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Grammys 2023 Predictions (Part 6)

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    Gucci
    Joined:
    Dec 1st, 2019
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    #1205037766

    Adele + old white voter dudes = WINNING!

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    hessa_life
    Joined:
    May 13th, 2022
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    #1205037801

    Honest question, how does one become a Grammy voter? And does anyone here in this forum personally know a Grammy voter?

    Stream “emails I can’t send” by Sabrina Carpenter!!

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    ELIAS✨
    Joined:
    Nov 29th, 2017
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    #1205037829

    I don’t see how people have Brandi Carlile to win AOTY, especially when she lost against Silk Sonic in ROTY and SOTY (twice mind you in SOTY). If anything it would be Silk Sonic vs. Adele or Beyoncé vs. Adele at least…

    Top 15 Albums of 2022 to understand my music taste lol slay

    Ants From Up There
    Bronco
    CAPRISONGS
    Dawn FM
    Diaspora Problems
    Dragon New Warm Mountain I Believe in You
    Harry's House
    Hellfire
    Ivory
    Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers
    MOTOMAMI
    Melt My Eyez See My Future
    Once Twice Melody
    Preacher's Daughter
    RENAISSANCE

    Everything Everywhere All At Once for Best Picture
    Severance for Outstanding Drama Series

    Profile picture
    Lorenzo Dillard
    Joined:
    Oct 4th, 2021
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    #1205037846

    Honest question, how does one become a Grammy voter? And does anyone here in this forum personally know a Grammy voter?

    Yep. One of my childhood friends named Katie, who’s a violinist, just became a voter/joined the Academy this Summer. Maybe I can ask her.

    Profile picture
    Melodies
    Joined:
    Nov 2nd, 2020
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    #1205037932

    Remember when I was told that Rob Stringer would purposefully pull against Harry’s Grammy chances to benefit Adele because “she made more money than him”? And I pulled up the quarterly financials and was told “that I was purposefully ignoring the quarters that were close to Adele releasing an album” well, here you go, Sony’s Q1 results for 2022 (Sony goes by fiscal year, which is April to March), aka three months to the end of June, its 10 most profitable projects:

    1. Harry Styles, Harry’s House
    2. Future, I NEVER LIKED YOU
    3. Doja Cat, Planet Her
    4. Lil Durk, 7220
    5. Lil Nas X, MONTERO
    6. Harry Styles, Fine Line
    7. Tyler, The Creator, CALL ME IF YOU GET LOST
    8. The Kid LAROI, F*CK LOVE 3+: OVER YOU
    9. Camila Cabello, Familia
    10. TOOL, Fear Inoculum

    Adele’s “30” is not part of the top 10, but Harry’s Fine Line (a project released 2 years almost to the date prior to 30) is… aside from the fact that Harry’s House is obviously #1 as well.

    Source (page 12)

    BTW, these are the financial statements for Q4, aka Jan-Mar 2022. 30 was NOT in the top 10 either. This was the top 10:

    1. Doja Cat Planet Her
    2. Lil Nas X MONTERO
    3. The Kid LAROI F*CK LOVE 3+: OVER YOU
    4. Harry Styles Fine Line
    5. TOOL Fear Inoculum
    6. Lil Durk 7720
    7. Polo G Hall of Fame
    8. Rod Wave Soul
    9. Rauw Alejandro VICE VERSA
    10. Luke Combs What You See Is What You Get

    She was #1 for the fiscal year ending in March 2022 (Fine Line was #5), meaning the bulk of her earnings was solely between October and December 2021, not even carrying her over to 2022.

    Q3 2021/2022 (October-December 2021): 30 was #1, Fine Line was #5

    Q2 2021/2022 (July-September 2021): Fine Line was #4

    Q1 2021/2022 (April-June 2021): Fine Line was #1

    Q4 2020/2021 (January-March 2021): Fine Line was #1.

    Fine Line was also #1 for the fiscal year ending March 2021.

