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Who Do You Think Is The Most Vulnerable Acting Oscar Frontrunner?

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Who Do You Think Is The Most Vulnerable Acting Oscar Frontrunner?
Gary Oldman in The Darkest Hour Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Eb
  • Joe Burns
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    So now that we have our 4 frontrunners set in stone, who do you think is the most vulnerable of them?

    Before tonight, I would have said Oldman, but I think since BAFTA is bound to honor him, I would say he’s pretty safe. Janney seems to have established herself as the strong favorite in Supporting Actress, after winning here. I knew it would happen: she’s much more popular in the industry then Metcalf and her role is super showy at least from what I’ve heard. Rockwell also seems like a solid favorite, although Supporting Actor is the race where they like to honor veterans which may give Richard Jenkins an opening especially if he pulls off a BAFTA upset and Three Billboards starts to lose support in the home stretch. I would say he is the most vulnerable right now.

    Going on, McDormand seems to have a really strong advantage going into the race, but could lose if The Shape of Water picks up speed in the post Oscar nominations period- if TSOW wins Best Picture and Best Actress at BAFTA as well as the DGA, Hawkins could very well win. But if McDormand takes it at BAFTA, she’s definitely winning, although I wouldn’t consider her a lock unless Three Billboards wins at DGA AND at BP/BD at BAFTA.

    What do you guys think?

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    Diet Teridax
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    None of them are vulnerable in the slightest. They are all LOCKED, no exaggeration or hyperbole on that one.

    Relieved that I am not the only one having trouble making polls.

    Note to myself: Don’t ever feed the trolls. Don’t get involved in others drama. Don’t let myself be swayed by others predictions, trust my gut more often!

    Note to all others: If you don’t happen to like me, ignore me. It is that simple.

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    Pulp
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    #1202473636

    Another tech problem with the site, the polls don’t work.

     

    Anyways, I wouldn’t be absolutely shocked if Metcalf won the Oscar. She has win bafta though, and same with Dafoe. If the divisiveness of 3 billboards hurts its best picture chances it could hurt Rockwell too considering the controversy is about his character.

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    Joe Burns
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    #1202473643

    Another tech problem with the site, the polls don’t work.

    Anyways, I wouldn’t be absolutely shocked if Metcalf won the Oscar. She has win bafta though, and same with Dafoe. If the divisiveness of 3 billboards hurts its best picture chances it could hurt Rockwell too considering the controversy is about his character.

    I think it will be Jenkins, not Dafoe, pulling off the upset if Rockwell loses. Dafoe’s chances are pretty much dead in the water at this point.

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    kbfr12
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    #1202473644

    None of them are vulnerable in the slightest. They are all LOCKED, no exaggeration or hyperbole on that one.

    Relieved that I am not the only one having trouble making polls.

    There are 42 days left. I’m not suggesting upsets are likely, but let’s not pretend the Oscars are tomorrow.

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    Joe Burns
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    None of them are vulnerable in the slightest. They are all LOCKED, no exaggeration or hyperbole on that one.

    Relieved that I am not the only one having trouble making polls.

    Lol, okay. Yeah, I tried to make another one, but no such luck.

    Mmm, if this was after the Oscar Nominations came out, maybe, but I think an upset could happen given we have over a month to go until the Oscars.

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    Joe Burns
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    #1202473654

    TO ALL GOLDDERBY EDITORS: We really should be allowed to delete our own posts- I could have easily made this topic into a non poll post if I could have deleted this one. I tried to make another poll, but it wouldn’t work and I presumed it was because of it having the same title, but when I changed the title, it didn’t work again.

    We also should be able to delete all other non-poll posts too- It’s ridiculous that we can’t.

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    unown
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    NONE

    as much as i hope and stan. i think its done acting side. oh well there is always next year

     

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    Joe Burns
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    Lol, Richard Jenkins isn’t even nominated at BAFTA- I could see him surprise though.

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    montana82
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    #1202473663

    Sadly they are probably locked. And they are so uninspired considering the nominees.

    The only one who could be in trouble is Rockwell if the movie keeps getting dinged and Harrelson is there to split some votes.

    • This reply was modified 9 months, 3 weeks ago by  montana82.
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    Joe Burns
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    #1202473667

    Nobody else thinks that Hawkins has a chance?

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    Miles
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    Janney, if Lady Bird has a late surge or overperforms in nominations. The problem is that I, Tonya overperformed at BAFTA.

    I’d hate to see these 4 be the winners, not because I dislike them but because these races, especially Best Actress were looking so competitive before the televised precursors.

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    Riley
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    #1202473682

    I voted “Gary Oldman in The Darkest Hour Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Eb”.

    "I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."

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    Joe Burns
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    #1202473684

    That seems to be happening a lot these days, sadly.

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    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #1202473686

    @JoeBurns Even if Hawkins won the BAFTA, it wouldn’t matter. It didn’t matter for Chiwetel Ejiofor or Dev Patel, either.

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