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October 25, 2020 at 8:07 am #1203801365
I really think it won’t be that hard for Blanchett. She’s only 3 away, relatively young (51) and has as much public adoration and goodwill within the industry as she’s ever had. She has a slew of interesting projects in the works so her time could come closer than we think.
ReplyCopy URLEmmy FYC:
Chloë Sevigny in “The Girl From Plainville” and “Russian Doll”
October 25, 2020 at 8:28 am #1203801377If the AMPAS wants to give Pacino a 2nd that can push him to 10 or maybe more
Blanchett will get there as others has mentions. Winslet may get her 8th and Close as well
ReplyCopy URL2023 Oscar
Best Picture: The Way of The Wind
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: TAR
Best Actor: The Whale
Best Supporting Actress: The Whale
Best Supporting Actor: Poor ThingsOctober 25, 2020 at 9:23 am #1203801438ReplyCopy URLFYC
Best Actress - Pénélope Cruz, Olivia Colman
Best Actor - Denzel Washington
Best Supporting Actress - Aunjanue Ellis, Kathryn Hunter
October 25, 2020 at 9:26 am #1203801444This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.October 25, 2020 at 10:00 am #1203801502I have to go with Blanchett. She seems to be on the verge of having a potentially even better career than Streep in terms of prestige and Oscar bait roles and in fact even though she’s doing television as well I feel like that’s not going to be her main focus like it is with Witherspoon and she’ll be getting roles that Nicole Kidman for example won’t be getting as much of in terms of prestige films (even though it looks like television will be a similar focus for Blanchett in the same way it is a similar focus for Kidman).
ReplyCopy URLFYC:
"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")
October 25, 2020 at 10:24 am #1203801558While I agree that Adam Driver will likely be the S.Actor priority for Gucci there are a ton of potentially juicy supporting roles in that one – the story its based on is absolutely outrageous even before you get into the whole assassination thing.
Whoever is playing the older uncle (Pacino or potentially deNiro) will get some good material (got sued by his nephew, did time in prison aged 81 after his son reported him for tax evasion). There is definitely a path for Pacino there.
Unrelated but topical – Rudy Giuliani is likely to be a key character in the film.
ReplyCopy URLOctober 25, 2020 at 10:39 am #1203801581The ones with the most opportunities for future nods are Blanchett, DiCaprio, Hanks, & Denzel. Opportunity doesn’t equal reality though, since Hanks would have made it to double digits by now if he hadn’t been snubbed so often lately. From the rest, DiCaprio will eventually get there, but he’s picky, so he won’t get there first. Between Denzel & Blanchett, I’ll vote for Blanchett.
ReplyCopy URLOctober 25, 2020 at 11:34 am #1203801657This a tough one, but I ended up going with DiCaprio. Since he has probably the most work coming up and a lot of upcoming baity roles for just next year alone. But I wouldn’t be suprised if Pacino or Denzel get 10 first. Since they are much closer to 10 then DiCaprio is, and also have baity performances on the way as well.
ReplyCopy URLFYC Oscars: Licorice Pizza (Best Picture, Best Director, Original Screenplay), The Mitchells vs The Machines (Best Picture, Animated Feature, Original Screenplay), Wes Anderson (Best Director), Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of MacBeth), Andrew Garfield and Robin de Jesus (Tick, Tick...BOOM!), Jayne Houdyshell (The Humans), Stephen Karam (Adapted Screenplay), Attica and Summer of Soul (Best Documentary)
FYC Razzies: Dear Evan Hansen (in all eligible categories)
October 25, 2020 at 3:29 pm #1203801946This a tough one, but I ended up going with DiCaprio. Since he has probably the most work coming up and a lot of upcoming baity roles for just next year alone. But I wouldn’t be suprised if Pacino or Denzel get 10 first. Since they are much closer to 10 then DiCaprio is, and also have baity performances on the way as well.
Denzel doesn’t have anything coming up super-soon after Macbeth so both he and Pacino can easily be leapfrogged by one of the others who are racking up more projects.
That said, I went with Pacino because there is a path for him to do it next year, even with internal competition from the rest of his cast.
ReplyCopy URLOctober 25, 2020 at 3:56 pm #1203801987I voted for Denzel because everyone loves him, he’s constantly doing new awards friendly projects, can get in for small, little seen films, etc.
But Pacino definitely has the route since he only needs one and he very well may have the film to get in next year. And then there’s King Lear coming soon as well.
ReplyCopy URLOctober 25, 2020 at 4:16 pm #1203802012Denzel, he’s in that Meryl 2002-2011 period where people actively want her to win a 3rd now and they’ll get nominated for pretty much anything that’s good.
ReplyCopy URLOctober 25, 2020 at 8:55 pm #1203802308Nominations Tally Al Pacino- 9 Denzel Washington- 8 Cate Blanchett- 7 Robert De Niro- 7 Jeff Bridges- 7 Judi Dench- 7 Kate Winslet- 7 Glenn Close- 7 Tom Hanks- 6 Leonardo DiCaprio- 6 Winslet, Close and Hanks could receive another nomination this year. The Irishman felt like a farewell nod to Pacino, so although he’s the closest- I don’t really see him getting another nomination. I can see Dench getting her 8th, but unfortunately I can’t see her getting another 3 nominations in her career. So the best bets are Blanchett, DiCaprio, Winslet and Washington
thank you for sharing the nomination totals 🙂
ReplyCopy URLLetterboxd: Brayfers
Multi-Grammy Winning Artist - Olivia Rodrigo
!! EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE - OUT NOW !!
FYC:
- Squid Game
- Severance
- This Is Us
- Stranger Things
- Reservation DogsOctober 25, 2020 at 8:57 pm #1203802312Blanchett has Nightmare Alley soon right?
ReplyCopy URLLetterboxd: Brayfers
Multi-Grammy Winning Artist - Olivia Rodrigo
!! EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE - OUT NOW !!
FYC:
- Squid Game
- Severance
- This Is Us
- Stranger Things
- Reservation DogsOctober 25, 2020 at 9:08 pm #1203802343Blanchett has Nightmare Alley soon right?
Yep.
ReplyCopy URLFYC:
"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")
October 25, 2020 at 11:07 pm #1203802437Blanchett has Nightmare Alley soon right?
Not winning for that.
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