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Swift is never winning SOTY, and a 4th AOTY seems impossible with such a mediocre record, so we will be spared from her winning in the GF next year.
Maybe she’ll get a pity pop win as compensation, but with how she’s even weaker in the pop categories compared to the General Field, even that might not happen.
Adele in Best Pop Solo Performance with I Drink Wine
ice spice is building up a fanbase already, her discord is popping bcs theyre promoting it on twitter, many teenagers and kpop fans like her but if she wants to win a grammy she’s got to release a debut album and get a top 5 hit tbh
I have a feeling Midnights will get Thank, U Next’d. Taylor never wins without a compelling narrative and there’s none this time.
Taylor could win BPVA. All they care about is hits
Taylor could win BPVA. All they care about is hits
Emphasis on hitS.
Midnights only has one hit so far, and it’s not looking like Lavender Haze will catch on.
and since when does the grammy care about narratives? taylor needs to keep the album alive until then, the rest will depend on the competition.
Yep exactly just depends on the competition
if Miley could another Flowers sized hit or somewhere close to its success, then I could see her finally nabbing a pop win
Flowers is definitely getting in Best Pop Solo Performance, but I’m still not sure about Record of The Year. Too early to say that.
By now, I’d say we have three big contenders for BPSP: Flowers, Kill Bill & Anti-Hero.
If Bonnie Raitt can win SOTY at 73 for a song with 500k streams, I really don’t see a scenario where Taylor doesn’t win eventually. Maybe at 50 but she’ll get it at some point.
Same with Beyonce and AOTY btw
Taylor is such a weak link in pop, only winning once. If Olivia Rodrigo, Billie Eilish or Ariana Grande drop, she could easily be overlooked. Imagine if SZA gets pushed in Pop…
I unfortunately see SZA being nominated but not winning in general fields. She has a core fanbase, but doesn’t cross over to the older demographics. I honestly think Miley has a better chance with her album. Her new music is going to be built to have mass appeal, though likely will be forgettable after a year or two and a bit boring. It’s unfortunate, but you have to appeal to the 40+ crowd to get in with the Grammy’s. I think if my mom (in her 60s) knows of them and doesn’t dislike them then they stand a chance. I think of the “Ellen-friendly / James Corden-friendly” artist as the most likely to succeed in the general field.
For BNA it’s looking like a few solid options already with RAYE, FLO and Gracie Abrams. No doubt a few others will break through over the spring / summer and then a few unknowns with industry support.
We knew Lizzo would still be eligible for ROTY, SOTY and BPSP with Special, but I Drink Wine still being eligible is hilarious I must say.
I hope Adele feels greedy enough to submit it à la Hometown Glory.
- Adele – I Drink Wine
- Miley Cyrus – Flowers
- Lizzo – Special
- Taylor Swift – Anti-Hero
- SZA – Kill Bill
If all five submit, at least 2 will get knocked out of Best Pop Solo Performance
edit: Dua Lipa is confirmed and Olivia will likely drop as well. That makes it 7 possible nominees not counting men.
Ariana, Gaga and Billie will only release in time for the 2025 ceremony. The first two will coincide their next eras with their respective 2024 films.
I didn’t even think about Adele now being able to submit more tracks… I’m 50/50 on if she’d submit I Drink Wine to Pop Solo and Music Video or just move on from 30. I get the vibe she’s kind of over the era and wants another nice break.
I think if Lizzo were to submit Special, it would need to be a bigger hit than it’s shaping up to be.
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