January 25, 2020 at 8:43 pm #1203305024
Brad Pitt (4x), Laura Dern (3x), and Joaquin Phoenix (4x) are all poised to win their first Oscars for acting. This will be eliminating 3 people from a short list of those (3+ Nominations) that are truly “overdue”.
In recent years The Academy ended the droughts of Viola Davis, Julianne Moore, Leonardo DiCaprio, and Jeff Bridges. You’d have to go all the way back to Alan Arkin & Helen Mirren for the last time more than one person with that many options was taken off the list.
28 Actors are currently on the list, with new entries every year. So who is getting taken off next?
Let’s first cut down the list in some order…
Angela Lansbury (3x) and Kirk Douglas (3x)
Besides a lack of roles in general, Diane Ladd (3x), Debra Winger (3x), Jane Alexander (4x), Marsha Mason (4x), and Piper Laurie (3x) have just been out of the conversation for far too long.
A Miracle Supporting Role Will Need To Happen…
Nick Nolte (3x) and Warren Beatty (4x) could fit in the above category, but I could see the right role carrying them to a victory in the next decade. (see: Alan Arkin)
It Needed To Happen In The 90s
Joan Allen (3x) and Ed Harris (4x) are fantastic actors, but there Awards prime has passed and aren’t getting the roles that used to propel them to nominations.
Movie Stars That Used To Act
Johnny Depp (3x) and Tom Cruise (3x) don’t really act anymore as much as do weird character schtick and stunts respectively.
In This Website’s Dreams
Michelle Pfeiffer (3x), Sigourney Weaver (3x), and Laura Linney (3x) could get that later career Supporting Roles, but recent attempts went nowhere.
Nominations Will Be The Reward
I think Woody Harrelson (3x), Willem Dafoe (4x), Viggo Mortensen (3x), and Edward Norton (3x) will get nominations but never be in 1st Place for the win.
That leave us with 8 true contenders…
Women on a Mission
I could see Glenn Close (7x) and Annette Bening (4x) never getting that competitive Oscar, but both are sure as hell going to keep trying. Close will be a contender if Hillbilly Elegy resonates. I think at this point their chances at winning for Lead are over.
Eventually, Not Soon
Matt Damon (3x) and Mark Ruffalo (3x) will get there eventually, but neither feels on the cusp.
Saoirse Ronan (4x)
Racking up nominations at a young age like she’s the next Kate Winslet, and could possibly win for playing opposite her next year.
Bradley Cooper (4x)
Maybe he will win for writing or directing before this happens, but it will happen.
Michelle Williams (4x)
If for nothing else, voters know she gives a great speech.
Amy Adams (6x)
Will they manage to get both her and Glenn Close Oscars for Hillbilly Elegy? or will she compete for Woman in the Window instead? This feels like the year she leaves the list.January 25, 2020 at 8:59 pm #1203305053
What about Ryan Gosling? He has two noms and I feel like he has a chance to win in the future if he gets a baity role
Also ScarJo and Driver. Not that these people are overdue or anything but I feel like they might be the next generation of people on The ListJanuary 25, 2020 at 9:03 pm #1203305070
Glenn Close also has Four Good Days and is the lead in that. She’s got a shot at two noms next year-one in supporting for Hillbilly Elegy and one in leading for Four Good Days.</p>January 25, 2020 at 10:09 pm #1203305150
In another thread someone posted good reviews of Four Good Days which premiered today at Sundance. Can’t find any official reviews though yet.January 31, 2020 at 11:06 am #1203322023
A few names that come to mind as deserving (and possibly long overdue) for an Oscar win:
Brenda Blethyn: Two Oscar Noms (1997-Lead; 1999-Supporting) and no wins. She doesn’t get the same kind of roles she was in the early half of the new century but she’s still a fantastic performer and should be capable of landing a plum supporting role that launches her onto the Oscar stage one more time.
Also in her corner; she’s clearly a well respected performer. She has a Golden Globe (out of three nominations); a BAFTA (out of four noms) and two Emmy nominations.
Ewan McGregor: I can’t believe he’s never been up for an Oscar. He has three Golden Globe nominations and two Emmy nominations. He’s still relatively young and works pretty consistently (though likely not in Oscar-bait projects) and likely isn’t really still on the A-List. But he probably should have been nominated by now.
Cameron Diaz: Put her on the next to impossible list. She’s basically retired now and hasn’t acted since 2014. She worked for several decades and never came close to a nomination. Her best shots were likely “Being John Malkovich”, “Gangs of New York” or “Vanilla Sky.”
But she’s only 40-something, could easily return to acting at some point later and become a “late in life” performer. Perhaps she’ll have a Jessica Tandy like career resurgence later in life?
Ethan Hawke: Talk about overdue; Ethan has been working since the late 1980’s and has four Oscar nominations to his name. (two for acting; two for writing) and still works consistently and regularly. He should have been nominated for “First Reformed” and hopefully has time to get nominated again. I have no doubt at some point he’ll be viewed as overdue enough for a win.
Janet McTeer: Still entirely possible with the right role she could win an Oscar. Highly respected, still works frequently and has two Oscar nominations under her belt. Although at 58 time may be running out if it doesn’t happen soon.
Winona Ryder: She needs to grab onto a big, meaty supporting role in a critically acclaimed film to ever get another nomination. Could be tough since she mostly works in TV now and rarely does Oscar-Bait movies anymore.
Kristin Scott Thomas: Hard to believe she only has one previous nomination to her credit. But she probably should have gotten a second nomination by now. Doesn’t seem like anybody is in a rush to give her a second nomination. Of course she mostly works in The UK now and isn’t a huge name stateside anymore.
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