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February 26, 2019 at 9:11 pm #1202796745
I think that it is an interesting question. Remember that only the directors’ branch of the academy voted for the nominees and that first-place votes on the ballots were counted first. My guess: Burnham > Schrader > Cooper > Farrelly > Jenkins.February 26, 2019 at 9:12 pm #1202796746
Bradley Cooper.I refuse to believe anything else.February 26, 2019 at 9:31 pm #1202796779
Maybe Cooper but I voted for Farrelly.February 26, 2019 at 9:42 pm #1202796793
I think Cooper definitely. I always had this feeling that besides Cooper, Farrelly was going to get kicked out of the lineup and Yorgos was going to take his spot (him ratting himself out about flashing Cameron Diaz and everyone didn’t help). I also had this feeling after BAFTA that Pawlikowski was going to get in but I wasn’t too keen on kicking out Cooper or McKay.
“No user starts this shady” - someone culturally relevant.February 26, 2019 at 11:56 pm #1202796908
Cooper and Farrelly were neck to neck in the ranking.February 27, 2019 at 12:26 am #1202796944
Much as I want to say Schrader, I do not know that I can believe that with full faith. The film, despite what the precursors say, is more of a directorial triumph than one in writing, and the director’s branch may have recognized that (obviously, to only a certain degree; but also, consider what happened with Phantom Thread last season). Maybe that is just wishful thinking, though. The branch went for several “art film” nominees this year, would they really have had a fourth so close to cracking the top five?
The problem is, I have just as much trouble with the others. At least Schrader’s film was close to the cut in a couple other categories — can the same be said for Burnham’s? I have a hard time believing that if the film were going to break into two categories at the Oscars that they would be Director and Screenplay. The branch obviously was not happy with Cooper’s “I am a filmmaking God” campaign message, so I say he was not as close as others believe. Farrelly stepped in it at the worst possible time, but, as we saw, people were willing to embrace his film regardless, so maybe he just barely missed? And frankly, I do not think Jenkins even came close.
So, maybe…: Farrelly > Schrader > Burnham > Cooper > Jenkins ??February 27, 2019 at 1:20 am #1202796965
Bradley Cooper. +1February 27, 2019 at 2:39 am #1202796991
Even though voters clearly didn’t care about the controversies, Farrelly still missed out for a reason. The 8 nominations lead me to vote for Cooper as a close sixth-place finisher.February 27, 2019 at 4:11 am #1202797086
Farrelly is well liked in the industry, but there might have been a snob snub by the Academy directing branch for being the director of those raunchy comedies earlier in his career. Also, Green Book is not a showy artistic film, and was more liked for its acting and screenplay, then direction and cinematography. Having said that, there reports that Spielberg was in the film’s corner to defeat that Netflix Roma, though that might have translated more for the Best Picture race. There’s also the so-called older white men in the director’s branch who supposedly were the demographic of Green Book voters.
Cooper might have been snubbed a little for being an young actor turned director, like Ben Affleck. But the film is well shot, and also got a cinematography nomination at the Oscars. Also, Bradley Cooper losing Best First Time Director at DGAs might have been because people were voting him for Best Director and didn’t want him to win both categories, so probably he has support from directors.
My guess was it’s Cooper, but Farrelly would not have been far behind. Maybe they tied for sixth.February 27, 2019 at 5:25 am #1202797120
I know only the directors branch vote for the nominations, but has there ever been a lone director nomination before? My cursory google search wasn’t helpful there. Every film had at least one nomination apart from Eighth Grade, so I’m not sure about Burnham. I voted Bradley due to all the precursors, where the film got other nominations, and, likely, some personal bias.February 27, 2019 at 5:41 am #1202797138
I know only the directors branch vote for the nominations, but has there ever been a lone director nomination before? My cursory google search wasn’t helpful there. Every film had at least one nomination apart from Eighth Grade, so I’m not sure about Burnham. I voted Bradley due to all the precursors, where the film got other nominations, and, likely, some personal bias.
Since the BP expansion, only 2:
Bennett Miller, “Foxcatcher”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
There were others before the expansion too.February 27, 2019 at 6:00 am #1202797155
I was your Prime Minister once.February 27, 2019 at 6:30 am #1202797172This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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