    Q3 2020/2021 (October-December 2020): Fine Line was #2

    Q2 2020/2021 (July-September 2020): Fine Line was #1

    Q1 2020/2021 (April-June 2020): Fine Line was #1

    Q4 2019/2020 (January-March 2020): Fine Line was #1

    Fine Line was also #3 for the fiscal year ending March 2020, with 3 1/2 months since it was released (December 13 2019) and before Watermelon Sugar became a hit (May 2020)

    Q3 2019/2020 (September-December 2019): Fine Line was #1 literally 17 days since release!)

    And no, I still don’t think he’ll beat Adele. Just reinforcing that the idea of Rob Stringer purposefully sinking his chances when these are his results with his last two projects (his self titled debut was #1 in the quarter it was released and #5 overall in its fiscal year) is absurd. His initial contract was for 3 projects $80M total, according to HDD he had to clear 5M sales worldwide with each project to cut even. He did that within the first two projects alone (first album 5M+, second album 10M+).

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    Cameron
    Joined:
    Sep 11th, 2019
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    #1205038038

    Honest question, how does one become a Grammy voter? And does anyone here in this forum personally know a Grammy voter?

    Grammy.com should have a list of qualifications that you can read on how you become a member. I also think it’s a deadline too.

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    Anna Artdeco
    Joined:
    May 1st, 2021
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    #1205038108

    Remember when I was told that Rob Stringer would purposefully pull against Harry’s Grammy chances to benefit Adele because “she made more money than him”? And I pulled up the quarterly financials and was told “that I was purposefully ignoring the quarters that were close to Adele releasing an album” well, here you go, Sony’s Q1 results for 2022 (Sony goes by fiscal year, which is April to March), aka three months to the end of June, its 10 most profitable projects:

    1. Harry Styles, Harry’s House
    2. Future, I NEVER LIKED YOU
    3. Doja Cat, Planet Her
    4. Lil Durk, 7220
    5. Lil Nas X, MONTERO
    6. Harry Styles, Fine Line
    7. Tyler, The Creator, CALL ME IF YOU GET LOST
    8. The Kid LAROI, F*CK LOVE 3+: OVER YOU
    9. Camila Cabello, Familia
    10. TOOL, Fear Inoculum

    Adele’s “30” is not part of the top 10, but Harry’s Fine Line (a project released 2 years almost to the date prior to 30) is… aside from the fact that Harry’s House is obviously #1 as well.

    Source (page 12)

    BTW, these are the financial statements for Q4, aka Jan-Mar 2022. 30 was NOT in the top 10 either. This was the top 10:

    1. Doja Cat Planet Her
    2. Lil Nas X MONTERO
    3. The Kid LAROI F*CK LOVE 3+: OVER YOU
    4. Harry Styles Fine Line
    5. TOOL Fear Inoculum
    6. Lil Durk 7720
    7. Polo G Hall of Fame
    8. Rod Wave Soul
    9. Rauw Alejandro VICE VERSA
    10. Luke Combs What You See Is What You Get

    She was #1 for the fiscal year ending in March 2022 (Fine Line was #5), meaning the bulk of her earnings was solely between October and December 2021, not even carrying her over to 2022.

    Q3 2021/2022 (October-December 2021): 30 was #1, Fine Line was #5

    Q2 2021/2022 (July-September 2021): Fine Line was #4

    Q1 2021/2022 (April-June 2021): Fine Line was #1

    Q4 2020/2021 (January-March 2021): Fine Line was #1.

    Fine Line was also #1 for the fiscal year ending March 2021.

    Q3 2020/2021 (October-December 2020): Fine Line was #2

    Q2 2020/2021 (July-September 2020): Fine Line was #1

    Q1 2020/2021 (April-June 2020): Fine Line was #1

    Q4 2019/2020 (January-March 2020): Fine Line was #1

    Fine Line was also #3 for the fiscal year ending March 2020, with 3 1/2 months since it was released (December 13 2019) and before Watermelon Sugar became a hit (May 2020)

    Q3 2019/2020 (September-December 2019): Fine Line was #1 literally 17 days since release!)

