things make the film highly personal and uncompromising in Del Toro’s vision, but will also be seen as “too weird” by people more comfortable with biopics and standard dramas. This is Not like a Marlee Matlin or Holly Hunter situation, and Hawkins has no shortage of real competition.

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    RobertPius
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    #1202432709

    I think a lot is riding on how The Post does in terms of box office and buzz among the general public.

    If it is huge I could see Streep winning again since none of the other three main contenders have emerged as a front runner in the awards announced so far.

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    BrenoLimaMusic
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    #1202432723

    I think a lot is riding on how The Post does in terms of box office and buzz among the general public. If it is huge I could see Streep winning again since none of the other three main contenders have emerged as a front runner in the awards announced so far.

    I honestly want her to win this year. Would be her 4th, a tie with Hepburn and the Academy could finally take a break of her for like 15 years. They will nominate her for everything until she wins another oscar.

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    Aint2Proud2Beg
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    #1202432735

    Anyone who believes they’ll reward someone who is playing a high schooler needs to give me their dealer’s address, I want what you are smoking.

    I dont understand the obsession with this mediocre movie and equally mediocre performance. It is completely beyond me and baffles me to no end. Is there any semblance of a PC movement attached to all these wins? What movie did the critics watch and what did they see that (some of us) are unable to see?

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    BenitoDelicias
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    #1202432857

    Im pretty much set on nominees being
    McDormand
    Ronan
    Streep
    Robbie
    Hawkins

    I just can’t see anybody else getting in there. I think the Globes will go for Chastain, Lawrence to fill up the drama category, leading people to believe they have a shot. But they don’t. Others like Bening, Vega, Hayek, Winslet are over. Kruger never arrived.

    The winner to me right now is obviously Ronan, with Robbie waiting for the film to open and see the reception. Two blonde young girls will be more than enough to take McDormand out of this.

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    VanRoberts
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    #1202432869

    Just a gut feeling, but I think Sally Hawkins steals a surprise win at GG, and rides that wave all the way to the Oscars.

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    Anonymous
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    #1202432878

    Just a gut feeling, but I think Sally Hawkins steals a surprise win at GG, and rides that wave all the way to the Oscars.

    Same. She has a great run with the Globes since Happy-Go-Lucky. Though I won’t be surprised if she win.

     

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    Anonymous
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    #1202432879

    Do you think The Post might experience some backlash and ruin Streep’s chances as Mcdormand’s? Opinions?

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    RobertPius
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    #1202432887

    Do you think The Post might experience some backlash and ruin Streep’s chances as Mcdormand’s? Opinions?

    Backlash in what way? (I haven’t seen it)

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    Anonymous
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    #1202432975

    Even though I’m stanning hard for Salleh I’d love if this year they would spread the wealth. Give one televised award to each contender and let’s have a race!

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    KarlVillalobos
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    #1202433152

    Streep won her last Oscar in this kind of movie. And that was a so-so movie, so why not a fourth win in a Spielberg drama?

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    M
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    #1202433172

    Streep won her last Oscar in this kind of movie. And that was a so-so movie, so why not a fourth win in a Spielberg drama?

    Because her third win was overdue narrative. Her closest rival wasn’t the primary lead of their own movie. Which had an excessive running time to only showcase their character so much. But Streep’s vehicle was shorter and entirely a showcase for her character and performance. A fourth win for Streep won’t have Iron Lady season components.

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    M
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    #1202433173

    Just a gut feeling, but I think Sally Hawkins steals a surprise win at GG, and rides that wave all the way to the Oscars.

    Someone has to beat McDormand at the Globes in Drama Actress. And someone has to beat her at SAG. Then the coast is clear because BAFTA has Ronna and Hawkins to consider.

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