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Your best and worst EARLY Oscar predictions

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  • 24Emmy
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    #210118

    Best:
    Sylvester Stallone (back in the summer)

    Worst:
    Ian McKellen and Carey Mulligan (early predictions that fell out once the fall came)

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    DominicCobb
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    #210119

    There were things I predicted right early that everyone predicted right.
     
    Unlike some I never once bought Black Mass as a contender for anything. Ironically, it wasn’t until the day before nominations that I added it to my predictions (for Make Up).

    Worst has to be Joy. It made so much sense on paper. I was so certain it would win. I still think it would have (if the movie was good, of course).

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    ankehuber
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    #210120


    BEST :
    Andrew Whitehurst best visual effects for EX MACHINA

    WORST :
    Alicia Vikander best supporting actress for EX MACHINA
    Alicia Vikander Best leading actress for THE DANISH GIRL

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    FilmGuy619
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    #210121

    I had a small glimmer of hope Lenny Abrahamson would get in and almost predicted him. But I didn’t. Nevertheless I was happy to be proven wrong.

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    benutty
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    #210122

    under what rationale do you guys consider NOT including someone in your predictions a prediction? Not predicting something for a nomination is kind of almost definitely literally not a prediction.

    Otherwise by that metric, I was really good at predicting that Dope, Far from the Madding Crowd, Ricki and the Flash and The Scorch Trials wouldn’t be Best Picture nominees.

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    benutty
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    #210123

    Why don’t I go ahead and just answer for everybody.

    The best early prediction possible: Mad Max: Fury Road 
    The worst early prediction possible: Joy 

    Every other early prediction is pretty standard.

    BLOOP! 

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    AwardsConnect
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    #210124

    I was so convinced former husband and wife Bruce Dern (“The Hateful Eight”) and Diane Ladd (“Joy”) would get in.

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    JackO
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    #210125

    Best from September
    Mad Max in BP
    Anomalisa
    Tom Hardy
    3/5 in Actor and Supporting Actress

    Worst in September
    My top 3 films(Carol, Joy, Steve Jobs) snubbed in picture and director
    Seth Rogen
    Diane Ladd
    Ellen Page
    Our Brand is Crisis in screenplay

    Best before nomination day;
    Ridley Scott snub
    Never buying into Ex Machina and Sicario
    Tarantino snub
    Good Dinosaur snub
    Winter on Fire
    Boy and the world

    Worst:
    Jacob Tremblay
    Helen Mirren
    Steve Carrell
    Brooklyn costumes
    Cinderella production design

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    thatfilmgirl
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    #210126

    Best:
    I’ve been predicting Leo would win since last years Oscars (I told my sister so while watching the ceremony). Have not for a second changed my prediction. Just hoping this will come true now!

    Worst: 
    I left Bridge of Spies off my predictions list almost the whole time. I really didn’t buy the hype and I ate my words.  

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    TerenceFletcher
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    #210127

    under what rationale do you guys consider NOT including someone in your predictions a prediction? Not predicting something for a nomination is kind of almost definitely literally not a prediction.

    Otherwise by that metric, I was really good at predicting that Dope, Far from the Madding Crowd, Ricki and the Flash and The Scorch Trials wouldn’t be Best Picture nominees.

    Dope should have been a Best Picture nominee, but I digress. 

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    ColinWesley
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    #210128

    I stayed clear of Joy and The Hateful 8 as contenders. I also kept Rachel McAdams in since very early in Spotlight’s lead.

    I also declared Carey Mulligan and Beasts of No Nation front runners at one point. 

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    Hunter Logan
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    #210129

    under what rationale do you guys consider NOT including someone in your predictions a prediction? Not predicting something for a nomination is kind of almost definitely literally not a prediction.

    I guess the rationale is that everybody else was predicting something, but we didn’t buy it, so we didn’t predict it – so, when nominations were announced and it didn’t get in, we were right. I guess if you analyze it, it doesn’t make perfect sense, but if the inverse is viable (nobody saw so-and-so coming, I had him in since day one), then this logic has some weight behind it.  

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    sturnc
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    #210130

    Why don’t I go ahead and just answer for everybody.

    The best early prediction possible: Mad Max: Fury Road 
    The worst early prediction possible: Joy 

    Every other early prediction is pretty standard.

    BLOOP! 

    Those were the only two of my early predictions that I could think of as I was going through this topic, so it’s just perfect that you pointed them out in one post

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    Moviebuff22
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    #210131

    After seeing Southpaw I thought Jake Gyllenhaal and Forest Whittaker would both get a ton of Oscar buzz. Instead Creed came out and the Sylvestor Stallone train left the station

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    Jack Windter
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    #210132

    Despite not being a member, but an observer of the Gold Derby community, I, myself, had some predictions in my mind since June. I was sure that The Danish Girl and The Hateful Eight would not earn many nominations, and especially regarding Best Picture. I never even considered Michael Keaton to be a potential nominee for Spotlight, and I cringed when he was the winning choice for a while, here.
    I, however, thought that Rooney Mara would get nominated (and win) Best Actress for Carol, Jake Gyllenhaal would get nominated for Southpaw and that The Martian would only get nominated for Best Director, and Best Visual Effects. Lastly, while this is not that early of a prediction, I hopedicted a nomination for Oscar Isaac, whom I love, but who will never get the recognition he consistently deserves since his Inside Llewyn Davis days.

    P.S.: This is my first post here, and I am very excited! 😀 

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