    And no, I still don’t think he’ll beat Adele. Just reinforcing that the idea of Rob Stringer purposefully sinking his chances when these are his results with his last two projects (his self titled debut was #1 in the quarter it was released and #5 overall in its fiscal year) is absurd. His initial contract was for 3 projects $80M total, according to HDD he had to clear 5M sales worldwide with each project to cut even. He did that within the first two projects alone (first album 5M+, second album 10M+).

    This is impressive research actually but I don’t quite get your point. You think they will undercut Harry’s Grammy chances despite him making more money for the label?

    Profile picture
    Sunrise1981
    Joined:
    Jul 28th, 2022
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    #1205038142

    Honey, if there is someone who is worried about being forgotten, that is Adele. Her past wins were because she was an undeniable commercial success, not because of acclaim. Now her album and single are out of the charts and forgotten half a year before the Grammys. She has to time her residency to stay relevant. But Bey got Madonna, and everyone else in her side. So bye2 Adele sweep.

    It’s Adele. I agree with you, she might not sweep it this time. We have Adele vs Beyonce vs vs Kendrick Lamar  vs Silk Sonic

    Brandi Carlile has many Grammys ( American Roots cateogory), but she did not win those awards in the General Field.

    Harry vs Lizzo vs Lady Gaga in Pop Vocal Album and/or Pop Solo Performance.

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    RichardAniston
    Joined:
    May 23rd, 2013
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    #1205038163

    I wouldn’t be surprised if Adele went home empty handed next year. I think NARAS’ boner for her will finally soften.

    I think Harry is the front runner in Pop Solo and Pop Album.

    Profile picture
    hornet
    Joined:
    Aug 8th, 2022
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    #1205038204

    while some dream of Harry, Beyonce, Kendrick winning, it will actually be like this:
    Album of the Year – 30
    Record of the Year – Easy On Me
    Song of the Year – Easy On Me
    Best Pop Vocal Album – 30
    Best Pop Solo Performance – Easy On Me
    Best Music Film – Adele One Night Only
    the only category where Adele will lose is Best Music Video

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    Mother Dináh
    Joined:
    Jun 29th, 2019
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    Posts:
    #1205038224

    I don’t see how people have Brandi Carlile to win AOTY, especially when she lost against Silk Sonic in ROTY and SOTY (twice mind you in SOTY). If anything it would be Silk Sonic vs. Adele or Beyoncé vs. Adele at least…

    I wonder if A Beautiful Noise hurt her chances, because Right On Time had to compete against fans of all those legendary songwriters.

    I think Right On Time would’ve ended up in the top 3-ish if she only had one song nominated.

    Brandi could definitely pull a Jon Batiste in a GF lineup with >=70% Pop nominees someday. Of course, it’s not going to be this year.

    Profile picture
    Munchi
    Joined:
    May 24th, 2021
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    Posts:
    #1205038300

    Remember when I was told that Rob Stringer would purposefully pull against Harry’s Grammy chances to benefit Adele because “she made more money than him”? And I pulled up the quarterly financials and was told “that I was purposefully ignoring the quarters that were close to Adele releasing an album” well, here you go, Sony’s Q1 results for 2022 (Sony goes by fiscal year, which is April to March), aka three months to the end of June, its 10 most profitable projects:

    1. Harry Styles, Harry’s House
    2. Future, I NEVER LIKED YOU
    3. Doja Cat, Planet Her
    4. Lil Durk, 7220
    5. Lil Nas X, MONTERO
    6. Harry Styles, Fine Line
    7. Tyler, The Creator, CALL ME IF YOU GET LOST
    8. The Kid LAROI, F*CK LOVE 3+: OVER YOU
    9. Camila Cabello, Familia
    10. TOOL, Fear Inoculum

