January 9, 2018 at 11:12 am #1202461990
I think this has boosted her chances immensely.January 9, 2018 at 11:18 am #1202462016
Chances of getting nominated? Sure, but she didn’t need the BAFTA nom really either way.
Chances of winning? No, sorry; after the GG loss, she’s just an Oscar nominee for now.January 9, 2018 at 11:22 am #1202462024
If she somehow wins SAG, which won’t happen, she’ll win the Oscar. But SAG is McDormand’s to loose.January 9, 2018 at 11:24 am #1202462031
2 sag nominations (despite late release)
Allison won gg over metcalf
And now 5 bafta nominations including original screenplay and i think Allison Will win bafta too because Lady bird underperformed (yay)
At first I, Tonya really underperformed at critics awards and they didnt gave awards movie deserve but guilds and television awards really give big support to movie so im really happy about thisJanuary 9, 2018 at 11:39 am #1202462052
Unlike what many people here say she was always getting nominated, this nomination cemented her nomination status as a lock. However, after the loss at the Globe she doesn’t stand a chance to win.Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)ParticipantJanuary 9, 2018 at 11:40 am #1202462053
I think that Robbie was probably getting nominated without the BAFTA nomination, but it does help quite a bit. Dench missing out (arguably the most shocking snub of the day) helped immensely as well.
As for SAG, I think that three women can take it: McDormand, Ronan and Hawkins. Robbie losing the GG may have killed her chances of winning the Oscar.January 9, 2018 at 11:44 am #1202462062
She was in before BAFTA race so getting nom only strengthens her. Dench missing kills her chances. The race for the 5th spot is between Streep and Chastain.Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)ParticipantJanuary 9, 2018 at 11:44 am #1202462063
Unlike what many people here say she was always getting nominated, this nomination cemented her nomination status as a lock. However, after the loss at the Globe she doesn’t stand a chance to win.
It sucks, too, because she would’ve won in another year with the performance she had in I, Tonya. Sadly, this is too competitive a year in the Best Actress category for her to really break through.January 9, 2018 at 11:53 am #1202462084
If she doesn’t get in she’d be this year’s Amy Adams.
I had always predicted her to be nominated. She’s like 3rd or 4th in the race atm. I honestly think Hawkins has a higher chance to be snubed.January 9, 2018 at 11:53 am #1202462087
It does help her get nominated. If Bafta had nominated, say, J-Chas instead, M-Rob would be far more vulnerable, but this pretty much sealed the nod for her.January 9, 2018 at 12:26 pm #1202462137
I still see an outside chance of her winning SAG. Wasn’t I, Tonya an early screener?January 9, 2018 at 12:48 pm #1202462162
I had to change course with my perception of the film itself and Margot Robbie after finally being allowed to see both. I have no problems in including her in my final five lead actress predictions. Robbie is doing career-defining work here in a surprisingly sympathetic portrayal of Tonya Harding (imagine that?). Losing the Globes/SAGs doesn’t change that for me, or getting into BAFTA (which I expected anyways).January 9, 2018 at 1:11 pm #1202462195
It does help her get nominated. If Bafta had nominated, say, J-Chas instead, M-Rob would be far more vulnerable, but this pretty much sealed the nod for her.
I’m of thoughts about this. I think Robbie was always getting in. She’s solid 4th place to me (at the very least – just on her buzz alone). BAFTA just strengthened her into a lock for a nomination.January 9, 2018 at 3:54 pm #1202462332
Margot, although I liked her in I Tonya and of course deserves the win over the disgusting Sally Hawkins and the offensive Frances McDormand, should be happy for just being nominated. Her Globe loss was her death as a potential winner.
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