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Will They/Won’t They Return as Nominees?

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4 years ago
  • Atypical
    Dec 1st, 2011

    Let’s play a game of who will return from this new crop of Oscars acting nominees and who won’t/will struggle for future nominations. This is just for fun, and we know already that anyone can return for anything with the right vehicle, support, and timing, barring some high crime or death.

    Here’s the list:

    Steve Carell
    Bradley Cooper
    Benedict Cumberbatch
    Michael Keaton
    Eddie Redmayne

    Marion Cotillard
    Felicity Jones
    Julianne Moore
    Rosamund Pike
    Reese Witherspoon

    Robert Duvall
    Ethan Hawke
    Edward Norton
    Mark Ruffalo
    J.K. Simmons

    Patricia Arquette
    Laura Dern
    Keira Knightley
    Emma Stone
    Meryl Streep

    Offer details/explanations/how many future nominations/will never be nominated again! if you like, or simple Yes/No responses.

    Add in directors as well if you like:

    Wes Anderson
    Alejandro González Iñárritu

    Richard Linklater
    Bennett Miller
    Morten Tyldum


    Sep 20th, 2012

    Steve Carell – possibly. But will have to rely on another dark, dramatic role that outshines his performance in Foxcatcher.
    Bradley Cooper – definitely. I think he is another nomination or two away from winning.
    Benedict Cumberbatch – yes. Maybe when he isn’t playing a genius, in a more contemporary film, he could get in.
    Michael Keaton – not sure. I think Birdman could be his only shot at seriously winning.
    Eddie Redmayne – definitely. A future Oscar winner, even if he misses out this year.

    Marion Cotillard – yes. it took her a bit longer than most were hoping for her to get a second nod, it may not take so long next time.
    Felicity Jones – yes, maybe a more succesful Keira Knightley, because she can do contemporary, and not just period films. 
    Julianne Moore – definitely. A possible double Oscar winner within the next chapter of her career.
    Rosamund Pike – with the right role, yes. But needs to be careful to not disappear after this name making turn.
    Reese Witherspoon – if she doesn’t screw up with crap roles, like she did after her win, then yes. But needs to be careful

    Robert Duvall – no. for time related reasons. 
    Ethan Hawke – Linklater’s next critically acclaimed film? If he’s in, then I think he could be back in.
    Edward Norton – yes, with another sickly comedic role.
    Mark Ruffalo – yes, but will have to be a Best Picture/Director nominee again. 
    J.K. Simmons – a very under appreciated Actor so far, but if he gets the right roles, he should be back.

    Patricia Arquette – I’m not sure if she will. It would need something special.
    Laura Dern – possibly. She needs to move away from the ‘mother’ role to do it. 
    Keira Knightley – yes. But will be interesting to see with which film, whether it’s period or contemporary.
    Emma Stone – future winner.
    Meryl Streep – I think she has broken through this year after years of being under the radar. NAAAAATTTT. Yeah the only person guaranteed to get another nomination for WHATEVER she does. 

    Wes Anderson – No. I think Budapest will be his best/only chance at Oscar glory.
    Alejandro González Iñárritu – yes, maybe next year

    Richard Linklater – will have a tough time to match Boyhood. But could well do it.
    Bennett Miller – absolutely. He has great form now with the Academy. 
    Morten Tyldum – he will need another popular English language film, with large spread support, but a strong possibility

    ReplyCopy URL
    Oct 7th, 2011

    I am going to put a score out of ten considering how likely they are to return. 

