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2020 Grammy Predictions (Part 15)

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  • deshunfenty
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    Unfortunately, it’s looking like Senorita will be in RoTY.

    Sadly, only because it’s a weak year

    #howrudeofme

    supermodelslegs
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    Here’s my updated predictions:

    Album of the Year:

    Ariana Grande, “thank u, next”

    Billie Eilish, “WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP, WHERE DO WE GO?”

    Gary Clark Jr., “This Land”

    Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper, “A Star is Born Soundtrack”

    Lana Del Rey, “Norman Fucking Rockwell!”

    Lizzo, “Cuz I Love You”

    Tyler, the Creator, “IGOR”

    The 1975, “A Brief Inquiry Into Online Relationships”

    Record of the Year:

    Ariana Grande, “thank u, next”

    Billie Eilish, “bad guy”

    Gary Clark Jr., “This Land”

    Khalid, “Talk”

    Lil Nas X ft. Billy Ray Cyrus, “Old Town Road”

    Lizzo, “Truth Hurts”

    Post Malone and Swae Lee, “Sunflower”

    Tyler, the Creator, “EARFQUAKE”

    Song of the Year:

    Ariana Grande, “thank u, next”

    Gary Clark Jr., “This Land”

    Halsey, “Without Me”

    Lady Gaga, “Always Remember Us This Way”

    Lewis Capaldi, “Someone You Loved”

    Lizzo, “Truth Hurts”

    Lana Del Rey, “hope is a dangerous thing for a woman like me to have, but i have it”

    The 1975, “It’s Not Living (If It’s Not With You)”

    Best New Artist:

    Billie Eilish

    Lewis Capaldi

    Lil Nas X

    Lizzo

    Maggie Rogers

    Megan Thee Stallion

    Rosalia

    Tyler Childers

     

    Not quite who I think would win based on this lineup; I just know that who I want to win would be very different from who would win, so I’m not predicting anything like that yet.

    João Pedro Costa Calaça
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    I think there will be more black artists on General Field than this year!

    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    Taken from ATRL about Pop Solo

    • 83% of the nominees have top ten singles.
    • 75% of the nominees have been #1 singles.
    • 70% of all nominees have been woman.
    • 70% of all nominees have been top 5 singles.
    • 2015 is the only year where more men have been nominated than woman’
    • 2019 is the only year where a non-charting single (Beck & Gaga) were nominated’
    • 5 nominees have been live recordings (Adele, Pharrell, John Legend, Kelly Clarkson, Camila Cabello)

    • 2 winners have been live recordings (Adele & Pharrell)
    • 75% of winners have been non-American
    • 63% of winners have been English
    • 63% of the winners have been woman

    Using these stats, I think the final line-up would be

    Ariana Grande – Whatever she submits
    Billie Eilish – Bad Guy
    Lady Gaga – Always Remember Us This Way
    Lewis Capaldi – Someone You Loved
    Post Malone – wow.

    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    has……ergh I don’t even know his album

    Divinely Uninspired to a Hellish Extinct

    deshunfenty
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    Taken from ATRL about Pop Solo

    • 83% of the nominees have top ten singles.
    • 75% of the nominees have been #1 singles.
    • 70% of all nominees have been woman.
    • 70% of all nominees have been top 5 singles.
    • 2015 is the only year where more men have been nominated than woman’
    • 2019 is the only year where a non-charting single (Beck & Gaga) were nominated’
    • 5 nominees have been live recordings (Adele, Pharrell, John Legend, Kelly Clarkson, Camila Cabello)

    • 2 winners have been live recordings (Adele & Pharrell)
    • 75% of winners have been non-American
    • 63% of winners have been English
    • 63% of the winners have been woman

    Using these stats, I think the final line-up would be

    Ariana Grande – Whatever she submits
    Billie Eilish – Bad Guy
    Lady Gaga – Always Remember Us This Way
    Lewis Capaldi – Someone You Loved
    Post Malone – wow.

