Will Three Billboards be this year's Argo?

[ETPhoneHome]

#1202475699

With the surprise directing snub, the question now needs to be asked. Discuss.

• This topic was modified 3 years, 1 month ago by ETPhoneHome.

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[Zooey the Dreamer Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 10 Posts: 1320 View Predictions]

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No. Because McDonagh is not Ben Affleck. And unlike Argo, 3B won’t sweep SAG, PGA, DGA, WGA. It already won SAG, but lost PGA and is not eligible for WGA.

And unlike Argo, 3B has soooo many detractors.
3B will win Actress (and probably Supporting Actor). And that’s it.

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 102 Posts: 12646 View Predictions]

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[Icky Joined: Jun 28th, 2012 Topics: 24 Posts: 4894 View Predictions]

#1202475795

TSOW is an easy alternative and front-runner. There was no real clear and strong alternative for Argo. And Affleck was pushed out due to competition. Martin was likely pushed out (similar to Bigelow for ZDT) due to controversy surrounding the film.

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[Marcus Snowden]

#1202475796

Yeah, no. Three Billboards is much too divisive for that to happen. Also, there are three alternatives in the BP race this year: TSOW, Get Out and Lady Bird, while Lincoln was really Argo’s only true competition.

• This reply was modified 3 years, 1 month ago by Marcus Snowden.
• This reply was modified 3 years, 1 month ago by Marcus Snowden.

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17574 View Predictions]

#1202475803

^ These guys said it all.

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[Sagand Joined: Jan 13th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 465 View Predictions]

#1202475850

I think it could be. I don’t have the same reading on how the preferential ballot works as the rest of you. I think LLL lost due to who was voting not how they were voting.

The director’s branch was under lots of political pressure to nominate Gerwig and Peele. With actor support and the stronger script Three Billboards isn’t out of it yet.

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[ETPhoneHome Joined: Jan 3rd, 2013 Topics: 41 Posts: 3066 View Predictions]

#1202475859

I think that it clearly has a lot of support from a number of branches still. I think it’s fair to say we still have a race, though I will agree that the DGA is unlikely to steer away from Del Toro like they did with Ben Affleck.

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 102 Posts: 12646 View Predictions]

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 7 Posts: 530 View Predictions]

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[Spark87 Joined: Apr 26th, 2013 Topics: 1 Posts: 357 View Predictions]

#1202475872

Yes and no. I’m still predicting “Three Billboards” as the winner with Best Picture, Best Actress, Best Sup. Actor, Best Original Screenplay and maybe Best Editing. Still I’m predicting “The Shape of Water” to end with more Oscars that night (Best Director, Best Cinematography, Best Soundtrack, Best Production Design, Best Sound Editing & Mixing and maybe Editing)

Not quite the same but almost “Three Billboards” will be this year “Moonlight” while “The Shape of Water” will be this year “La La Land”.

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[Sagand Joined: Jan 13th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 465 View Predictions]

#1202475878

wrote:

I’m pretty sure there are a ton of people who would argue The Big Sick has a stronger script than Three Billboards, let alone Lady Bird and Get Out, but whatever.

I was clearly comparing the screenplays of SoW and Three Billboards the two films still in the running for Best Picture. You can tell this by my use of the comparative adjective rather than the superlative.

I’m so confused with your response to this thread it sound like you don’t think Three Billboards is winning. You must believe Three Billboards is still winning right? It’s locked? You’ve said so so many times. You wouldn’t have misused the word locked? Would you?

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[Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1) Joined: Nov 18th, 2012 Topics: 169 Posts: 6341 View Predictions]

#1202475887

Sagand wrote:

Teridax wrote:

I’m pretty sure there are a ton of people who would argue The Big Sick has a stronger script than Three Billboards, let alone Lady Bird and Get Out, but whatever.

I was clearly comparing SoW and Three Billboards the two films still in the running for Best Picture.

I’m so confused with your response to this thread it sound like you don’t think Three Billboards is winning. You must believe Three Billboards is still winning right? It’s locked? You’ve said so so many times. You wouldn’t have misused the word locked? Would you?

I know you were talking to Teridax, but I will probably keep Three Billboards in my #2 for at least until the BAFTAs. If it doesn’t have a great night there, I don’t see it winning BP.

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[Rowan Joined: Mar 29th, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 367 View Predictions]

#1202475890

Sagand wrote:

Teridax wrote:

I’m pretty sure there are a ton of people who would argue The Big Sick has a stronger script than Three Billboards, let alone Lady Bird and Get Out, but whatever.

I was clearly comparing SoW and Three Billboards the two films still in the running for Best Picture.

I’m so confused with your response to this thread it sound like you don’t think Three Billboards is winning. You must believe Three Billboards is still winning right? It’s locked? You’ve said so so many times. You wouldn’t have misused the word locked? Would you?

Someone LOUDLY asserting what they believe as ABSOLUTE FACT until it looks like they might be wrong, then quietly changing the narrative to pretend they were never wrong at at? On THIS forum? Get outta here.

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17574 View Predictions]

#1202475906

Three Billboards having a stronger script than The Shape of Water is an opinion and we all understand that.  It is widely accepted enough that stating it like a fact should not be controversial, like saying that Crash robbed Brokeback Mountain or even that Sam Rockwell was the stronger supporting actor in Three Billboards.

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