    • Steve Carell. Yes, definitely – but I think it will be for a dramedy, or possibly even next year in Supporting for Freeheld. 7/10
    • Bradley CooperYes, without a doubt. He will probably win on his next nomination, but I’d expect that to be in no less than two or three years. 9/10 
    • Benedict CumberbatchOf course, hoping that he plays his cards right. It will probably be in the next ten years, for a performance like A Single Man. 8/10
    • Michael KeatonI’m not sure. He is choosing some great projects – Spotlight and the Ray Kroc biopic being two big examples. But I am not entirely sure if he will return. 5/10
    • Eddie Redmayne. I’d probably bet my life savings that he gets nominated several more times, and he could even win as early as next year for The Danish Girl. 10/10 
    • Marion CotillardObviously she will. 9/10
    • Felicity Jones.  Perhaps – but I am dubious. 3/10
    • Julianne Moore Duh. 11/10 
    • Rosamund Pike. I dunno – she feels like a one-nomination-wonder to me sadly. 5/10
    • Reese WitherspoonI think she will, but not for a while. 6/10 
    • Robert Duvall. I seriously doubt it, but he could with the right role get one final shot. 2/10
    • Ethan HawkeYes, definitely, and he is going to win as well. 9/10
    • Edward Norton. He’s going to go Daniel Day-Lewis on us and do a There Will Be Blood type of film and sweep. 9/10
    • Mark Ruffalo. I dunno – I don’t see him being a winner or someone with too many nominations, but maybe. 6/10
    • J.K. Simmons. I hope so, but he could end up like Chris Cooper, a character actor with one career win and nomination, but I really hope not. 7/10
    • Patricia ArquetteI think she might, but she might just sink back into small-time work and not Oscar-buzzed projects. 6/10
    • Laura Derndefinitely – but with the right role only. 8/10
    • Keira KnightleyWithout a doubt. She’s a future Best Actress winner. 9/10
    • Emma StoneYep, definitely. 9/10
    • Meryl Streep. No way in hell. 0/10 (just kidding obviously ) 
    ReplyCopy URL
    May 9th, 2013

    I’ll give a % chance of returning as well as reasoning.

    Steve Carell – 70% – He will need another dramatic role, not necessarily something as dark as Foxcatcher, but he won’t get nominated for laugh out loud comedy. He’s appearing this year in Freeheld with Julianne Moore and Ellen Page, so his second nomination could actually come quite soon.
    Bradley Cooper – 100% – He’s choosing interesting projects with great directors and is now producing his films as well. He will win in the near future, something I could never imagine saying three years ago.
    Benedict Cumberbatch – 85% – He’s enormously popular with critics and audiences and now awards as well. The only reason I don’t give him a 100% chance is because he tends to gravitate towards genre films, and many will atrribute this nomination to Weinstein campaigning even though it’s richly deserved.
    Michael Keaton – 65% – He’s got some interesting projects coming up, but he’s never going to have the narrative that he has this year ever again.
    Eddie Redmayne – 70% – He’s a terrific actor, but if he continues working with directors like Tom Hooper and giving performances as bad as this one, the Academy will stop biting.

    Marion Cotillard – 100% – Now that the Academy has shown that they are willing to nominate her again, they will continue to. Especially since she shows no sign of slowing down.
    Felicity Jones – 50% – I’m giving her a 50/50 chance because you really never know with these young British ingenues who earn their first nods for very British films. Some of them go the way of Kate Winslet, others go the way of Keira Knightley who took almost a decade to return, or Carey Mulligan, who, granted, still has time, but has been snubbed a few times already.
    Julianne Moore – 100% – Now that she’s back on Oscar radar and her popularity is rising again, we will see her back again soon, probably in the supporting category (possibly this year for Freeheld?).
    Rosamund Pike – 65% – Her performance really showed off her massive range, I can see her getting a lot of action movie roles rather than Oscar-caliber roles, but if/when she does get one I definitely see her coming back.
    Reese Witherspoon – 90% – Like Moore, she’s back on Oscar radar and like Cooper, she’s now producing her own films, so things are looking good for her. The only reason I’m not giving her 100% is because she may not be done making wrong turns yet.

    Robert Duvall – 10% – He probably barely got in this year, and he’s obviously not running around Hollywood making movies, especially movies of Oscar caliber, so it seems like this is almost certainly the last nomination he’ll receive.
    Ethan Hawke – 40% – Inconsistent actor is inconsistent. He also probably only got in this year due to the thin field. 
    Edward Norton – 60% – Another actor who is finally back on the radar and is producing his own films. He’s also directing and screenwriting now, so it’s entirely possible we’ll see him back in multiple categories. Giving him a low score because of his reputation, which seemed to hurt him through the 2000’s up until now.
    Mark Ruffalo – 55% – Another nominee who probably benefited from a thin field (his work is quite good, but very subtle and not a typical Oscar-nominated performance), he doesn’t necessarily gravitate towards Oscar-caliber films, but he seems to be well-liked enough to get nominated whenever he does.
    J.K. Simmons – 45% – Like Keaton, he’ll never have the narrative he has this year ever again. If he ever gets another role like this one again, he could very well go 2 for 2, but getting the role will be the hurdle. Perhaps he and Chazelle will become recurring collaborators, or Reitman will finally give him a role worthy of his talents.

