May 19, 2020 at 1:43 pm #1203490381
This year Renee Zellweger managed to win a second Oscar after 16 years since her first win so that made me wonder:
Which of these chosen male actors is more likely to be the first to win a second Oscar??
(I excluded Anthony Hopkins because he seems likely to be the frontrunner this year, so it may seem a very easy pick).
Vote in the poll and sound off in the comments, or, if you think none of those actors i put in the poll will win a second one, say which other male actor is more likely.May 19, 2020 at 1:57 pm #1203490401This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.May 19, 2020 at 2:02 pm #1203490411
Bale. He kinda “has” to win a lead Oscar in the same way that Blanchett “had” to. Most people don’t think that a supporting Oscar is enough for talents like theirs. I guess DiCaprio could be competitive again, but the need to reward him has certainly decreased at this point.May 19, 2020 at 2:08 pm #1203490418
I would probably go with Bale. He’s also the most interesting to watch due to the range of roles he plays. So I think he will be the first one (out of the list) to win a second one. Phoenix can win a second one (and I think he might) but it will definitely take some years. Same for DiCaprio.May 19, 2020 at 2:35 pm #1203490447
I read somewhere that Al Pacino is slated to play King Lear in an upcoming Micheal Radford adaptation (he already directed him in the great and underrated film The Merchant of Venice).
It’s considered one of the most difficult and challenging roles ever in Theatre, it’s an extraordinary part for an overdue legend, and if he nails it, he could easily get it.May 19, 2020 at 2:53 pm #1203490461
Pitt already has 2 oscars…so he wins this poll by default.May 19, 2020 at 3:05 pm #1203490475
First off, I actually think the actor who will win a second Oscar first will be Anthony Hopkins this year for The Father. But he’s not on the list, so I voted for Christian Bale. He’s got the right combination of consistent acclaim and consistent buzzy projects. Also, it’s been awhile since his win, so he won’t suffer from a case of “we already rewarded him not that long ago”.
I think Leonardo DiCaprio will likely won’t again, but it might be awhile before that happens. It took four years for him to make another film after his win, and I feel like he’s gonna continue to work somewhat inconsistently for a little while. I could definitely be wrong though, as he might want to continue to capitalize off of his leading man looks while he still can.
I can definitely picture Al Pacino winning again before too long. Last year felt like somewhat of a comeback for him, appearing in two big films, one of which was his most acclaimed performance in quite some time, and earned him a nomination. I still think he would’ve won if it weren’t for Brad Pitt committing category fraud. If Pacino can successfully capitalize off of his recent boost in visibility, I think people would be ready to give him a second, especially cause it’s pretty damn ridiculous that someone as respected and acclaimed as him only has one.
Gary Oldman is one of the best actors around and has a likely major contender on his hands this year with Mank, so he could definitely be the next two time winner, but like I said, I think it’s gonna be Hopkins this time. Still though, Oldman has finally been rewarded by the Oscars with both a nomination and an actual award this past decade, so I think he’s finally hit it off with awards bodies enough to be a threat in the future, specifically if he ends up getting a buzzy supporting role.
I’ll group Brad Pitt and George Clooney together, as they’re somewhat similar. Two highly charismatic hunks who are clearly great actors, but seem more focused on behind the camera work currently, particularly Clooney. Pitt acts more often, but with the exception of the one that just won him an Oscar, most of his recent roles haven’t really been showy parts that picked up much genuine awards buzz. In that way, even though Clooney’s much more infrequent when it comes to acting, I feel like he has the better shot, as I think he could possibly end up having a big film come out after being away from the limelight enough to earn him a win. However, the fact that both have already been rewarded for their producing in addition to their acting makes me think it will be awhile before they’re in serious contention for another Oscar for their acting.
Joaquin Phoenix just won, so he’s got the decency bias going against him, but I also think he’ll struggle to find an Oscar vehicle to bring him back into the winner conversation. Not that he exactly wants to be back in that conversation given his apathy surrounding awards. He’s got the talent to win, but I feel like he’s gonna be too focused on minor films that don’t get enough attention to pick up enough buzz to win for a little while. Joker, being a blockbuster felt like the exact kind of stroke of luck he needed to win, and I don’t see him being in too many big movies like that again for the time being.
