

-
-
December 7, 2017 at 6:52 pm #1202432769This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 7, 2017 at 7:00 pm #1202432774This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 7, 2017 at 7:03 pm #1202432776This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 7, 2017 at 7:07 pm #1202432779This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 7, 2017 at 7:28 pm #1202432787
Definitely Adam Sandler. Forgot about Naomi Watts. James Gandolfini was not that surprising. He got Critics’ Choice and Independent Spirit too.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 7:37 pm #1202432795Currently predicting Judi Dench for Murder on the Orient Express. I think the film has a shot at ensemble and I think she can get caught up with that nomination, a la Maggie Smith and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 7:43 pm #1202432803I put Woody H. in my predictions for SAG yesterday. Just a hunch while I was looking for out of the ordinary predictions.
I’m sort of tempted to put Julia Roberts in for the Globes for Wonder just because they’d probably like her to show up.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 7:46 pm #1202432806If someone really wanted to get the inside track on SAG votes I’d say you have to look at when the screeners go out. I have a feeling some of those surprise nominations came from a screener that got there early and people had nothing else to watch so they gave it a chance.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 8:26 pm #1202432822Please let it be Bria Vinaite in The Florida Project!!! (:
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 8:34 pm #1202432827This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 7, 2017 at 8:40 pm #1202432832I would say that Maggie Smith and James Gandolfini had genuine Oscar buzz and weren’t surprises. Supporting Actress was insanely weak that year and most experts had her in their top 5 predictions on Oscar nomination morning. Gandolfini’s death played to his narrative, and a lot of people wanted him nominated, so he was in the conversation and showed up with BFCA.
Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.
Also, I believe Swank was campaigning pretty hard that year and doing the roundtables, so most experts had her in, and her missing the Globe was the first wake-up call for them, kind of like Depp a couple of years ago.
But yes, Silverman, Mirren, Watts, and Hammer were completely out of nowhere. When Aniston first showed up at SAG, a lot of people were puzzled as well, but then she got BFCA and GG noms.
This year I would say maybe Sandler, Hayek, Kruger, Lois Smith, or Lawrence. I am really considering putting Lois Smith in since they have screeners out, she is a veteran, and she is campaigning.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 8:48 pm #1202432842I’d say Woody Harrelson for Glass Castle or Julia Roberts from Wonder.
I don’t want any of them to be there but it’s my guess.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 9:28 pm #1202432864Julia Roberts – Wonder
Bob Odenkirk – The PostReplyCopy URLhttps://thecinemike.wordpress.com/
Twitter: @TheCineMikeDecember 7, 2017 at 9:32 pm #1202432865Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.
SAG was first though.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 7, 2017 at 9:48 pm #1202432872Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.
SAG was first though.
Yes, I remember! I’m just saying it wasn’t like she wasn’t in the conversation. There was clearly industry support for her performance. The other people I mentioned were literally “WTF” and no other aspects of the industry recognized them.
ReplyCopy URL
You must be logged in to reply to this topic.