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“Hacksaw Ridge” is looking like a stronger and stronger contender for a Best Picture nomination, and the Best Director category still seems fairly open to me — beyond Chazelle, Jenkins, and Lonergan there still seems to be room to maneuver for those last two slots. Since “Hacksaw” is such a director’s movie (big complex action sequences, with Gibson’s favorite thematic flourishes) and we know the academy has liked Gibson before, will he be nominated again for Best Director, or is he still going to be hurt by his past misdeeds?
ReplyI feel he’ll get in due to the scattered nature of the Oscar race this year, but he has not been forgiven and will not have a chance of winning despite his film having the kind of technical acumen Oscar voters want out of their directing nominees. He has an Oscar and voters will not feel he is owed another when there are other respectable nominees.
ReplyCopy URLGibson’s in contention, no question, and I fully expect him to get a DGA nomination, but there are many who dislike his sensibilities as a filmmaker, not just as a person. I wonder how many in the choosy Academy directors branch feel this way; Braveheart was a long time ago.
Outside of the Chazelle-Jenkins-Lonergan trio, Scorsese cannot be dismissed unless Silence starts drastically underperforming at the guilds (and even then he can’t be entirely discounted), and I suspect there might be some Lenny Abrahamson/Benh Zeitlin type nomination that most people won’t expect; David Mackenzie for Hell or High Water comes to mind. So yes, Gibson can be snubbed, and it would be sort of typical of the directors branch to do so.
ReplyCopy URLI’m skeptical, even if Hacksaw Ridge garners nods in Picture, Lead Actor and several tech categories. I’d keep an eye on Gibson at the Globes, though, for the win…
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ReplyCopy URLAnonymous
He should be and WILL be forgiven, and I think he could even win at the Globes, although am far too cowardly to predict it yet. It would be Hacksaw Ridge’s only win there.
At the Oscars, Jenkins/Gibson/Chazelle are the only locks. Lonergan’s messy, at times tone-deaf Manchester work could easily get snubbed, and I think people are underestimating the art-house tastes of the small directors branch could lead to a surprise nod for Pablo Larrian (Jackie), even if his bizarrely visionary biopic fails to get a corrosponding Best Picture nod. I also think David Mackenzie ought to be considering a lock for a Directing nomination, IF he gets in at the DGA awards. Lord knows Lionsgate is on the warpath, mailing those “Hell or High Water” screeners like crazy. They really want this one, seeing the overwhelming passion people seem to have for it. 😉
ReplyCopy URLI don’t think it’s a matter of ethics here. Chazelle, Jenkins, and Lonergan are locks.
The consensus choice greatest living American filmmaker has just made his passion project – an arty, ambitious period epic. Scorsese’s in, guys.
I agree that Lorrain is likeliest to show up in that fifth slot here. While Fences is stronger than Hacksaw in the picture race, Gibson probably has a better shot than Washington for a nom, but as others say there’s also Mackenzie to consider. At this point it’s really more a matter of level of support for Jackie among artier contingents and who shows up at DGA, not personal feelings toward Gibson.
ReplyCopy URLI feel like this has been discussed exhaustively for half a year now. A non-story.
Yeah. It’s December, the film is a hit (the public court of opinion), good reviews (critics) and it has hit everywhere that other “safe” films have hit.
It is an academy film, made by an Academy award winner, about their favourite topic: Biopics on heroism.
So yes. Hacksaw Ridge is happening. Has been happening when it came out way back in October
ReplyCopy URLThey let in way too many indie directors in the club last year that I have a hard time seeing them going for a movie like this(even if it wasn’t directed by Crazy Mel)
Though unlike most war movies , the main character is kind of a sensitive outcast that might make it easier for them to identify themselves with.
He is my 8th prediction for that category atm.
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