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2020 Grammy Awards Predictions (Part 9)

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  • M
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    #1203012172

    Come again?

    Read it in the context of what I said. I said if its only competition is “Thank U Next” and “Bad Guy”, “Old Town Road” will win lol. The other two songs are too lightweight and forgettable.

    Right now I’m betting on “Someone You Loved” as I said many times before. But if Someone You Loved isn’t nominated, and all the songs nominated are the likes of lightweight pop songs (Sucker, Bad Guy, TUN etc..) then yes OTR will win.

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    Gašper Vezonik
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    #1203012180

    Old Town Road will win at least 1 Grammy. Mark my words!

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    JasonLannister
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    #1203012228

    Wasn’t talking about Song Of The Year in particularly.

    If you talk about lyrics then you’re talking about SOTY.

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    Boz
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    #1203012246

    Old Town Road is not winning against thank u next or bad guy. I agree that voters don’t seem to differentiate between Song and Record, but that’s usually because the songs that win Record are well written to begin with.

    I know some of y’all are still hurt that Shallow lost SOTY to This is America, but the truth is both songs are decently written given their genre (I also think there were better songs to pick aside from those two: Bood Up, The Joke, All the Stars, and In My Blood are far better lyrically). Voters have split Record and Song before, and as much as they might like Old Town Road, they’ll give it to Billie talking about seducing dads and Ariana talking about her exes before they give it to a song about horses and boobs. Let’s not get too ahead of ourselves here.

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    Boz
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    Gašper Vezonik
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    #1203012277

    Old Town Road is not winning against thank u next or bad guy. I agree that voters don’t seem to differentiate between Song and Record, but that’s usually because the songs that win Record are well written to begin with. I know some of y’all are still hurt that Shallow lost SOTY to This is America, but the truth is both songs are decently written given their genre (I also think there were better songs to pick aside from those two: Bood Up, The Joke, All the Stars, and In My Blood are far better lyrically). Voters have split Record and Song before, and as much as they might like Old Town Road, they’ll give it to Billie talking about seducing dads and Ariana talking about her exes before they give it to a song about horses and boobs. Let’s not get too ahead of ourselves here.

    You are so so exaggerating! 1 line in a song won’t have any effect on voters whatsoever. Old Town Road is a phenomenon, record-breaking mega-smash hit. It broke stereotypes and blended 2 genres and it will for sure get more votes than Thank U, Next which is already “old news”.

    Old Town Road mentions “boobies” once, Bad Guy mentions “seducing dads” once, it’s not a song about those things and the Grammy voters are not going to care if one lyric or one verse in a song is kinda inappropriate. That’s What I Like is literally a song about sex and girls and money while 24k Magic is about the luxurious life and money, they have no lyrical depth and Bruno won SOTY and ROTY.

    Last year This Is America won, a year before that 24k Magic and That’s What I Like. Old Town Road has a pretty big chance of winning if we look at the recent winners and if we add 20 weeks at #1 next to that, I don’t think we should underestimate it.

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    Boz
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    #1203012285

    You need to look at the bigger picture. Old Town Road is simply a novelty song – a huge one, for sure, but it’s a novelty song about horses. There’s literally nothing more to it than that. It’s about horses.

    At least This is America had the video and served as a soundtrack to a political stance and movement. And people still use “This is America” as a political stance, so it’s impact has lasted much like Formation by Beyoncé and Alright by Kendrick Lamar.

    They’d much rather vote for Billie – specially if there’s a Billie hype-traik this year – or Ariana and Post, who have easy, digestible pop hits.

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    M
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    #1203012299

    OTR has mass appeal. As simple as that. You may not like it, but it’s a fact. Its huge pure sales figures also show that it resonates with older audiences. So I wouldn’t underestimate it if the line up is weak. It won’t lose to “Bad Guy” or “Thank U Next”.

    It’s not about “horses”. It’s about exasperation and hopelessness. You tend to mischaracterize songs whenever it’s convenient to ridicule them, like you claimed “God’s Country” is about “farming” lol

     

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    Dylan George
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    #1203012305

    ROTY:
    Thank U, Next- Ariana Grande
    Bad Guy- Billie Eilish
    Without Me- Halsey
    Sucker- Jonas Brothers
    Old Town Road- Lil Nas X/Billy Ray Cyrus
    Truth Hurts- Lizzo
    Sunflower- Post Malone/Swae Lee
    Senorita- Shawn Mendes/Camila Cabello

    SOTY:
    Thank U, Next- Ariana Grande
    Bad Guy- Billie Eilish
    Without Me- Halsey
    Middle Child- J. Cole
    Sucker- Jonas Brothers
    Truth Hurts- Lizzo
    Dancing With A Stranger- Sam Smith/Normani
    Senorita- Shawn Mendes/Camila Cabello

    BNA: (do not hold me to this…BNA is so hard to predict & I’m not confident)
    Alec Benjamin
    Ava Max
    Bazzi
    Billie Eilish
    Bryce Vine
    Lewis Capaldi
    Lil Nas X
    Lizzo

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    PleaseFeedTheTroll
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    #1203012316

    Here’s what I got to say: IMO Thank U, Next is wining SOTY. I mean do voters really care how many weeks a song charted. I mean This is America charted and then dipped, yet Childish Gambino sweeped the award show with that song, including ROTY/SOTY. I really believe it’s a moment. Ariana definitely created a moment for herself. Again a prerequisite for winning ROTY or SOTY has to be a chart topper (#1-5), but it really doesn’t matter how long, it’s generally a moment in music history.

