Who will be the Emily Blunt/Sarah Silverman/Naomi Watts of this year at SAG?

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 125 Posts: 2519 View Predictions]

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 125 Posts: 2519 View Predictions]

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 125 Posts: 2519 View Predictions]

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 158 Posts: 17847 View Predictions]

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Definitely Adam Sandler.  Forgot about Naomi Watts.  James Gandolfini was not that surprising.  He got Critics’ Choice and Independent Spirit too.

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[Bird Joined: Nov 5th, 2012 Topics: 4 Posts: 187 View Predictions]

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Currently predicting Judi Dench for Murder on the Orient Express. I think the film has a shot at ensemble and I think she can get caught up with that nomination, a la Maggie Smith and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel.

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[RobertPius Joined: Nov 22nd, 2012 Topics: 266 Posts: 1901 View Predictions]

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I put Woody H. in my predictions for SAG yesterday. Just a hunch while I was looking for out of the ordinary predictions.

I’m sort of tempted to put Julia Roberts in for the Globes for Wonder just because they’d probably like her to show up.

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[RobertPius Joined: Nov 22nd, 2012 Topics: 266 Posts: 1901 View Predictions]

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If someone really wanted to get the inside track on SAG votes I’d say you have to look at when the screeners go out. I have a feeling some of those surprise nominations came from a screener that got there early and people had nothing else to watch so they gave it a chance.

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[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 481 Posts: 7597 View Predictions]

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Please let it be Bria Vinaite in The Florida Project!!! (:

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 125 Posts: 2519 View Predictions]

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[AndMore Joined: Jan 4th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 285 View Predictions]

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I would say that Maggie Smith and James Gandolfini had genuine Oscar buzz and weren’t surprises. Supporting Actress was insanely weak that year and most experts had her in their top 5 predictions on Oscar nomination morning. Gandolfini’s death played to his narrative, and a lot of people wanted him nominated, so he was in the conversation and showed up with BFCA.

Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

Also, I believe Swank was campaigning pretty hard that year and doing the roundtables, so most experts had her in, and her missing the Globe was the first wake-up call for them, kind of like Depp a couple of years ago.

But yes, Silverman, Mirren, Watts, and Hammer were completely out of nowhere. When Aniston first showed up at SAG, a lot of people were puzzled as well, but then she got BFCA and GG noms.

This year I would say maybe Sandler, Hayek, Kruger, Lois Smith, or Lawrence. I am really considering putting Lois Smith in since they have screeners out, she is a veteran, and she is campaigning.

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[Pollo crudo Joined: Dec 3rd, 2013 Topics: 4 Posts: 398 View Predictions]

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I’d say Woody Harrelson for Glass Castle or Julia Roberts from Wonder.

I don’t want any of them to be there but it’s my guess.

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[TheCineMike Joined: Jun 5th, 2012 Topics: 13 Posts: 947 View Predictions]

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Julia Roberts – Wonder
Bob Odenkirk – The Post

https://thecinemike.wordpress.com/
Twitter: @TheCineMike

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 158 Posts: 17847 View Predictions]

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AndMore wrote:

Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

SAG was first though.

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[AndMore Joined: Jan 4th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 285 View Predictions]

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Riley Chow wrote:

AndMore wrote:

Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

SAG was first though.

Yes, I remember! I’m just saying it wasn’t like she wasn’t in the conversation. There was clearly industry support for her performance. The other people I mentioned were literally “WTF” and no other aspects of the industry recognized them.

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