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Will the BAFTAs Big 8 match the Academy's Big 8?

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    GMonty777
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    #1202496759

    Pretty much everybody agrees that Del Toro, Oldman, McDormand, Rockwell, Janney, and Ivory will win on Oscar night.

    That’s 6/8 already sealed. They all did a clean sweep at the Critics Choice, Globe, SAG, and BAFTA awards.

    I have yet to see an Oscar season where the Big 8 Oscars winners matched the Big 8 BAFTA winners.

    2011 was the Oscar season with the closest match with 6/8.

    Do you think there will be a perfect match here?

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    Miles
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    #1202497027

    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

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    Eden
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    Funny how we thought we had an unpredictable Oscar race and yet, the same performers are winning over and over everywhere.

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    GMonty777
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    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

    The Big Short and La La Land won the PGA with the preferential ballot and still lost Best Picture.

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    Miles
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    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

    The Big Short and La La Land won the PGA with the preferential ballot and still lost Best Picture.

    Yes, I’m not trying to make a case for The Shape of Water. I’m just saying that Three Billboards’s biggest obstacles are its PGA loss and Director snub. I think it can overcome it, but still, it’s worth considering. Picture isn’t locked up like the other races.

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    tomcain68
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    I would love to see pretty much anything win best pic over “Three Billboards”. It’s far and away the most overrated picture of the year.

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    Dana S.
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    #1202497666

    Funny how we thought we had an unpredictable Oscar race and yet, the same performers are winning over and over everywhere.

    But  there is a mystery about Best Picture still. Not to mention people here said that if all 4 acting categories win Oscar it’ll be the first time such sweep happens.

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    Eden
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    #1202498089

    If someone from the 4 acting winners so far loses at the Oscars, isn’t it more likely to be Rockwell rather than  Janney? He’s at the center of the Three Billboards controversy and has a co-star in the same category.

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    AlexVieira
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    This will be another boring and predictable Oscar. It’s sad. I’d love to see some unexpected stuff. Like Paul Thomas Anderson winning Best Director, or something like Blade Runner 2049 winning its 5 Oscars. It’s sad. ‘Cause it won’t happen.

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    #1202498191

    Picture and Original Screenplay are the only categories that might deviate from the odds. Three Billboards has yet to be able to prevail with a preferential ballot PGA, so that’s its biggest challenge for Picture and it wasn’t eligible at WGA so we don’t know if Get Out would have still prevailed there but I’m guessing Three Billboards would’ve.

    The Big Short and La La Land won the PGA with the preferential ballot and still lost Best Picture.

    To films nominated for directing.

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