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2022 Grammy Award Nomination Predictions (Part 11)

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    Miss Americana
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    #1204375590

    the truth is that sam and norah cannot repeat the success of the first albums, the same will happen with Bruno, Adele or Billie if they fail. When your standard of success is high you any small stumbling blocks can cost you your neck. forecasts for HTN’s debut on bb200 are falling every day, and in a few weeks the album will be forgotten by the general public. Maybe voters don’t even care if she’s succeeding or not, or maybe yes, either way she will be forgotten while Sour will still be in the top 10 of bb200 and Hot100 and Silk Sonic will be releasing a fresh new album.

    The predictions don’t Fall day to day, for all we know more accurate predictions will be on Tuesday for her debut week. Also, Billie has proven Grammy wins history of bigger scale and size than Sam Smith and Bruno Mars. Her track nom to win record is closer to Adele’s than anyone else.

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    PopGuy
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    #1204375601

    200-225k is abysmal for someone who is coming off of one of the most massive era’s in pop music. These numbers are even less than Chromaticaz Billie is huge she should have had a hit already.

    FYC: Grammys 2022

    ALBUM OF THE YEAR
    evermore - Taylor Swift
    SOUR - Olivia Rodrigo
    El Último Tour Del Mundo - Bad Bunny
    Starting Over - Chris Stapleton
    positions - Ariana Grande
    Daddy’s Home - St Vincent

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    Gen
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    #1204375606

    200-225k is abysmal for someone who is coming off of one of the most massive era’s in pop music. These numbers are even less than Chromaticaz Billie is huge she should have had a hit already.

    Chromatica depended on bundles. Those aren’t allowed anymore.

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    Miss Americana
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    #1204375608

    200-225k is abysmal for someone who is coming off of one of the most massive era’s in pop music. These numbers are even less than Chromaticaz Billie is huge she should have had a hit already.

    With the new rules the numbers are expected given, no bundles are allowed(Chromatica had 180k units bundles that wouldn’t count with this system and it would open with around 100k) now only pure sales/vinyls are allowed when shipped. Also, she doesn’t have a huge hit carrying the album(ala G4U), the title track is showing some potential we have to wait to see how it goes.

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    Gen
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    #1204375610

    BTS might be nominated for “Best Global Music Performance” because they’re from South Korea

    Predictions:

    Record of The Year – “Butter”

    Song of The Year – “Butter”

    Best Pop Duo/Group Performance – “Butter”

    Best Global Music Performance – “Butter”

    Best Music Video – “Butter”

    Dua and Justin aren’t from the US. I guess they would fit under global too?

    Come on now, just cause an artist is from another country doesn’t mean they go in the global category, especially when the song is in English.

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    AG
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    #1204375612

    The predictions don’t Fall day to day, for all we know more accurate predictions will be on Tuesday for her debut week. Also, Billie has proven Grammy wins history of bigger scale and size than Sam Smith and Bruno Mars. Her track nom to win record is closer to Adele’s than anyone else.

    just look at Spotify. Billie probably still has voter love anyway.

     

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    PopGuy
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    #1204375619

    In Other News our 2020 Album of the Year folklore has returned to the Top 10! Tay just keeps slaying these lessors!

    FYC: Grammys 2022

    ALBUM OF THE YEAR
    evermore - Taylor Swift
    SOUR - Olivia Rodrigo
    El Último Tour Del Mundo - Bad Bunny
    Starting Over - Chris Stapleton
    positions - Ariana Grande
    Daddy’s Home - St Vincent

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    PopGuy
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    #1204375676

    Lizzo is coming!!!

    FYC: Grammys 2022

    ALBUM OF THE YEAR
    evermore - Taylor Swift
    SOUR - Olivia Rodrigo
    El Último Tour Del Mundo - Bad Bunny
    Starting Over - Chris Stapleton
    positions - Ariana Grande
    Daddy’s Home - St Vincent

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    Red
    Joined:
    Apr 30th, 2021
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    #1204375693

    A solid and established fan base is required to move significant vinyls, they’re more like fan collectibles these days. Your estimated 80-90k vinyl sales for the very new Olivia is way too close to the 100k+ highest weekly shipment ever recorded. It took the ubiquitous album sales powerhouse Swift to move such units.

    It’s gonna be interesting to see how much she sells, I feel like her numbers could surprise us

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    AG
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    #1204375702

    i don’t like to bring charts but that was surprising to me

    Last female albums that spent its first 10 weeks in the Top 3 on Billboard 200:

    • “SOUR” — 2021

    5 years

    • “25” — 2015

    1 year

    • “1989” — 2014

    2 years

    • “RED” — 2012

    1 year

    • “21” — 2011

    your success is awesome.

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    Red
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    Apr 30th, 2021
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    #1204375738

    Drake’s album seems to be finished, Kanye might be the one rap voters pick for AOTY but maybe both can make it

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    Gucci
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    Dec 1st, 2019
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    #1204375747

    Honey, hope Lizzo drops by September 30th.  Easy Best Progressive R&B Album win.

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    Jay
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    Feb 14th, 2021
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    #1204375770

    She is, but we’ll see if this momentum is sustained in her consequent albums or not. She might be a shoo in for noms in her eligible categories but winning seems like a different story this time.

    If Billie goes head to head in AOTY against Olivia with no Silk Sonic release, she is hardly losing. Her album includes influences from multiple genres and she already had cross-genre appeal twice in a row as evidenced by her GF wins. I could see her getting the Taylor treatment of this year in the worst case scenario.

    FYC | Best music this season:

    Arlo Parks - Collapsed In Sunbeams
    St. Vincent - Daddy's Home
    Jazmine Sullivan - Heaux Tales
    Tyler, The Creator - Call Me If You Get Lost
    Wolf Alice - Blue Weekend

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    AG
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    #1204375804

    If Billie goes head to head in AOTY against Olivia with no Silk Sonic release, she is hardly losing. Her album includes influences from multiple genres and she already had cross-genre appeal twice in a row as evidenced by her GF wins. I could see her getting the Taylor treatment of this year in the worst case scenario.

    should be like that maybe
    SOTY: DL

    AOTY: HDN

    ROTY: LTDP ~ DL

    BNA: Olivia

    BPVA: Sour

    BPSP: DL ~ G4U

    HTN could be a new folklore.

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    Rich Thot
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    Apr 17th, 2020
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    #1204375811

    Planet Her still in the top 3 after five weeks. Good for her. It’s too stable to dismiss from the gf convo.

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