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Which first-time Oscar nominees are most likely to score a second nomination?

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    Miles
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    #1204140691

    First-time nominees:
    Riz Ahmed
    Steven Yeun
    Andra Day
    Vanessa Kirby
    Sacha Baron Cohen
    Leslie Odom Jr.
    Paul Raci
    Lakeith Stanfield
    Maria Bakalova
    Amanda Seyfried
    Youn Yuh-jung

    Disclaimer: this isn’t taking into account ability, just what kinds of roles I think these actors will be offered in the future.

    1. Lakeith Stanfield
    2. Riz Ahmed
    3. Vanessa Kirby
    4. Steven Yeun
    5. Leslie Odom Jr.
    6. Amanda Seyfried
    7. Sacha Baron Cohen
    8. Maria Bakalova
    9. Paul Raci
    10. Youn Yuh-jung
    11. Andra Day

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    Butz
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    Oct 15th, 2020
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    #1204140706

    1. Lakeith Stanfield
    2. Leslie Odom jr
    3. Vanessa Kirby
    4. Riz Ahmed
    5. Andra Day
    6. Steven Yeun
    7. Amanda Seyfried
    8. Sacha Baron Cohen
    9. Paul Raci
    10. Maria Bakalova
    11. Youn Yuh-jung

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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    Jojo Betzler
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    #1204140709

    Lakeith. He has the best slate pre-nomination and will continue to star in prestigious films.

    Short Term 12
    Selma
    Straight Outta Compton
    Get Out
    Sorry to Bother You
    Uncut Gems
    Knives Out

     

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    Lucas
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    Jun 24th, 2020
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    #1204140714

    Lakeith and Vanessa

    FYC

    Best Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)

    Best Actress: Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)

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    wolfali
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    #1204140718

    LaKeith Stanfield to me will almost certainly get a second nomination. Vanessa Kirby too. They both seem to garner a lot of respect amongst their peers for not only their performances but their prior work in television and in Stanfield’s case film too. I’d argue they can even win this decade and in fact both could be nominated again next year for The Harder They Fall and <i>The Brutalist</i>.

    Steven Yeun is a possibility too. His star has only risen with <i>Minari </i>and he feels like he’s in demand now.

    Riz Ahmed is an interesting one. He’s someone who seems to be a bit like Olivia Colman and Jodie Comer in the sense that he doesn’t care about primarily committing to film roles. He’s open to doing anything from a British miniseries to a blockbuster. He could happen again soon like Colman has for The Father (and could go for The Lost Daughter next year) but I’d put him below the other three for now personally.

    After that it becomes more interesting. Call me out if I’m wrong in a few years time but I find it hard seeing Sacha Baron Cohen, Andra Day or Yuh-jung Youn getting another nomination (if the latter two win the Oscar then I might change my mind). Maria Bakalova depends on if she wins the Oscar because for some reason I get a Marisa Tomei feeling with her (she breaks through with an unconventional Oscar nomination/win and is offered more roles following her breakthrough). Amanda Seyfried has been delivering strong work in small Indies (see First Reformed) for a while now and this is her big prestige breakthrough so I can see her getting offered more roles on the back of her nomination in a similar way to how Charlize Theron was on the back of her win for Monster.

    All Leslie Odom-Jr. needs to do is book a big role in a beloved musical and he’ll probably get a second good. I do not know how to comment about Paul Raci’s future chances.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Problemchild
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    #1204140745

    1. Lakeith Stanfield
    2. Riz Ahmed
    3. Vanessa Kirby
    4. Amanda Seyfried
    5. Steven Yeun
    6. Leslie Odom Jr.
    7. Sacha Baron Cohen
    8. Andra Day
    9. Maria Bakalova
    10. Youn Yuh-jung
    11. Paul Raci

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    Marrowbone
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    Dec 12th, 2020
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    #1204140761

    <3

    Also Vanessa Kirby and Riz Ahmed.