    Patricia Arquette – 35% – She seems comfortable working in television, and generally doesn’t appear in films anymore, let alone Oscar-caliber films. It’s possible her exposure this year will change that, though.
    Laura Dern – 35% – She’s a damn good actress, but also probably barely got this nomination and probably isn’t most directors’ first choice for roles written for women in her age group (Blanchett, Winslet and Watts probably are). It could happen, but realistically chances are low.
    Keira Knightley – 85% – Oscar has been avoiding her for a while and this is another nomination that could be attributed to a Weinstein campaign, but the next time she’s decent in a British prestige pic she’s probably in.
    Emma Stone – 100% – She was already big, but she’s starting to get HUGE. This is the first of many nominations for her, and there are certainly wins coming.
    Meryl Streep – 100% – Not even gonna bother.

    Wes Anderson – 95% – Grand Budapest is his Fargo. Now that he’s in the club, I have a tough time seeing him not returning at least once before he’s done.
    Alejandro González Iñárritu – 100% – He’s already got a potentially major player coming this year, and as Michael Keaton said, there’s nobody who won’t show up for his next film.

    Richard Linklater – 20% – He’s only in this year because he managed to keep a film together for 12 years. He’s nothing special, and the Academy knows it.
    Bennett Miller – 85% – His lone director nomination indicates massive respect and admirers. He could probably go all the way and win as soon as he moves past the sports genre, which the Academy has nominated but hasn’t really rewarded since Rocky.
    Morten Tyldum – 50% – He seems to be more interested in bona fide thrillers (The Imitation Game really sticks out like a sore thumb in his filmography so far) but he’s a very talented director who I’m looking forward to seeing more from.

    ReplyCopy URL
    M: The Original
    Aug 5th, 2014

    1st nomination
    Arquette — Unlikely
    Simmons — Likely
    Stone — Likely
    Pike — Unlikely
    Jones — Likely
    Keaton — Unlikely
    Redmayne — Very Likely
    Cumberbatch — Very Likely
    Carell — Unlikely

    2nd nomination
    Dern — Unlikely
    Cotillard — Very Likely
    Witherspoon — Likely
    Knightley — Likely
    Ruffalo — Likely 
    Hawke — Unlikely 

    ReplyCopy URL
    Cordell Martin
    Jul 9th, 2014

    All them will come back with the exception of DuVall, Arquette, and possibly Keaton. 

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jan 15th, 2015

    Steve Carell- I really hope so. I think he’s shown that he can handle dramatic roles (Little Miss Sunshine, Dan in Real Life). He could end up having a career similar to Robin Williams.
    Bradley Cooper- For sure. The Academy loves him obviously, so even if he doesn’t win this year, he will soon. 
    Benedict Cumberbatch-Absolutely. The projects he chooses are Oscar darlings. 
    Michael Keaton – Perhaps. It depends if he wins or not this year. If he doesn’t, I could see him getting nominated again.
    Eddie Redmayne- Without a doubt. 

    Marion Cotillard- Maybe. The Academy loves her, but she’s already won once before. 
    Felicity Jones- I didnt think her performance in the Theory of Everything was as strong as Redmayne’s, but she has a lot of good films lined up, including Inferno (which was written by the same author of the Da Vinci Code.)
    Julianne Moore- Yes. Even if she wins this year, she’ll be nominated again. Again, Academy darling.
    Rosamund Pike- Eh, not sure. I think she gave a strong performance in Gone Girl, it reminded me of Glenn Close in Fatal Attraction. However, it could just be a one time nomination
    Reese Witherspoon- I dont think so. Then again, I never thought she would actually win for Walk The Line (Joaquin did a much better job than her.) 

    Robert Duvall- He’s older and he’s already won (and been nominated several times)
    Ethan Hawke- Yes. He’ll have a win eventually
    Edward Norton- He should have won for American History X. But he will eventually win as well. 
    Mark Ruffalo- Yes. 
    J.K. Simmons- He is a lock for winning this year, so I think the Academy will see this as giving him his due and not nominate him again.

