Which 2020/21 Films Oscars Chances Were Hurt/Helped the Most by the Pandemic?

[wolfali Joined: Apr 8th, 2023 Topics: 250 Posts: 39159 View Predictions]

#1204143999

As the title says.

With the pandemic causing a very different awards season resulting in less meet and great campaign events and scaled back/cancelled festivals, some films have benefitted more and some films were hurt more. Which film do you think was hurt the most by the pandemic situation when it came to awards chances?

Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!

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[crabbie Joined: Feb 26th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 4729 View Predictions]

#1204144017

Another Round got an amazing director nomination but I feel like it could have landed in picture or even actor if it had more festival buzz from Cannes. Mads had won Best Actor there before for The Hunt. Banderas certainly benefited a lot from the Cannes win last season. I can imagine Vinterberg winning Director as well since he’s never won before. And it’s not like Another Round is too artsy or indie for the GP. It’s a crowd please that has passion with a high audience score. Oh and the Palm O’dor wouldn’t be out of the question for Another Round.

Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

FYC:
Best Picture: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Decision to Leave
Best Director: Park Chan-Wook Todd Field
Best Original Screenplay: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Cate Blanchett, Tang Wei
Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, Nina Hoss

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[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

#1204144020

I don’t know what movie this season was the most hurt by pandemic, but I know Promising Young Woman was probably the most benefited one. It was supposed to debut in April 2020 and I don’t think it would’ve had a massive box office like Get Out to sustain awards buzz for an entire year. Universal/Focus wouldn’t have campaigned it a lot if they hadn’t delayed it to December.

Maybe News of the World would’ve performed better. Older voters didn’t vote as much as they could due to the lack of any in person screenings and events. It’d also have had holiday season box office to help it.

I think most movies that flopped this season (Da 5 Bloods, Hillbilly Elegy, Ammonite) would’ve flopped anyway.

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[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 5414 View Predictions]

#1204144064

Mank, Da 5 Bloods, One Night in Miami, News of the World and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom were the most hurt. If the Oscars were in February, I’m sure all these movies would’ve performed better, but the extended season really hurt them.

Meanwhile, movies like Sound of Metal, Minari and Promising Young Woman were benefitted by the word of mouth. I doubt those movies would be BP contenders in a normal season.

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[Pinkpie48 Joined: Feb 11th, 2021 Topics: 10 Posts: 97 View Predictions]

#1204144195

The Life Ahead. In-person campaigning from Sophia Loren would have been a HUGE boost for her nomination chances.

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[Melvinezq Joined: Aug 7th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 1253 View Predictions]

#1204144203

Ammonite of course. Had Winslet win Best Actress at Cannes, the race would’ve been done. Congrats for her second BA! Also, I’d like to notice that Small Axe would’ve been a bigger contender too at winter award because of its Cannes release (and it Lovers’ Rock could’ve take Palme/GP).

"The Lost Daughter" in every eligible category - Film
"Succession" Season 3 in every eligible category - TV
"Heaux Tales" by Jasmine Sullivan in every eligible category - Music

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 185 View Predictions]

#1204144543

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Kafka_Gyllenhaal Joined: Nov 13th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 408 View Predictions]

#1204145063

Maybe if Tenet hadn’t almost single-handedly imploded the movie theater business…

FYC: Minari for Everything

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[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 98 Posts: 8902 View Predictions]

#1204145112

Diane Warren. She’s the frontrunner for song now, without a pandemic, she should’ve lost to another Bond theme.

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[Stank83 Joined: Mar 8th, 2020 Topics: 105 Posts: 2124 View Predictions]

#1204145161

I think Judas and The Black Messiah was heavily benefited by the pandemic and the eligibility extension.
It was originally slated for an August 2020 release, if it kept that date, it wouldn’t have got much buzz or boost during awards season.

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[Marrowbone Joined: Dec 12th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 516 View Predictions]

#1204145207

Borat 2 benefited a lot from the pandemic. In a normal year, the chance of getting nominations would have been close to zero.

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[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

#1204145263

Marrowbone wrote:

Borat 2 benefited a lot from the pandemic. In a normal year, the chance of getting nominations would have been close to zero.

Borat wouldn’t even have been done in a normal year.

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[Marrowbone Joined: Dec 12th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 516 View Predictions]

#1204145283

SN wrote:

Borat wouldn’t even have been done in a normal year.

The production has started before the pandemic. The virus wouldn’t have been part of the plot. But there still would’ve been elections, so..

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