    Adele’s “30” is not part of the top 10, but Harry’s Fine Line (a project released 2 years almost to the date prior to 30) is… aside from the fact that Harry’s House is obviously #1 as well. Source (page 12) BTW, these are the financial statements for Q4, aka Jan-Mar 2022. 30 was NOT in the top 10 either. This was the top 10:

    1. Doja Cat Planet Her
    2. Lil Nas X MONTERO
    3. The Kid LAROI F*CK LOVE 3+: OVER YOU
    4. Harry Styles Fine Line
    5. TOOL Fear Inoculum
    6. Lil Durk 7720
    7. Polo G Hall of Fame
    8. Rod Wave Soul
    9. Rauw Alejandro VICE VERSA
    10. Luke Combs What You See Is What You Get

    She was #1 for the fiscal year ending in March 2022 (Fine Line was #5), meaning the bulk of her earnings was solely between October and December 2021, not even carrying her over to 2022. Q3 2021/2022 (October-December 2021): 30 was #1, Fine Line was #5 Q2 2021/2022 (July-September 2021): Fine Line was #4 Q1 2021/2022 (April-June 2021): Fine Line was #1 Q4 2020/2021 (January-March 2021): Fine Line was #1. Fine Line was also #1 for the fiscal year ending March 2021. Q3 2020/2021 (October-December 2020): Fine Line was #2 Q2 2020/2021 (July-September 2020): Fine Line was #1 Q1 2020/2021 (April-June 2020): Fine Line was #1 Q4 2019/2020 (January-March 2020): Fine Line was #1 Fine Line was also #3 for the fiscal year ending March 2020, with 3 1/2 months since it was released (December 13 2019) and before Watermelon Sugar became a hit (May 2020) Q3 2019/2020 (September-December 2019): Fine Line was #1 literally 17 days since release!) And no, I still don’t think he’ll beat Adele. Just reinforcing that the idea of Rob Stringer purposefully sinking his chances when these are his results with his last two projects (his self titled debut was #1 in the quarter it was released and #5 overall in its fiscal year) is absurd. His initial contract was for 3 projects $80M total, according to HDD he had to clear 5M sales worldwide with each project to cut even. He did that within the first two projects alone (first album 5M+, second album 10M+).

    Cute but still the same monolithic reasoning. I’ll just note these observations once, I’m sure everyone is tired of this topic.

    1. Since streaming and sales revenue accounted for only 26% of Columbia’s revenue and Harry didn’t sign a 360 agreement according to you, he contributed nothing to the remaining 74%.

    2. Pushing 5m units in a quarter and 100k each of the remaining 3 quarters trumps albums that ship for example 250k for 4 quarters. Stability is only relevant for specific purposes.

    3. You don’t pick numbers from sources that validates a preconceived notion. IFPI sales count of Fine Line since it’s release don’t even add up to 5m. HDD interpolates to get total units across every format while IFPI gleans established data, hence their reputation.

    I don’t expect PhD-level analysis or something but this post only demonstrates a juvenile fixation on being right tbh and you can take the win.

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    almanzarlamarcarlile
    Joined:
    Jul 27th, 2020
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    #1205038309

    I can’t be the only one a little tired of these essays about how successful Harry Styles is, right?

    Everything Everywhere All At Once & Renaissance sweep truther

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    HaimOnRye
    Joined:
    Jan 16th, 2021
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    #1205038604

    I quite enjoy when people make articulate points and bring up new information. If I don’t care for the information, I scroll faster. But to me it’s more interesting that the usual back and forth about stuff we talked about 1937497 times. (I am also interested in Munchi’s reply, and eventually the reply to the reply). So no, personally I am not tired about ‘little essays’, about Harry or anyone else.

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    HaimOnRye
    Joined:
    Jan 16th, 2021
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    #1205038607

    I know this is a forum in which ppl mainly write to have fun and test themselves, but I wouldn’t mind if posts were a bit more complex and exposed real research and information, instead of ‘barf!’ or ‘the album was horrible’ or ‘.. is gonna sweep’ (not that there is anything wrong with these, but IN ADDITION)

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