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Who is the Best Picture Front-Runner?

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    Pollo crudo
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    #1202420803

    Lets narrow the race: The winner for best original screenplay will win best picture.

    CMBYN will win adapted, but doesn’t seem like the BP winner. It won’t get very probably best film editing and would have max 5 nods. If it surpasses this two expectations, count it as best picture winner.

    Screenplay is still the best indicator for the best film.

    The Artist didn’t win because it was silent, which would have been a very strange win, but it still got nod.

    So it could be between 3 Billboards and Shape of Water. Followed by Get Out & The Post. Lady Bird and Florida Project may have a chance. Lets see how this evolves.

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    Noah Arlington
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    #1202420820

    I really don’t think Dunkirk will win BP. I can actually see Darkest Hour or The Post winning if they are as good as people say they are. I think CMBYN has a better shot at winning BP than Dunkirk.

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    Noah Arlington
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    #1202420830

    Lets narrow the race: The winner for best original screenplay will win best picture. CMBYN will win adapted, but doesn’t seem like the BP winner. It won’t get very probably best film editing and would have max 5 nods. If it surpasses this two expectations, count it as best picture winner. Screenplay is still the best indicator for the best film. The Artist didn’t win because it was silent, which would have been a very strange win, but it still got nod. So it could be between 3 Billboards and Shape of Water. Followed by Get Out & The Post. Lady Bird and Florida Project may have a chance. Lets see how this evolves.

    No way CMBYN doesn’t get more than 5 nods.

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    WildforFilm
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    #1202420833

    I think 3 Billboards is the current frontrunner, but I could see a La La Land scenario playing out in which it wins so many precursors that people get tired of it and reward another film, which I worry will be The Shape of Water.

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    Anthony 🐜
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    #1202420898

    Not entirely sold on Three Billboards winning Best Picture. It will hit all precursors, but something tells me there will be push back. It is divisive, mainly due to Rockwell’s redemptive arc, and the crude language/jokes that many people seem to be extremely offended by (retard, midget etc).

    I think it wins Best Original Screenplay, Best Actress and Best Supporting Actor. That is its best day at the Oscars.

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    Pollo crudo
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    #1202420933

    I think it wins Best Original Screenplay, Best Actress and Best Supporting Actor. That is its best day at the Oscars.

    I think if it wins those 3 will very very probably get Best Picture. Three Billboards needs to go home almost empty handed to loose it, winning maximum one of the acting categories.

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    JackO
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    #1202420965

    Three Billboards and Lady Bird. Both are positioned very strongly. Whichever one wins best original screenplay will win BP. Not buying Dunkirk, way too many obstacles, like no acting nod or SAG ensemble and no screenplay.

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    manakamana
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    #1202421017

    CMBYN will win adapted, but doesn’t seem like the BP winner. It won’t get very probably best film editing and would have max 5 nods. If it surpasses this two expectations, count it as best picture winner.

    CMBYN can get:
    – Picture
    – Director
    – Actor
    – Supporting Actor (Hammer)
    – Supporting Actor (Stuhlbarg)
    – Adapted Screenplay
    – Cinematography
    – Song (Mysteries of Love)
    – Song (Visions of Gideon)

    That’s 9 nominations without Editing, for which it is also very much in the race.

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    #1202421033
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    BenitoDelicias
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    #1202421048

    The stigma of horror/comedy is too great.

    Or…Get Out isn’t that good…

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    spencer
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    #1202421053

    Just about a month ago it truly seemed that the well-made (***) but not great WW2 epic “Dunkirk” may be the sweeper, however looking over what could be nommed & where the fantasy “:Shape of water” be well be the “biggie?”at any rate, I think they will split again between BP & BD, voting Nolan the latter.

    Spencer Shannon

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    spencer
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    #1202421056

    I first caught the big hit $175m. “Get 0ut” on cable a couple of weeks back & personally was able to telephrah all it’s punches & went from mediocre to an all out mess (*1/2) I certainly hope the *Academy doesn’t loewer it’s standards & have this popular, but stupid thriller in the race.

    Hitchcock & Rod Serling it ain;t!

    Spencer Shannon

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    spencer
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    #1202421058

    To Tom & any others again, have you or any others yet to see *Woody’s “WONDER WHEEL?”

    Spencer Shannon

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    spencer
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    #1202421062

    & I’vce asked this before, but nobody answered. Is this the same JAMES IVORY-(l923-) from the 1980’s & ’90’s costume dramas>”A Room With a View” “Howard’s end” & the one I’ve always fond a simpily perfect piece of filmmaking on every single level-(especially *Hopkins as Mr. Stevens)( in 1993’s “THE REMAINS OF THE DAY?”

    Never liked arty-fsarsty costume dramnas, but that & *John Huston’s utterly perfecto & last 1987’s “The Dead” were tremendously fimed stuff!
    (the later deserved a lot more ’87 *Oscar nominations as well & was only 83 minutes) & with another super score by Alex North-(who never heard his name called in winning a scoring *Oscar!?) & I’ll always say *Sir Anthony’s performamnce as Mr Stevens in “Remains” ranks up there among the single finest I’ve ever seen!!!
    But, if it’s thee Ivory, that category is a lock

    Spencer Shannon

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    spencer
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    #1202421074

    Still wish there were only the regular top 5 BP contenders & many agree by the way

    This will mark the 9th consecutive year of 8 to 10. I think at first they said t was to broaden the appeal of the *Oscars & try & draw in younger viewers; During “Hollywoods Glorious Golden Age & “Studio-System”-(l925-60) The had ten BP contenders & fir a dozen yrs-(l943 was the last) Problem being, they made better product then & each of what were dubbed the top five “Dream Factories”-(answered to NY) MGM, WB’s, Fox, Paramount & RKO had to come out with about 52 pictures a yr. & the little 3 Universal-(oldest), Columbia & UA-(though not really a working studio) had to release 30-32 or more annually. Reckon’ *Walt was in his own orbit. But from 1931-32 until 1944 there were ten I bet right now if there were the ol’ regular five this year they would be>
    “Dunkirk” “Darkest Hour” “Shape of Water” “Three Billboards..” & “The Post” THANK YOU

    Spencer Shannon

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