    Patricia Arquette- I dont think so. This was a one time Oscar worthy performance. She’s going to win this year, so its probably okay with her.
    Laura Dern- Yes.
    Keira Knightley- Yes. She likes to pick period films that the Academy loves. (Plus she should have already won for Pride and Prejudice.)
    Emma Stone- Yes. She’s going to have Woody Allen’s help to get her her Oscar.
    Meryl Streep- Of course. The Academy just plays fill in the blank with whatever movie she does that year. 

    ReplyCopy URL
    Nov 4th, 2010

    This is always fun to predict:

    Steve Carell — 1 more nomination
    Bradley Cooper — 1 more nomination with a win
    Benedict Cumberbatch — 2 more nominations with a win
    Michael Keaton — 1 more nomination
    Eddie Redmayne — 2 more nominations

    Marion Cotillard — 2 more nominations (for Macbeth and another French film)
    Felicity Jones — no
    Julianne Moore — no (Shirley MacLaine and Susan Sarandon are still waiting for their 6th nominations)
    Rosamund Pike — no
    Reese Witherspoon — 1 more nomination (for Alexander Payne’s Downsizing)

    Robert Duvall — no
    Ethan Hawke — no
    Edward Norton — 1 more nomination with a win
    Mark Ruffalo — 2 more nominations
    J.K. Simmons — no

    Patricia Arquette — no
    Laura Dern — no
    Keira Knightley — 1 more nomination
    Emma Stone — 1 more nomination
    Meryl Streep — 7 more nominations with 2 wins

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jan 1st, 1970

    I don’t think that Arquette, Simmons, Keaton, Jones and especially Carell will return. Pike is also vulnerable.

    Stone and Knightley are future winners in my opinion as well. Probably Redmayne too.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jan 2nd, 2015

    Based on the very promising projects and momentum (*= greater the chances) ***Cooper, ***Streep (duh! she’ll get in for simple moaning and groaning for 2 hours lol), **Moore, *Witherspoon (be it as an actress or something else), *Marion, *Jones. Far as the rest… Keaten, Simmons, Arqutte (who feels very Melissa Leo/ pretty 4gettable and non impactful after her win)..dunno :/. (esp Pike unfortunately who reeks from being a one/typecast wonder). 

    ReplyCopy URL
    Jan 2nd, 2015

    This is always fun to predict:

    Steve Carell — 1 more nomination
    Bradley Cooper — 1 more nomination with a win
    Benedict Cumberbatch — 2 more nominations with a win
    Michael Keaton — no
    Eddie Redmayne — 2 more nominations

    Marion Cotillard — 2 more nominations (for Macbeth and another French film)
    Felicity Jones — no
    Julianne Moore — no (Shirley MacLaine and Susan Sarandon are still waiting for their 6th nominations)
    Rosamund Pike — no
    Reese Witherspoon — 1 more nomination (for Alexander Payne’s Downsizing)

    Robert Duvall — no
    Ethan Hawke — no
    Edward Norton — 1 more nomination with a win
    Mark Ruffalo — 2 more nominations
    J.K. Simmons — no

    Patricia Arquette — no
    Laura Dern — no
    Keira Knightley — 1 more nomination
    Emma Stone — 1 more nomination
    Meryl Streep — 7 more nominations with 2 wins

    Very possibly wrong! She has an upcoming lesbian project that reeks from Oscar bait lol. If it’s in/around as good as Kids Are Alright ain’t no way w/ the mega belated love Moore is getting now she’ll be overlooked! 

    ReplyCopy URL
    Oct 10th, 2011

    Bradley Cooper will for sure be back and probably win sometime, maybe soon even.

    I think Reese Witherspoon is done, for some reason I don’t see her coming back.

    Not sure about Marion Cotillard either- she’s a great actress but even this year it seems it only happened because they really didn’t want to nominate Jennifer Aniston and she was one of just two other options to choose from

    Keira Knightley will be back and win I bet. The thing people forget about her is that she’s still only 29, so she actually has plenty of time and she’s already done so many movies. I think she’s going to be a Best Actress winner and it could happen the next time she’s nominated (many actresses around this age win, esp if it’s their second or third nomination). All she needs is the right movie.

    Emma Stone- I guess probably, but I’m not as confident as other people are on her yet. She seems better with comedy to me, but then so did Sandra Bullock for a long time, so you never really know. Also, I disagree with people about how “big” she is- is she really a household name yet? From what, the Spider-Man movies?

