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Which 2020/21 Films Oscars Chances Were Hurt/Helped the Most by the Pandemic?

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    wolfali
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    #1204143999

    As the title says.

    With the pandemic causing a very different awards season resulting in less meet and great campaign events and scaled back/cancelled festivals, some films have benefitted more and some films were hurt more. Which film do you think was hurt the most by the pandemic situation when it came to awards chances?

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    crabbie
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    #1204144017

    Another Round got an amazing director nomination but I feel like it could have landed in picture or even actor if it had more festival buzz from Cannes. Mads had won Best Actor there before for The Hunt. Banderas certainly benefited a lot from the Cannes win last season. I can imagine Vinterberg winning Director as well since he’s never won before. And it’s not like Another Round is too artsy or indie for the GP. It’s a crowd please that has passion with a high audience score. Oh and the Palm O’dor wouldn’t be out of the question for Another Round.

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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    SN
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    #1204144020

    I don’t know what movie this season was the most hurt by pandemic, but I know Promising Young Woman was probably the most benefited one. It was supposed to debut in April 2020 and I don’t think it would’ve had a massive box office like Get Out to sustain awards buzz for an entire year. Universal/Focus wouldn’t have campaigned it a lot if they hadn’t delayed it to December.

    Maybe News of the World would’ve performed better. Older voters didn’t vote as much as they could due to the lack of any in person screenings and events. It’d also have had holiday season box office to help it.

    I think most movies that flopped this season (Da 5 Bloods, Hillbilly Elegy, Ammonite) would’ve flopped anyway.

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    JV
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    #1204144064

    Mank, Da 5 Bloods, One Night in Miami, News of the World and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom were the most hurt. If the Oscars were in February, I’m sure all these movies would’ve performed better, but the extended season really hurt them.

    Meanwhile, movies like Sound of Metal, Minari and Promising Young Woman were benefitted by the word of mouth. I doubt those movies would be BP contenders in a normal season.

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    Pinkpie48
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    #1204144195

    The Life Ahead. In-person campaigning from Sophia Loren would have been a HUGE boost for her nomination chances.

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    Melvinezq
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    #1204144203

    Ammonite of course. Had Winslet win Best Actress at Cannes, the race would’ve been done. Congrats for her second BA! Also, I’d like to notice that Small Axe would’ve been a bigger contender too at winter award because of its Cannes release (and it Lovers’ Rock could’ve take Palme/GP).

    "The Lost Daughter" in every eligible category - Film
    "Succession" Season 3 in every eligible category - TV
    "Heaux Tales" by Jasmine Sullivan in every eligible category - Music

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    #1204144543
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    Kafka_Gyllenhaal
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    #1204145063

    Maybe if Tenet hadn’t almost single-handedly imploded the movie theater business…

    FYC: Minari for Everything

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1204145112

    Diane Warren. She’s the frontrunner for song now, without a pandemic, she should’ve lost to another Bond theme.

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    Stank83
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    #1204145161

    I think Judas and The Black Messiah was heavily benefited by the pandemic and the eligibility extension.
    It was originally slated for an August 2020 release, if it kept that date, it wouldn’t have got much buzz or boost during awards season.

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    Marrowbone
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    #1204145207

    Borat 2 benefited a lot from the pandemic. In a normal year, the chance of getting nominations would have been close to zero.

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    SN
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    #1204145263

    Borat 2 benefited a lot from the pandemic. In a normal year, the chance of getting nominations would have been close to zero.

    Borat wouldn’t even have been done in a normal year.

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    Marrowbone
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    #1204145283

    Borat wouldn’t even have been done in a normal year.

    The production has started before the pandemic. The virus wouldn’t have been part of the plot. But there still would’ve been elections, so..

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