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April 17, 2019 at 12:34 pm #1202856905
ASIB winning AOTY would be fine. There have been much worse choices this decade. Considering the lack of great albums in 2019, a successful soundtrack with a #1 single, good reviews, and noticeable sales would be a safe bet.
Beyoncé is NOT winning AOTY for a 40 track LIVE album of previously recorded hits from the past 20 years. She will be regulated to the R&B/Music Video Fields just like ‘Everything is Love’.April 17, 2019 at 1:37 pm #1202856973
Nothing about A Star is Born, the movie or the soundtrack, is a “masterpiece”. What a mess.April 17, 2019 at 1:58 pm #1202856984
Mark my word.
On April 26, the world will witness the TS7 lead single outsold all of the songs in the music charts such as iTunes, Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube, etc. This could be a frontrunner for ROTY/SOTY if it’s a bop and dominant. She could also be nominated for AOTY given that her next era is already bright.
This is not a spoiler.
This is not a prediction.
This will end Old Town Road and everything that made 2019 in music worse.
Please stop.April 17, 2019 at 2:33 pm #1202857012
“Guava Island” was borderline panned by the critics and kinda flopped despite being a high profile project. “Homecoming” definitely stans a better chance in Music Film, but I won’t be shocked if (when) a random documentary about a veteran beats it.April 17, 2019 at 2:43 pm #1202857023
ASIB is not a worthy AOTY winner. The entire soundtrack is trash minus the few Gaga tracks.April 17, 2019 at 2:56 pm #1202857031
Anyway…. The Homecoming film is getting raves and is absolutely more talked about than Guava Island the Repuation film, so, I think it’s in the lead. Of course, before some random veteran springs up from nowhere; Music Film is a huge possibility.April 17, 2019 at 3:50 pm #1202857073
Can Beyoncé get nominated for yoncé though? It hasn’t been available on iTunes until now but the music video has so since this is its first actual release does it have a chance if she makes it a single for some reason?April 17, 2019 at 3:57 pm #1202857078
Music film is very picky with non documentaries, so the muted response to Guava Island seems to have taken it out of the running. I have a hard time seeing Homecoming and Reputation being nominated together, big modern singers struggle in this category, and they’re both Netflix produced concert documentaries. I think it’s very likely one gets in, and I’d say it’s probably Homecoming given the Grammy love for Beyoncé’s last two solo projects, as well as their generally unenthusiastic response to reputation.April 17, 2019 at 4:22 pm #1202857097
lmao ASIB is no masterpiece and would be a horrible winner. also critics didn’t call it a masterpiece. it may gotten good reviews but masterpiece is reserved for something that gets a 95 on metacritic at minimum. having said that, hoemcoming would be an even worst winner. both are crap but at least one is original material. i’d honestly rather they jsut give it to that billy eyelish chick.April 17, 2019 at 5:54 pm #1202857201
Reputation and Homecoming are almost locks for music films one is about the highest grossing tour in US history and the other one is about the first black woman headlining Coachella. Both are good movies. The win depends on who sweeps in nomination and actually gets in or a music film about a veteran come our and knocks them both out.
As of right now I think the Grammys should focus on less mainstream music.
ASIB has a good shot at being nominated, not a lock. Why? Because it’s still a whole body of work, and shallow was one song. The other songs didn’t pull through like the others and the difference with the Black Panther soundtrack is that ASIB isn’t attached to a cultural moment, and the movie underperformed and unlike Black Panther, ASIB was probably made for Oscars, BP probably wasn’t.
TUN is the pop album of the bunch that probably will get nominated. It has the reviews it just needs longevity. She should push Thank You, Next in Song and Record of the year, want to admit or not 7 Rings isn’t material for Song nor Record even if it performed well in the charts.
Billie’s album is probably not getting in, I only see her in BNA and her genre probably alternative if they don’t push her in pop like Beck last year.
Coachella helps more Billie than Ariana since Ariana’s performance was kinda lame, she tried to pull a Beyonce and failed miserably.
Halsey probably will pull a nomination in Record or Song and her genre, pop too. The song has the longevity if it maintains can be a lock for Record.
Hozier, The Lumineers, The 1975, Maggie Roger’s and Co. Probably will be relegated to their genres with one or two of them being the Carlile the year and actually getting nominations. That’s if they get nominations.
Maren Morris isn’t Kacey Musgraves. I see her getting moms in country with a far away shot at AOTY but never a lock as of right now.
Solange can pull through in AOTYamd her genre since it’s acclaimed but that’s it.
Record of the year will probably will be like last year all hits so… not much to add.
None of the songs that are popular that have been coming during eligibility period are well written or are material for Song of the year, only Without Me seems the most “deserving” one. So I think this will be packed with less popular songs.
We have to wait for Swift to actually release the song to see of it’s actually gonna maintain the hype to be nominated unless her second single is the blank space of this album and should push that one. Her album is probably come out late July or late August so it so we need to see the probability of it being nominated. Panel probably blocked Swift last year to save themselves and not give her the third win. If the song pulls through and conserves the hype she could be the frontrunner and get the Record and Song trophies she’s overdue for.
Gaga will probably release after the eligibility period so she won’t block ASIB.
Watch out for the Game of Thrones soundtrack because the show massive and one of the most acclaimed.
Beyonce dropping an album right now seems like she is gonna push it for Grammy season. I wanna see how the year develop in terms of music so I can rule the album out of AOTY race but with 8 slots to fill seems likely that she gets in. I wish she releases something else before September so she can’t get blocked by Adele who is probably sweeping 2021.
Sam Smith seems likely only in pop duo. But he failed to get pop solo for a top 10 hit and isn’t 2015 popular.
Conclusion: weakest year, and if Swift pulls through probably the frontrunner in everything she gets nominated.April 17, 2019 at 6:02 pm #1202857229
Best Pop Solo:
- Thank U Next/7 Rings, Ariana Grande
- Without Me, Halsey
- Walk Me Home, P!nk
- Unreleased TS7 Single, Taylor Swift
- Always Remember Us This Way, Lady Gaga
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