    I agree with this. If it came out to be like this … I think it’ll be between Gaga and Billie

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by  deshunfenty.
    • This reply was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by  deshunfenty.

    #howrudeofme

    Darren
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    Honey, “Senorita” is getting in ROTY just like you bitches predicted “Girls Like You” last year. NOT happening!

    Different situation. ROTY favors collaborations (which admittedly didn’t help “Girls Like You”, but Cardi B already had a contender in that category), it also as of late has favored Latin-inspired material, and unlike Maroon 5, Shawn Mendes has already been nominated in one of the main three categories.

    Darren
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    • 5 nominees have been live recordings (Adele, Pharrell, John Legend, Kelly Clarkson, Camila Cabello)

    Kelly Clarkson was not nominated with a live track. “Piece by Piece (Idol Version)” is a studio recording.

    Darren
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    An RCA executive told Billboard for a story about Grammy campaigns that Khalid is one of their top priorities this year. He’s having a really good year commercially, too. Don’t underestimate him.

    chem_x
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    That article was really interesting. I’m praying that their campaign for Sunflower ends in multiple wins.

    Boz
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    An RCA executive told Billboard for a story about Grammy campaigns that Khalid is one of their top priorities this year. He’s having a really good year commercially, too. Don’t underestimate him.

    Can you share the article??

    dan
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    Longest running #1 song on iTunes Worldwide 2019 (so far):

    #1. “Señorita” (85 days)

    #2. Shallow (84 days)

    #3. I Don’t Care (27 days)

    Darren
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    Can you share the article??

    https://www.billboard.com/articles/business/8530131/post-malone-cardi-b-grammy-campaign-secrets

    Most relevant parts:

    One manager says that standard Grammy campaigns run 18 months ahead of awards night. “A rookie manager will submit an artist too close to the deadline, when you didn’t have time to promote the record,” she adds. That’s why many artists who release music near the start of the fourth quarter take advantage of a small window of submission flexibility and put their projects up for the following year’s Grammys. (But not always: Kendrick Lamar submitted “i,” the buzzy lead single for To Pimp a Butterfly, just before voting began in September 2014, and the track still earned Lamar his first two awards four months later.)

    Deciding which categories offer the best chances is key. This year, London struggled with where to submit “Sunflower,” Post Malone’s hit team-up with Swae Lee; outside of record and song of the year, the track could fall under pop, rap or R&B. “We went back and forth with the label before submitting it, like, ‘Are you sure this is right?’” he says. (He declined to reveal their final decision.) Fleckenstein faces a similar challenge with pop/R&B star Khalid, who he says is one of RCA’s top Grammy priorities. “It doesn’t make sense to take a genre-specific song and go up against a big pop song,” says Fleckenstein of record of the year competition. “But if you know your audience, that can guide where you have the best shot of winning.” (Final decisions on category placement are made by an academy screening committee.)

    From there, attracting votes for nomination is all about timing. It’s ideal for a song to hit its peak during voting season in September and October — and the more concurrent hits, the better. “Do not take your foot off the gas,” says London. “You need to remind them, ‘Hey, remember me?’” Patientce Foster, who worked on Cardi B’s team during the run-up to the 61st annual awards, thinks the rapper’s memorable Jimmy Kimmel Live! appearance in October 2018, during which she cracked jokes about new motherhood, was crucial to winning rap album of the year for Invasion of Privacy. “A lot of that was calculated,” says Foster, who now owns PR firm The Cream Agency. For 2020, she thinks Cardi’s colorful social media presence will keep February’s retro Bruno Mars collaboration, “Please Me,” fresh on voters’ minds.

    abelfenty
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    Someone tell Cardi’s PR team that everyone’s forgotten about Please Me.

    Also it would be fraudulent for Sunflower to go anywhere but Pop.

    Pauly Antonio
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    Did the Billboard article make any else pay to continue reading?

    y'all ugly and smelly

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