Who will be the Emily Blunt/Sarah Silverman/Naomi Watts of this year at SAG?

[jf123Participant Joined: Feb 15th, 2014 Topics: 122 Posts: 2495 View Predictions]

#1202432769

SAG is usually known for nominating one or two performances a year with no major Oscar buzz in a film with no major Oscar buzz that rarely shows up anywhere else. Who will be the nominee this year?

From this decade:
2016-Emily Blunt (Girl on the Train)
2015-Sarah Silverman (I Smile Back) and Helen Mirren (Women in Gold)
2014-Naomi Watts (St. Vincent)
2013-James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
2012-Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
2011-Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)
2010-Hillary Swank (Conviction) and Robert DuVall (Get Low)

Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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[jf123Participant Joined: Feb 15th, 2014 Topics: 122 Posts: 2495 View Predictions]

#1202432774

Making this thread made me remember the criminal lack of attention Sarah Silverman’s performance got. Her nom may be my favorite SAG nom of all time.

Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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[jf123Participant Joined: Feb 15th, 2014 Topics: 122 Posts: 2495 View Predictions]

#1202432776

I’m predicting Diane Kruger for In the Fade.

Some other people who could potentially get in:
Salma Hayek-Beatriz at Dinner (especially considering that the film is competing in drama at the globes)
Julia Roberts-Wonder
Patrick Stewart-Logan

Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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[Anonymous Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 55 Posts: 2986 View Predictions]

#1202432779

Adam Sandler, Judi Dench, Harry Dean Stanton, Lois Smith, Patrick Stewart, Woody Harrelson (for both LBJ or 3B), Sterling K Brown

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[RileyKeymaster Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 115 Posts: 13849 View Predictions]

#1202432787

Definitely Adam Sandler.  Forgot about Naomi Watts.  James Gandolfini was not that surprising.  He got Critics’ Choice and Independent Spirit too.

"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."

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[BirdParticipant Joined: Nov 5th, 2012 Topics: 4 Posts: 117 View Predictions]

#1202432795

Currently predicting Judi Dench for Murder on the Orient Express. I think the film has a shot at ensemble and I think she can get caught up with that nomination, a la Maggie Smith and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel.

• This reply was modified 10 months, 1 week ago by  Bird.

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[RobertPiusParticipant Joined: Nov 22nd, 2012 Topics: 184 Posts: 1069 View Predictions]

#1202432803

I put Woody H. in my predictions for SAG yesterday. Just a hunch while I was looking for out of the ordinary predictions.

I’m sort of tempted to put Julia Roberts in for the Globes for Wonder just because they’d probably like her to show up.

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[RobertPiusParticipant Joined: Nov 22nd, 2012 Topics: 184 Posts: 1069 View Predictions]

#1202432806

If someone really wanted to get the inside track on SAG votes I’d say you have to look at when the screeners go out. I have a feeling some of those surprise nominations came from a screener that got there early and people had nothing else to watch so they gave it a chance.

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[FreemanGriffinParticipant Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 405 Posts: 3510 View Predictions]

#1202432822

Please let it be Bria Vinaite in The Florida Project!!! (:

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[jf123Participant Joined: Feb 15th, 2014 Topics: 122 Posts: 2495 View Predictions]

#1202432827

FreemanGriffin wrote:

Please let it be Bria Vinaite in The Florida Project!!! (:

But The Florida Project is a contender to get nominated for Best Picture and a couple other categories (including a WIN for Dafoe). This mostly applies to performances and/in movies with very little Oscar buzz/chance

Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.

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[AndMoreParticipant Joined: Jan 4th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 207 View Predictions]

#1202432832

I would say that Maggie Smith and James Gandolfini had genuine Oscar buzz and weren’t surprises. Supporting Actress was insanely weak that year and most experts had her in their top 5 predictions on Oscar nomination morning. Gandolfini’s death played to his narrative, and a lot of people wanted him nominated, so he was in the conversation and showed up with BFCA.

Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

Also, I believe Swank was campaigning pretty hard that year and doing the roundtables, so most experts had her in, and her missing the Globe was the first wake-up call for them, kind of like Depp a couple of years ago.

But yes, Silverman, Mirren, Watts, and Hammer were completely out of nowhere. When Aniston first showed up at SAG, a lot of people were puzzled as well, but then she got BFCA and GG noms.

This year I would say maybe Sandler, Hayek, Kruger, Lois Smith, or Lawrence. I am really considering putting Lois Smith in since they have screeners out, she is a veteran, and she is campaigning.

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[Pollo crudoParticipant Joined: Dec 3rd, 2013 Topics: 2 Posts: 262 View Predictions]

#1202432842

I’d say Woody Harrelson for Glass Castle or Julia Roberts from Wonder.

I don’t want any of them to be there but it’s my guess.

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[unbb24Participant Joined: Jun 5th, 2012 Topics: 13 Posts: 550 View Predictions]

#1202432864

Julia Roberts – Wonder
Bob Odenkirk – The Post

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[RileyKeymaster Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 115 Posts: 13849 View Predictions]

#1202432865

AndMore wrote:

Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

SAG was first though.

"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."

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[AndMoreParticipant Joined: Jan 4th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 207 View Predictions]

#1202432872

Riley wrote:

AndMore wrote:

Blunt was a long shot, but also made BAFTA, so you couldn’t exactly count her out, even though it was so competitive that year.

SAG was first though.

Yes, I remember! I’m just saying it wasn’t like she wasn’t in the conversation. There was clearly industry support for her performance. The other people I mentioned were literally “WTF” and no other aspects of the industry recognized them.

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