Which was a bigger upset: Hopkins 2020 or Colman 2018?

[Pinkpie48 Joined: Feb 11th, 2021 Topics: 10 Posts: 93 View Predictions]

#1204231845

Can’t decide between these two.

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[Gabarnes43 Joined: Jan 6th, 2018 Topics: 24 Posts: 1208 View Predictions]

#1204231847

I feel privileged to have predicted both of these

6th Place WGA 2021
12th Place VES 2021
61st Place BAFTA nominations 2021

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[diego Joined: Dec 10th, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 1308 View Predictions]

#1204231863

Anthony for sure.

Both were unexpected but Olivia had a Globe and BAFTA backing her up, Anthony only had BAFTA. He was also going against one of the biggest narratives of recent memory.

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[methaddiction Joined: Aug 1st, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 1965 View Predictions]

#1204231868

Hopkins over Boseman for sure but at least they lost to people who are deserving of it.

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[Stank83 Joined: Mar 8th, 2020 Topics: 82 Posts: 1383 View Predictions]

#1204231883

Colman had Globes, Critics, and BAFTA.

Hopkins won only BAFTA, it’s Hopkins

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[ENGLAND Joined: Oct 5th, 2011 Topics: 51 Posts: 1437 View Predictions]

#1204231891

Once I saw The Father, I knew Hopkins would win the Oscar. How can anyone have challenged him?

I thought Glenn had the Oscar. Outside of the “overdue” factor, I thought she was amazing in The Wife.

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[lolo's Joined: Aug 3rd, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 33 View Predictions]

#1204231901

Just looking at the data, yes, Hopkins had less precursor support, but I feel that this time more people were expecting the upset. We learned from Colman, plus I feel that the support for Hopkins was increasing as more people saw the movie, which was peaking during the last weeks

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[Atypical Joined: Dec 1st, 2011 Topics: 38 Posts: 3128 View Predictions]

#1204231910

Hopkins

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[PM94 Joined: Nov 14th, 2010 Topics: 0 Posts: 79 View Predictions]

#1204231912

Hopkins over Boseman, no question, largely because The Father broke so late. Colman was basically the frontrunner through the critics run in 2018 and 2019. The only thing she didn’t win was the SAG. Boseman, on the other hand, fared well with critics, won everything except the BAFTA leading up the award, and was seen as such a sure thing that the producers of last Sunday’s ceremony oriented their entire schedule around a Boseman win.

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[Aimerarrow Joined: Feb 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 367 View Predictions]

#1204231952

I really need to put more value in BAFTA starting next year

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[Meg Joined: Dec 1st, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 11218 View Predictions]

#1204232030

Honey, Anthony Hopkins defeating Chadwick Boseman.  PUKE!

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 412 View Predictions]

#1204232043

I am mixed on this one. Statistically, it makes a lot of sense why Colman won over Close though at the time, I honestly felt that Close was going to take it.

Hopkins was more of a gamble and yet thanks to the Colman situation, I felt compelled to predict Hopkins this time.

So I suppose Hopkins is, when comparing both, the biggest upset but I was certainly more surprised by Colman at the time.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[Matheus Vaz Joined: Nov 1st, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 799 View Predictions]

#1204232045

PM94 wrote:

Hopkins over Boseman, no question, largely because The Father broke so late. Colman was basically the frontrunner through the critics run in 2018 and 2019. The only thing she didn’t win was the SAG.

She did not, she also lost critics choice to glenn & gaga.

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[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 870 View Predictions]

#1204232051

Close — her acceptance speech at the Globes was legendary. The Academy owes her — so her defeat at BAFTA was expected. Her defeat at the Oscar is an ugly reminder how much they take her for granted.

Boseman’s death propelled his campaign and early precursors support. By the end of the extended season his momentum had lost traction to Hopkins who gave the superior performance in the superior movie.

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[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 8 Posts: 870 View Predictions]

#1204232053

Matheus_Vaz wrote:

She did not, she also lost critics choice to glenn & gaga.

She won Comedy Actress at Critics Choice.

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