Colin Firth hasn’t done a project with awards buzz in awhile, so I don’t think he’ll win again anytime soon, but maybe he’ll get back into doing baity projects again, in which case he might get the right film to be in the running again.
I think Eddie Redmayne has a decent shot at future nominations, but I really don’t expect another win. Maybe if he kept doing more Oscar bait after the one two punch of the obviously designed to win Oscars Theory of Everything and Danish Girl, but after that, his biggest films have been in the Harry Potter franchise. However, Trial of the Chicago Seven could be a return to the Award conversation, so maybe he’s heading back on the right course for a second Oscar. But it’s worth noting, his first win isn’t very popular, beating out audience and critic favorite Michael Keaton, along with the snubbed performances by Jake Gyllenhaal and Ralph Fiennes, three performances that have remained highly popular and on their way to being iconic while Redmayne’s is somewhat forgotten already. I’m not sure how well he’s gonna fare when it comes to another Oscar when most people weren’t very happy about his first.
As for Mathew McConaghuey, he’s not winning again. His first win was seen as a reward for his recent work as a whole, and while people were generally happy with it then, he’s thrown away pretty much all of that long earned goodwill in the past couple of years, and I don’t know if he’s gonna be able to have enough successive hits to re-earn it.
Pitt already has 2 oscars…so he wins this poll by default.
Technically Clooney wins since he got his two first.May 19, 2020 at 3:20 pm #1203490488
Agh, tough. I think Bale, because he seems to be in the conversation almost always. DiCaprio might do it, but his schedule isn’t packed so he needs to make the most of every film.
Oldman, Firth, and Redmayne are brilliant and deserve another Oscar each, but it could be a while.
I don’t see Phoenix getting another one … ever? Certainly not anytime soon. McConaughey similarly unlikely.
Pitt… maybe. It’s hit or miss.
Clooney probably won’t get another, unless he mounts a huge campaign. Maybe his ‘farewell film’ or something?
Oh yeah, almost forgot Pacino. I dunno. I’m not feeling it.
"It is impossible to defeat an ignorant man in an argument." - William Gibbs McAdooMay 19, 2020 at 3:41 pm #1203490515
I think DiCaprio in this phase has become even pickier in choosing which films to star in.
He has adopted the Day-Lewis type of approach “less is more”.
Anyway there seem to be a list of incredibly interesting and baity projects from him in the future like Killers of The Flower Moon with a likely 2021 release (looks to start shooting in Oklahoma as soon as restrictions are eased), the Roosevelt biopic with Scorsese, The Adam McKay film, The Black Hand, The Devil In The White City, maybe a project with PTA, and others, just to name a few.
So I would say that after Bale, he’s the most likely to win it.May 19, 2020 at 4:12 pm #1203490548
Wow, we all agreed. Preaching to the choir I guess, but I have said that Bale is approaching the Streep/Denzel stage of his career where he can get nominated basically just for showing up. He was excellent in Ford v. Ferrari, but it was a pretty basic role and film, yet he was still almost nominated in a historically competitive field. People respect his craft. DiCaprio with his stardom on the other hand I could see going back to being snubbed here and there. Joaquin Phoenix is the other who is obviously in contention, but his picks and style are not quite as mainstream, so that often precludes him from entering the conversation more seriously.May 19, 2020 at 5:48 pm #1203490703
The first five options, with Bale being most likely (by far) and Pacino being least likely.
watch I May Destroy YouMay 19, 2020 at 7:38 pm #1203490775
This level of agreement is unbelievable! Always happy to see appreciation for Christian Bale!May 20, 2020 at 9:48 am #1203491651
I think that Bale will win (Lead) Oscar first of the people on the list but Leo will win 2 more for sure.
But what I can’t wait to see is meltdowns when Redcarpet pulls a Swank.Not now
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