    ⭐Best Actress - Carey Mulligan

    ⭐Best Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung

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    BenitoDelicias
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    #1204140767

    Everybody here can get a second nomination. Even if you think an older Asian actress has it difficult, there’s Norma Aleandro who was snubbed one year and still found a nominated role the next. Or Anthony Hopkins getting back to back noms (and a close win) 23 years after his last nomination and in his 80s.

    And you know, “second ACTING nomination” should be added, because as we know one person isn’t a first timer and another already got his second.

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    Stank83
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    #1204140861

    Stanfield, Yeun and Kirby.

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    Gabarnes43
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    Jan 6th, 2018
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    #1204140959

    Lakeith Stanfield
    Vanessa Kirby
    Amanda Seyfried
    Riz Ahmed
    Leslie Odom Jr
    Sacha Barón Cohen
    Steven Yeun
    Paul Raci
    Andra Day
    Maria Bakalova
    Youn Yuh Jung

    6th Place WGA 2021
    12th Place VES 2021
    61st Place BAFTA nominations 2021

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    Oscirus Jones
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    #1204140994

    Ive always been a leslie odom jr fan since person of interest. Not only do I think he stands a chance of a second nom, but i legit see him winning at some point

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    gorman
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    #1204141100

    1. Lakeith Stanfield 2. Riz Ahmed 3. Vanessa Kirby 4. Steven Yeun 5. Leslie Odom Jr. 6. Amanda Seyfried 7. Sacha Baron Cohen 8. Maria Bakalova 9. Paul Raci 10. Youn Yuh-jung 11. Andra Day

    1. LaKeith Stanfield

    2. Vanessa Kirby

    3. Riz Ahmed

    4. Steven Yeun

    5. Amanda Seyfried

    6. Leslie Odom Jr.

    7. Andra Day

    8. Sacha Baron Cohen

    9. Maria Bakalova

    10. Paul Raci

    11. Youn Yuh-jung

    I’m pretty confident the first 6 will.

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    Woody
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    #1204141204

    1. Lakeith Stanfield
    2.  Steven Yeun
    3. Vanessa Kirby
    4. Amanda Seyfried
    5. Riz Ahmed
    6. Leslie Odom Jr.
    7. Sacha Baron Cohen
    8. Andra Day
    9. Youn Yuh-Jung
    10. Maria Bakalova
    11. Paul Raci

    Lakeith has been doing good work for years now so it was only a matter of time before he started getting some award recognition

    Steven in my opinion should probably already be a supporting actor winner for Burning so if he continues doing what he’s doing he’ll most defiantly get more

    Vanessa has made a name for herself recently coming off The Crown so if she keeps taking good roles she could get a few more

    Amanda has had some good performances in some good films but she also makes some shit so it depends what she decides to do

    Riz is for sure good enough to get more but it seems like he doesn’t care to go for typical baity roles and does more obscure films and tv which could unfortunately prevent getting more

    Leslie could also get more if he takes the right roles and keeps making films

    Sacha is completely unknown for me, he can be good at times and has shown he can give good performances but his whole style and career seems so far removed from what usually gets recognized

    Andra Day could just be a one and done type of deal like Diana Ross who was nominated for portraying Billie Holliday too. If she doesn’t make more movies and focuses more of music then i doubt she could be. But she could always be like Cher and build up a film career alongside her music one too.

    Youn Yuh-Jung is a highly respected and established actress in Korea so she clearly has the ability to give award worthy performances again, so its just a matter of how much the west pays attention to her

    Maria I cant really see getting more nominations but she may utilize her current stardom and nomination to establish herself a career so who knows

    And Paul I cant see getting any more because he seems like despite this nomination he wont care for trying to get anymore, I doubt the Academy Awards are enough of a deal for him to try and become some academy darling

    But overall who knows they could all get more and win some down the line. Back when Melissa McCarthy got her first nom I never would have thought she would get another so anything could happen

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    Cocastique
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    #1204141250

    Lakeith obviously. But I also have a good feeling about Seyfried. Not that confident about Kirby. Yeun is getting a mretty solid filmography so I wouldn’t be surprised. As one user said, Ahmed is a wild card so I don’t know.

    I don’t see the rest getting other noms, even if Andra or Youn wins.

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