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Which BP/Director combination is most likely?

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Which BP/Director combination is most likely?
Parasite/Bong Joon-Ho
Parasite/Sam Mendes
1917/Bong Joon-Ho
1917/Sam Mendes
Hollywood/Bong Joon-Ho
Hollywood/Sam Mendes
Other
  • Eden
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    Since 2000, 11 out of 19 times, the BP winner also took home the Oscar for Director. What’s most likely to happen this year?

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    Nikhil
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    In terms of most to least likely:

    1. Parasite/Mendes
    2. 1917/Mendes
    3. Parasite/Bong
    4. Hollywood/Mendes

    I don’t see other combinations happening

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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    Film expert
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    First with second behind closely, Best Director category is in last years more about technical achievement than about artisitic one, I don’t see how Mendes can’t lose Best Director.

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    Lil Tony
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    1917/Philips

    Imagine A World Without Movies

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    FreemanGriffin
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    1917 is going to win both BP and Best Director (:

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    JackO
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    Interesting no votes for Parasite to win BP and director. Lots of experts switching to Bong at DGA. We’ll see what happens.

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    ArtIsntEasy
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    I just feel like the consensus behind the fact that 1917 is more of the epic technical achievement will lead it to winning Director…and I would say that Mendes winning Director certainly wouldn’t be undeserved.

    HOWEVER…I would be beyond thrilled if Bong Joon-ho took it as that film’s structure and pacing was essentially the poster child of near perfection.

    I feel like Mendes will win the DGA but I still just have a strong feeling that PARASITE is going to benefit from the preferential ballot in the same way MOONLIGHT did…but I do think it is very close at this point. I suppose HOLLYWOOD is even still a solid 3rd…even though it shouldn’t be.

    “The art of making art is putting it together...”

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    Nikhil
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    Interesting no votes for Parasite to win BP and director. Lots of experts switching to Bong at DGA. We’ll see what happens.

    Despite how strong DGA has been a predicting Director, even if Bong were to win DGA I wouldn’t predict him for Oscar. The DGA is a small enough contingency that could maybe come to the conclusion they like the direction in Parasite better. The whole Academy however is going to see 1917 as the obvious directorial achievement. I know I’ve been saying this forever but Mendes isn’t losing Director at Oscar.

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Darlings, Thatcher hopes Dunkirk 2 wins both of them.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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    phenix714
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    The whole Academy however is going to see 1917 as the obvious directorial achievement.

    Maybe, but two years ago Dunkirk was the more obvious achievement too, and they still went for Del Toro (who used a much more traditional style than Parasite).

    Now, 1917 may be seen as more of an achievement than Dunkirk, but that’s only because of the one take approach. The Academy could be getting fed up of that. They already rewarded Birdman this decade, and Gravity, La La Land and Roma had a lot of long takes too. Maybe they’ll want to go for a more tightly directed movie for a change.

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    Eden
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    Parasite/Mendes seems more like a wishful thinking. I’ve said that Parasite was never winning because we just had a foreign film lose, but Parasite became bigger than Roma (not in terms of nominations though).

    I guess it comes down to which movie gets less hatred, which isn’t clear with these two frontrunners.

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    babypook
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    1917/Bong Joon-Ho

    !

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    phenix714
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    I don’t understand the 1917/Bong Joon-Ho votes. Do you expect Parasite to take DGA, WGA, SAG, ACE and still lose Best Picture? And that would make 1917 the first movie in ages to win without Screenplay or Director.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    I don’t understand the 1917/Bong Joon-Ho votes. Do you expect Parasite to take DGA, WGA, SAG, ACE and still lose Best Picture? And that would make 1917 the first movie in ages to win without Screenplay or Director.

    That’s even assuming it wins DGA and WGA. If it loses one, the other, or both, just imagine the pandemonium that’ll ensue. This site will have a field day.

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    Riley Chow
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    The DGA is a small enough contingency that could maybe come to the conclusion they like the direction in Parasite better. The whole Academy however is going to see 1917 as the obvious directorial achievement.

    DGA is more than twice as big as the academy and more populist largely as such.

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