    ROTY: Old Town Road, Bad Guy, Thank U, Next/7rings (Hopefully Old Town Road)

    SOTY: Thank U, Next, Sunflower, Without Me, or This Land (Hopefully Thank U, Next

    This is America spent multiple weeks at number one, though. It was a really huge moment that reverberated throughout the globe that was featured upon various news segments, every one is aware of the song and the This Is America refrain has become engrained with the American vocabulary. You are right about the award usually going to songs that have big moments and heavy impact, but those weeks at number one are still necessary and are what made This Is America the undeniable winner. The winner of Record of the Year or Song of the Year has gone to a number one single the majority of the time within the previous few years. When a single that is not a number one number wins, that song usually has the most staying power among the nominees.

    Bad Guy is absolutely not winning, and whoever is pushing otherwise is an absolute imbecile. The single is not big enough commercially or culturally to justify a win, and that is with it still being extremely frivolous. The single is absolutely no Royals. Thank You, Next will be the winner before they even consider giving any of those to Bad Guy.

    The only song that fits as a the winner is Old Town Road: has record breaking commercial success and happens to be a pretty enduring phenomenon. It also has the every genre’s support imaginable. Lizzo’s Truth Hurts has huge momentum, pretty much is assured to be number one at some point and has been receiving huge attention with her performances, so that has the potential to be a Song of the Year winner. Old Town Road has Record of the Year, though.

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    Boz
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    #1203012321

    It’s not about “horses”. It’s about exasperation and hopelessness. You tend to mischaracterize songs whenever it’s convenient to ridicule them, like you claimed “God’s Country” is about “farming” lol

    No, you’re reading too deep into it. It’s about horses, Lil Nas X’s whole brand is about horses, the first thing people think about Old Town Toad is horses. It’s not an allegory on the loneliness and exasperation of the independent artist in the current musical climate; it’s about a dude, and a horse, and how he enjoys the horse.

    As much as I defend Lil Nas X, I really doubt he was thinking about something else. Hell, he himself said that song needed to be catchy and lightweight. It’s about horses.

    God’s Country is about a farmer’s life – and that’s almost a direct statement from the songwriter’s. It gets heavy, but it isn’t political, nor is it as deep as some of y’all paint it out to be. It’s not This Land by Gary Clark Jr.

    Some of y’all think that just because a song uses real instruments the lyrics are automatically better. Truth Hurts and Suge are probably the best written songs in the top 20 right now despite being funny rap songs. A song is not better because of it’s topic or because of how many truck-references it gives. You are a songwriter yourself, so you should know.

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    Boz
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    #1203012333

    No particular order

    Record of the Year
    1. This Land – Gary Clark Jr.
    2. Suge – DaBaby
    3. bad guy – Billie Eilish
    4. thank u next – Ariana Grande
    5. Old Town Road – Lil Nas X feat. Billy Ray Cyrus
    6. Truth Hurts – Lizzo
    7. Sunflower – Post Malone & Swae Lee
    8. God’s Country – Blake Shelton

    Album of the Year
    1. This Land – Gary Clark Jr.
    2. WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP, WERE DO WE GO? – Billie Eilish
    3. A Star Is Born – Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper
    4. thank u, next – Ariana Grande
    5. There is No Other – Rhiannon Guiddens
    6. Free Spirit – Khalid
    7. Cuz I Love You – Lizzo
    8. Ventura – Anderson .Paak

    Song of the Year
    1. Someone You Loved – Lewis Capaldi
    2. This Land – Gary Clark Jr
    3. thank u, next – Ariana Grande
    4. Talk – Khalid
    5. Truth Hurts – Lizzo
    6. Sunflower – Post Malone & Swae Lee
    7. a lot – 21 Savage feat. J Cole
    8. God’s Country – Blake Shelton

    Best New Artist
    1. Alec Benjamin
    2. Billie Eilish
    3. Lewis Capaldi
    4. Lizzo
    5. Maggie Rogers
    6. Summer Walker
    7. Morgan Wallen
    8. Lil Nas X

    Edit: forgot about OTR lol.

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Boz.
    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Boz.
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    PleaseFeedTheTroll
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    #1203012337

    I agree that Old Town Road is an undeniable hit, but it’s not a SOTY winner. What substance is there? Honestly. It’s just a silly song. Although if it was up to me, he is the frontrunner for ROTY.

    I do not imagine Old Town Road winning Song of the Year, but That’s What I Like managed to win Song of the Year without having any substance.

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    DC95
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    #1203012343

    I can’t wait until the end of the year to see where this discussion goes if/when “Old Town Road” is snubbed in the top categories. It’s like everyone here is assuming it MUST be nominated because it’s the biggest hit of the year.

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    PleaseFeedTheTroll
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    #1203012345

    You need to look at the bigger picture. Old Town Road is simply a novelty song – a huge one, for sure, but it’s a novelty song about horses. There’s literally nothing more to it than that. It’s about horses.

    At least This is America had the video and served as a soundtrack to a political stance and movement. And people still use “This is America” as a political stance, so it’s impact has lasted much like Formation by Beyoncé and Alright by Kendrick Lamar.

    They’d much rather vote for Billie – specially if there’s a Billie hype-traik this year – or Ariana and Post, who have easy, digestible pop hits.

    What novelty song spends twenty weeks at number one and goes diamond? That Billie girl is probably not even winning Best New Artist if another of the nominees is Lizzo, so there is no way that she is winning Song of the Year for a frivolous single that peaked at number two. By the way, where is her other hit single? You speak about novelty artists, but Lil Nas X has an EP track that is sitting in the twenties without being a single while his single sits at number one. It fair to surmise that it is also going to be a big hit when he makes positions it as a single. That Billie girl has no other songs charting there or on streaming. Where are her possible follow up hits? Are you sure that she is not the novelty artist?

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