    Benedict Cumberbatch- yeah I think for sure. Also a future winner.

    Meryl Streep- yes, but I’m rolling my eyes now, because she’s at the place where people just lazily check off her name for everything she does, and it’s starting to be something of a joke, imo. There are other worthy people who don’t have 500 nominations already

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    Jul 3rd, 2011

    I’ll give a % chance of returning as well as reasoning.
    Eddie Redmayne – 70% – He’s a terrific actor, but if he continues working with directors like Tom Hooper and giving performances as bad as this one, the Academy will stop biting.

    Richard Linklater – 20% – He’s only in this year because he managed to keep a film together for 12 years. He’s nothing special, and the Academy knows it.

    Since I agree with you on pretty much everything else, otherwise, the only things I have to add are:

    1) While I’m not a Hooper fan, his actors DO tend to do well with Oscar noms/wins, and the Academy seemed to bite on Redmayne pretty excitedly with this performance already.
    2) I’m not sure I get what you mean about Linklater, and am concerned maybe your dislike of Boyhood is clouding the objectivity there. He’s already been nominated by the writers twice for Before Sunset and Before Midnight, so clearly there’s the chance he’ll get in again for Writing/Directing, at least if he does another installment in the next 8 years or so.  

    ReplyCopy URL
    May 24th, 2011

    Steve Carell— Maybe, but I lean towards no. 
    Bradley Cooper— Yes, most probably
    Benedict Cumberbatch—- Maybe, I lean towards yes. 
    Michael Keaton — No, I think he’s one and done. 
    Eddie Redmayne— Yes, very likely yes. 

    Marion Cotillard— Yes, I’d say
    Felicity Jones— Yes
    Julianne Moore— God Yes… 
    Rosamund Pike— No. Probably not. 
    Reese Witherspoon— Yes. 

    Robert Duvall— Yes
    Ethan Hawke— I lean towards yes, but this could go either way. 
    Edward Norton—- Yes
    Mark Ruffalo— Yes
    J.K. Simmons— Maybe if this role leads to further roles, but I think he’s likely to return to TV after this, 

    Patricia Arquette— No, unlikely 
    Laura Dern— Maybe, but lean towards no. 
    Keira Knightley— yes
    Emma Stone— yes, she has many more in her future 
    Meryl Streep— Of course, she’ll keep being nominated until the day she days! 

    ReplyCopy URL
    Dec 1st, 2011


    Steve Carell: Maybe (I like the idea mentioned above of Carell having a Robin Williams-type career; his strengths lie in comedy, so I’d
    hope he at least gets nominated at some future date for a dramedic role, like
    maybe in a David O. Russell film or something similar to that)

    Bradley Cooper: Yes (the Academy loves him; three consecutive acting nominations is very impressive;
    I think he wins within the next five years barring any major catastrophes and
    poor film choices/roles)

    Benedict Cumberbatch: Yes (expect more future nominations
    now that he’s joined the club; I see him winning more Emmys before winning an
    Oscar outright unless he’s in an absolute juggernaut film and performance)

    Michael Keaton: No (I think “Birdman” is going to be his
    big Oscar trajectory moment; not for a lack of trying or doing quality work in
    the future, but everyone can’t return as nominees, and the narrative will never
    be as strong for him as it is right now)

    Eddie Redmayne: Yes (he might have to wait longer than
    most b/c of his young age, but he’s a class act and great talent that can at
    least be nodded a few more times and maybe win in supporting actor where age is
    less of a detrimental factor than in lead actor)


    Marion Cotillard: Yes (Queen Marion finally received that
    long overdue second Oscar nomination that she should have received years ago; I
    think her win for “La Vie En Rose” is one of the best of the aughts and in the
    running for all-time greats lists; I’m happiest for her this Oscar season!)

