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Honey, Lorde will probably release the best pop album of the year but still will get entirely shut out. The Grammys, especially in the pop field, are reserved for people who perform on the charts only (even though the NARAS claims otherwise).
FYC: 64th Annual GRAMMY AwardsBillie Eilish: Record Of The Year, Album Of The Year, Song Of The Year, Pop Vocal Album
Arlo Parks: Best Alternative Music Album
Jazmine Sullivan: Best R&B Album
Tyler, The Creator: Best Rap Album
And considering she’s only had two album, that IS a hit and a miss…?
With that logic, let’s predict Alessia Cara too, then.
Lorde also missed nominations in her follow-up year for “Team” so don’t act like I’m only using 2 Grammy ceremonies as a reference. Voters moved on.
BPVA (for noms, not wins. separated by strength)
Billie
Olivia
——-
Taylor
Ariana
——-
Lil Nas X
Justin
Doja
——-
Miley
Demi
Shawn
——-
Lorde
LanaEEAAO Sweep
With that logic, let’s predict Alessia Cara too, then.
Lorde also missed nominations in her follow-up year for “Team” so don’t act like I’m only using 2 Grammy ceremonies as a reference. Voters moved on.
The Aleissia Cara logic is more applicable to Meghan Trainor, both of which won BNA and suffered the same “BNA curse”.
For Lorde, Sam Smith is a better comparison.
Aleissia Cara has probably like 0% absolutely no chance of happening while Sam Smith on the other hand probably still has around 15-20% chance. Or has a small probability to be at least a surprise nominee. Probably making it at the Top 10/15 for BPVA (Pop Vocal Album).
Aleissia Cara is probably not Top 15 or 20.
Pop Duo/Group Performance
Alternates: Lo Vas a Olvidar (Billie Eilish & Rosalía), Even When/The Best Part (Olivia Rodrigo & Joshua Bassett)
Don’t think either of these will happen right now but wouldn’t shocked if Billie or Olivia turn out to be strong enough to Joanne/Un Dia themselves to a namecheck filler nom in a weaker category.
With that logic, let’s predict Alessia Cara too, then. Lorde also missed nominations in her follow-up year for “Team” so don’t act like I’m only using 2 Grammy ceremonies as a reference. Voters moved on.
But I definitely agree with how fickle voters can be. Sam Smith in this regard, from almost absolutely sweeping the entire field, to not even getting a single nomination for their* follow-up work. Should’ve gotten at least one nomination. Which what almost, IMO similarly happened to Lorde.
This would be my ranking for Pop Album, from most to least likely:
Locked
Sour
Happier Than EverLikely
Positions
EvermorePossible
Justice
Montero
Planet HerLong shots
Dancing with the Devil
Solar Power
Chemtrails Over the Country Club
Plastic Hearts
Fuck Love
Wonder
All I Know So Far
Be
JordiJury is out on Halsey but she will most likely be a long shot. Anyone I forgot is probably not a serious contender.
So where is Doja going Progressive R&B or Pop?
The Aleissia Cara logic is more applicable to Meghan Trainor, both of which won BNA and suffered the same “BNA curse”.
Alessia Cara’s career trajectory has been strange, especially since the music that has come after her debut is much better…
She did a song with Amy Winehouse’s producer Salaam Remi and its great:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyDcXK_SqJA&ab_channel=AlessiaCaraVEVOSo where is Doja going Progressive R&B or Pop?
If she goes Progressive… they’ll move her to Pop
This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.I’m starting to think ‘Levitating’ is not the frunt runner for Best Pop Duo/Group. ‘Kiss Me More’ & ‘Peaches’ seems like better winners to me. I love ‘Levitating’ and it’s my favorite song out of the three but I can’t see the Grammys awarding DaBaby for “Best” anything.
Dababy has never won a Grammy, but Dua Lipa is fresh off her Best Pop Vocal Album win, Levitating will become the longest charting female song inside top10 of Billboard Hot 100 ever, I expect a high profile campaign in Sept/Oct for the song.
Get real! Lana Del Rey and Lorde CANNOT absolutely happen in Best Pop Vocal Album. The competition is way too stiff.
I’m starting to think ‘Levitating’ is not the frunt runner for Best Pop Duo/Group. ‘Kiss Me More’ & ‘Peaches’ seems like better winners to me. I love ‘Levitating’ and it’s my favorite song out of the three but I can’t see the Grammys awarding DaBaby for “Best” anything.
“Levitating” is the biggest hit of the year and Dua Lipa is quickly becoming a voter favorite. Unless Lady Gaga and Tony Bennett release a single before the deadline, she’s winning.
Alessia Cara’s career trajectory has been strange, especially since the music that has come after her debut is much better… She did a song with Amy Winehouse’s producer Salaam Remi and its great: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyDcXK_SqJA&ab_channel=AlessiaCaraVEVO
Wishing her the best. It’s kind of a thing with these BNA winners recently. With the exception of maybe Dua and hopefully Meghan. They’ve also started catering to a lot more mainstream artists for this award.
If she goes Progressive… they’ll move her to Pop
Yeah, I think so too. Imo she’s getting underestimated. Doja might surprise on BPVA.
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