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How likely is 25 to win AOTY?

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  • TerenceFletcher
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    #416799

    Something to consider when predicting the chances for 25:  ever since Adele released 21, she has won every single Grammy she has been nominated for. 

     

    This should definitely be taken into consideration. 

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    setfiretorain
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    #416800

    [quote=”Stripped”]

    [quote=”Final2″]
    Oh I’m not underestimating Adele by no means. I did that with her 1st week sales. “25” has sold more copies than “1989” but “1989” had a way stronger run as of right now.
    Honey, you must be smoking rock cocaine.  I know you have a major hard-on for Taylor Swift, but get real.  I bet you creamed your pants when she won her second Album of the Year Grammy.  Barf! 

    [/quote]
    Well this time last year “1989” already had two No.1 hits and Style was on it way to No.1 on pop radio. “25” has had “Hello” that’s it.
    [/quote]
    Good for Taylor, but that doesn’t matter. Many previous AOTY winners weren’t commercially successfull and the singles didn’t even reach top 20…….

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    Final2
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    #416801

    [quote=”Final2″]

    [quote=”Stripped”]

    [quote=”Final2″]
    Oh I’m not underestimating Adele by no means. I did that with her 1st week sales. “25” has sold more copies than “1989” but “1989” had a way stronger run as of right now.
    Honey, you must be smoking rock cocaine.  I know you have a major hard-on for Taylor Swift, but get real.  I bet you creamed your pants when she won her second Album of the Year Grammy.  Barf! 

    [/quote]
    Well this time last year “1989” already had two No.1 hits and Style was on it way to No.1 on pop radio. “25” has had “Hello” that’s it.
    [/quote]
    Good for Taylor, but that doesn’t matter. Many previous AOTY winners weren’t commercially successfull and the singles didn’t even reach top 20…….
    [/quote]

    I never said it was. All I said was “1989’s” run was stronger as of right now. “1989” had 3 hit singles at this point last year, “25” has one.

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    GriffRuss
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    #416802

    As of now she is the main contender.  The commercial success is just too huge to ignore. Another number one hit would help or at least a top 10 single.  I think that will happen once “Send Your Love” becomes a single. And you can’t overlook the fact that the Grammys love her.  

    The thing that could upset is if Beyonce drops another surprise album.  If it follows the message behind Formation, Beyonce would definitely have a chance.  She’s already been slighted twice in the category and the Grammys will start getting some heat for their lack of honoring diverse, deserving winners (i.e. Beyonce’s self titled album, To Pimp and Butterfly, Channel Orange).

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    setfiretorain
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    #416803

    As of now she is the main contender.  The commercial success is just too huge to ignore. Another number one hit would help or at least a top 10 single.  I think that will happen once “Send Your Love” becomes a single. And you can’t overlook the fact that the Grammys love her.  

    The thing that could upset is if Beyonce drops another surprise album.  If it follows the message behind Formation, Beyonce would definitely have a chance.  She’s already been slighted twice in the category and the Grammys will start getting some heat for their lack of honoring diverse, deserving winners (i.e. Beyonce’s self titled album, To Pimp and Butterfly, Channel Orange).

    If her album is anything like “Formation” it won’t win. I don’t think lyrics like “I got a hot sauce in my bag, swag” are grammy-worthy. If the grammys wanted to be “diverse” they’d of given Kendrick the AOTY, like yesterday. they’ve proved time and time again they don’t care about skin color when voting. it won’t change next year, either.

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    Troy
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    #416804

    I think Bowie is going to offer her some competition.    

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    Anonymous
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    #416805
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Ryan2012
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    #416806

    Let’s hope something better comes out between now and then. It probably already has.

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    Troy
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    #416807

    Yeah.  At least Taylor Swift won her two AOTY Grammys for albums that were very different from each other.  Like her or not 1989 was a big risk for her.   Adele has been pretty much giving us the exact same album since she came on the scene.   That isn’t diminishing her talent at all, but it would be nice of she would have taken some risks with 25.  

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    PoweR
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    #416808

    1989 was hardly a BIG risk. Her “country” music contained more elements of pop music than the average act in the country field. It was always going to be a more seamless transition for her than say Adele transitioning to urban contemporary music. Sorry, I don’t buy 1989 as a “big risk” AT ALL.

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    Troy
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    #416809

    Except 1989 was a COMPLETE abandonment of her country roots.  Yes, her albums progressively got more “pop.” but there still were definite country elements to them which appealed to her original fanbase.    She risked losing at least some of her country fanbase with 1989, which still itself really sounds nothing like Red, as even as pop inflluenced as it was.

    In contrast, 21 and 25 are very similary albums both thematically and sonically;  it’s not secret she played it safe, which is fine because it worked for her in terms of sales, etc.    Whether she wins AOTY for it has yet to be seen, but I do think alternatives will emerge.

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    PoweR
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    #416810

      Yes, her albums progressively got more “pop.” 

    Good to know. That settles that. 

    And if being a “big risk” was a pre-requisite for AOTY, then Beyoncé and Kendrick Lamar should have been AOTY winners. 

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    Anonymous
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    #416811
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Alexandra22
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    #416812

    Comparing 21 and 25 to Fearless and 1989 is not a fair comparison. It is
    different for Taylor because she completely reinvented herself as a pop
    artist which I personally believe was a risk. Her record label thought she was crazy and it actually worked out pretty well for her. A lot of people think 21 is better than 25. However, you will
    find plenty of people out there who think 1989 is Taylor’s best work. Its Taylor’s most succesful album to date. Moreover, Fearless is a country album. 1989 is a pop album. Taylor today as a music artist is very diffferent than
    the one she was when she released Fearless. 25 is also the immediate follow up to 21. Taylor had 2 albums between Fearless and 1989.

    I dont see the point of this conversation, Adele certainly has the capability and the Grammys have proven that they like her music. She still has a great chance and is without a doubt the frontrunner at this point but we have to wait to see what else will be
    released in the elgibility period.

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    PoweR
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    #416813

    Are their last albums drastically different from their previous ones?

    Yes, if people think 1989 is “drastically different” from Taylor’s previous releases.

    One thing’s for sure, To Pimp a Butterfly and Beyoncé are definitely more ambitious than an album filled with Max Martin/Shellback songs. And they’re better, too.

    Taylor’s album wasn’t rewarded because it was a “big risk” (lol). It was rewarded because it was the most successful album of the bunch and an easy check off. 

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