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2022 Grammy Award Nomination Predictions (Part 2)

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    ELIAS✨
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    The Year of Our Lord Taylor transitioning to The Year of Our Lord Olivia

    can we wait to hear a body of work? She had a voice, but does she have something original to give to current landscape of pop? We shall see.


    ScottyDog
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    I would say Good Days is up there with Drivers License. It’s also coming from a more established artist that will release an album that is bound to be a critical and commercial favourite of the year. Olivia could have that too, but it’s less guaranteed.

    I mean the song from early 2021 to be remembered will be DL, it kinda stands out, other ones could be deemed weak by September that are currently floating in the top 10. We need more strong songs to come.


    alex.g
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    An entire SNL sketch about drivers license praising Olivia for 5 minutes and comparing her to Billie & Taylor.

    I’m not sure which Billie song drivers license sounds like. Sounds a lot more like a Lorde song to me.


    PopGuy
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    Queen Taylor walked so Princess Olivia can run! Miss Rodrigo is coming to sweep next year! Poor Clownderby!

    Meet me at midnight…


    vinny
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    Olivia is a pleasant surprise.


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    M
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    This morgan guy is spending a 6th week at #1? https://www.billboard.com/articles/business/chart-beat/9529137/morgan-wallen-dangerous-tops-billboard-200-sixth-week

    He’s a couple of weeks away from matching Folklore. This is america, I guess… Say the n word and ignorant fucks will reward you with buying more copies of your album.

    The Grammy’s better not nominate him anywhere. I would’ve been certain they wouldn’t, but after they nominated Dr. Luke this year, nothing will surprise me anymore.


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    Miss Americana
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    Best-selling albums of 2021 so far according to HDD (from Jan. 1st till Feb. 18th)

    1 Morgan Wallen : Dangerous  974,000 units  (he will be propably banned)

    2 Lil Durk The Voice  314,000 units

    3 Pop Smoke Shoot for the stars aim for the moon 304,000 units

    4  Taylor Swift Evermore  281,000 units

    5 The Weeknd After Hours 263,000 units

    6 Ariana Grande Positions 230,000 units

    7 Luke Combs What You See is what you get 213,000 units

    8 Juice WRLD Legends Never Die  213,000 units

    9 Lil Baby My Turn 201,000 units

    10 Megan Thee Stallion Good News  196,000 units

    11 The Kid Laroi F+ck Love 186,000 units

    12 Bad Bunny El Ultimo Tour Del Mundo 186,000 units

    13 Taylor Swift Folklore  174,000 units

    14 Post Malone Hollywoods Bleeding  170,000 units

    15 Dua Lipa Future Nostalgia  163,000 units

    16 The Weeknd The Highlights  163,000 units (is this eligible ?)

    17 Harry Styles  Fine Line 162,000 units

    18 Eminem Music to be murderd by 151,000 units

    19 Machine Gun Kelly Tickets to my downfall 151,000 units

    20 Juice WRLD Goodbye and Good Riddance 145,000 units

    I crossed already eligible albums and the rest shows current interest to these projects, if these projects stay steady during the year, some of them could be considered for Grammys, based on popularity.


    daniel
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    ariana is the most likely there i think, closely followed by taylor then megan a bit behind. megan’s album is huge and well received with (already grammy nominated and possibly soon to be grammy winning)  hits but the anti-rap bias is strong in AOTY as we know, they even ignored roddy last year


    daniel
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    i have ariana slightly ahead because she’s milking positions a bit more than evermore, however if folklore underperforms in march and taylor maintains relevance throughout the year into the voting period with the re-recordings then i’d have her ahead of ariana for sure


    Gucci
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    Ariana Grande or Taylor Swift + winning Pop Album = NOT happening


    LawC
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    i have ariana slightly ahead because she’s milking positions a bit more than evermore, however if folklore underperforms in march and taylor maintains relevance throughout the year into the voting period with the re-recordings then i’d have her ahead of ariana for sure

    I think a folklore underperformance wouldn’t actually bode well for evermore’s chances, especially if exile also looses to Rain On Me.

    folklore is the bigger & more acclaimed album, was more recent by the time of voting, had more longevity and had the quarantine narrative too. If she can’t win with such a strong combo of factors, it’ll be even harder for evermore, which has basically been abandoned as an era, to pull it off.

    Remember that unlike other award shows, past losses and “snubs” don’t really matter for Grammy winners. If they didn’t vote for folklore, which is basically a stronger project in every regard, they’re also not gonna vote for evermore.


    JennyLewisFan
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    well, despite carrie being huge, for some reason they’ve never given her a country album nom, so the country bloc does its own thing.

    Speaking of how weird country can be, remember how “Not Ready to Make Nice” literally won Song of the Year but wasn’t even nominated for Country Song?

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