    Felicity Jones: No (she shouldn’t have been nominated in
    the first place; I see her as a one-and-done nominee coasting on the strength
    of an inexplicably liked BP frontrunner; there is no need for Jones when the
    Academy already has a better version of her with Carey Mulligan to nominate

    Julianne Moore: Yes (even though it took a long time for Moore
    to nab a return nomination, I think she can get a few more nods post-win, most
    likely in supporting actress; second win isn’t out of the question late-career

    Rosemond Pike: Maybe (roles like “Amazing Amy” come
    around once in a lifetime for an actress, so I’m really banking on Pike using
    this career momentum and much-deserved nomination for all it’s worth to seek
    out more quality roles and possibly make a return appearance or two to the
    nominees’ fold)

    Reese Witherspoon: Yes (finally a nomination after her “Walk
    the Line” win seems like a good sign that Reese is trying to actually act in
    noteworthy roles again; I see more nods for her in the future as a producer
    than actress though)


    Robert Duvall: No (this feels like his farewell
    nomination mainly b/c of his advanced age; I would have nodded him for “Get Low”
    a few years back, but this one, hmmm . . .)

    Ethan Hawke: No (I’m not feeling it for him, and that’s
    not a knock to Hawke or his fine talent; I don’t see him as Academy-loved like
    others do— otherwise, he would have been nodded at some point for the “Before”
    series in acting; he’s a coattails-type nominee for the most part with both of
    his acting nods)

    Edward Norton: Yes (at least another nomination or two;
    hopefully his bad attitude rep won’t keep him from the winners circle for such
    a long stretch of time)

    Mark Ruffalo: Yes (maybe one more Oscar nomination in
    supporting actor; I doubt he ever wins out; he’s more likely to win an Emmy—he
    was really good in HBO’s “The Normal Heart” for example and would have probably
    won Lead Actor in a Miniseries or Made for Television Film in a less
    competitive field)

    J.K. Simmons: No (he feels like the Chris Cooper type who
    wins on his first nomination and never makes it back in again; that won’t
    change the monumental performance he gave in “Whiplash” and the sea of work he’s
    bound to get from this career boost as a veteran character actor)


    Patricia Arquette: No (this Oscar run is it for her, so
    she better savor it for all it’s worth in the meantime; she’ll have more
    continued success in television for many years to come, I’m sure, with “Academy
    Award Winner” title in front of her name now and always for needed street cred)

    Laura Dern: Maybe (it was a long stretch between her
    first nomination and this one, and some say that she’s just riding Reese
    Witherspoon’s coattails in a slight role; I’m almost leaning toward a “No” here,
    but she has great chops and comes from acting royalty)

    Keira Knightley: Maybe (I’m not as confident about her
    returning as most—she gets snubbed a lot more than I think people realize—I’d
    love to be wrong on this one, as I’ve watched “Pride & Prejudice” and “Atonement”
    many times over the years and hopes she reaches those heights again)

    Emma Stone: Yes (she’s winning an Oscar before she’s 35;
    it’s just a matter of timing, performance, and this first nomination hurdle—a baity
    supporting role in a good Woody Allen film,
    for example, might be all it takes for her)

    Meryl Streep: Yes (no need to explain why this is a yes lol;
    I marvel at Meryl’s career in general in terms of the critical and commercial acclaim
    she continues to receive at her age; she could seriously reach 25+ nominations
    and 5 Oscar wins before her career is over; that feat is staggering and likely won’t be matched in any of our lifetimes, regardless
    of the griping over individual merits of her nods or rote voter worship)


    Wes Anderson: Yes (he’s finally in the club now! More
    nominations are on the way in the future for his singular vision and works;
    this breakthrough nomination tells me how close he likely was for “Moonrise
    Kingdom” a few years ago; impressive groundwork leading up to this career

    Alejandro González Iñárritu: Yes (I think he will receive
    more nominations until he wins; this nomination shows his comedic versatility
    and range past the miserabilism fare that he’s well known for)

    Richard Linklater: No (the “No” is mainly skepticism over
    him getting another Directing nomination; “Boyhood” is a lightning-in-a-bottle
    deal, and once that’s over with, Academy voters will go back to being
    indifferent over his directing style and works in general; I think he could get
    some screenplay nominations in the future, perhaps)

    Bennett Miller: Maybe (I might need to rethink this and
    switch to “Yes” considering his eye-catching lone director nod yesterday for “Foxcatcher”;
    but where was that directing nomination for “Moneyball”? His two nominations so
    far have been all bait-driven—I’ll call him a favorite when he gets in
    something more populist and less Academy-friendly in this category based on
    name recognition)

    Morten Tyldum: No (this nod seems mostly a combination of
    Harvey’s campaign machinations + BP frontrunner heat; I don’t see him getting
    this close to an Oscar nomination in directing ever again)

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