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December 7, 2017 at 12:30 pm #1202432471
And you contradicted yourself. In one post, you said the Latin branch is fairly large (don’t even know if this is completely true or not), and then in another it only extends so far…
Regardless of the situation, that Latin branch will be Luis Fonsi’s savior. Bruno can easily pick up pop votes and some R&B votes, the rap votes will definitely between distributed among the black rap artists, and R&B can easily be split among those same black artists. In any other year, biggest hit or not, “Despacito” would have been an afterthought.
Well, that’s not exactly a contradiction. The Latin branch is large enough that they were able to launch a separate awards show. But is it large enough to push a winner without support from the other branches? I’m sure it’s not.
I’ll agree to disagree that Despacito is winning ONLY because of Latin support. In any case, I still don’t see a realistic way another song beats it in this category.December 7, 2017 at 12:33 pm #1202432474
What other branches will go out of their way to make “Despacito” a landslide winner besides Latin and pop (the latter can be distributed in several different ways)? Do you honestly see Country, Rap or Rock voting for that?
It’s not unrealistic that Latin voters will come out of the woodworks to vote. They actually have something to rally behind this year. So, yeah that would be the only reason.
December 7, 2017 at 12:41 pm #1202432486
- This reply was modified 2 years, 2 months ago by PoweR.
The country and rock votes will probably split and vary widely since they have nothing in their own genre to get behind. I wouldn’t put it past Despacito to get some votes from those branches either.
Rap voters already have two songs to get behind, but the vast majority of them will probably vote for Kendrick.
If the Latin vote didn’t factor in at all, it would be a tight race between 24K Magic, Despacito, and maybe Humble to a lesser extent.December 7, 2017 at 12:48 pm #1202432494
What do you think about country voters? Who will they vote for or can they affect the winner?
Country is totally snubbed in GF and there is no white act in this category (since some think they’d prefer white acts to win).
Which song would they choose in this year’s ROTY?December 7, 2017 at 12:50 pm #1202432495
Maybe Bruno, but country can just entirely skip the general field since there is no one that they can rally behind. No country acts, no white acts.December 7, 2017 at 12:59 pm #1202432505
Country voters will most likely gravitate to the pop records and biggest hits.
Probably Bruno in Album of the Year; Despacito and 24K Magic in Record; That’s What I Like and Issues in Song; Alessia and Julia in New Artist.
Rock voters will probably lean more towards Lorde and Childish Gambino.December 7, 2017 at 2:12 pm #1202432582
What do you think about country voters? Who will they vote for or can they affect the winner? Country is totally snubbed in GF and there is no white act in this category (since some think they’d prefer white acts to win). Which song would they choose in this year’s ROTY?
They will write-in Taylor Swift maybe.December 8, 2017 at 2:25 am #1202433069
I don’t think “Redbone” will win since it failed to crack the top 5.December 8, 2017 at 3:11 am #1202433078
I don’t think “Redbone” will win since it failed to crack the top 5.
Redbone is the type of music that the Academy likes, which appeals to the general population and all demographics. It also has that 70s/80s vibe, which will probably help get the older vote. If not Redbone, 24K Magic will win just because the Academy loves him, especially after last year’s amazing tribute. But the autotune in 24K Magic may kill its chance in my opinion.
If it was up to the BRP Despacito would win, but because this is up to the +13,000 members, I’d say Despacito is much less likely to win. They aren’t really fond of Justin Bieber. He NEVER won in any category. His only win was a feature in Dance Recording category.December 8, 2017 at 7:23 am #1202433185
This years winners strictly depend on who country and rock fans vote for.
HUMBLE. and The Story of OJ will cancel each other out.
I don’t see Bruno winning. The song has faded.
Rock voters will most likely go with Gambino, since he has the most “real-intruments” sounding song. Country voters are, on the majority, white, and they’ll either pick Redbone or Despacito. They seem to be pretty hateful towards modernized country (FGL has never gotten a nomination, and they’re the most succesful country act this decade), so Redbone could seem like a reasonable pick. Again, “real instruments”.December 8, 2017 at 11:20 am #1202433427
The Grammys are very commercial now. “Redbone” needed to be a hit in order to win ROTY. Don’t underestimate “Despacito” and “HUMBLE.” I doubt Bruno Mars wins ROTY again so soon.December 8, 2017 at 4:26 pm #1202433526
Despacito will win.December 10, 2017 at 1:59 am #1202434714
Despacito is the biggest hit of the year so the chance of winning is pretty big but the thing is that this song is too lightweight and not a grammy worthy song. 24k Magic could win this category. The song is actually amazing but it’s not as big as That’s What I Like. Redbone is pretty good and could take this award but it’s not a really big hit like the other nominees except The Story of OJ. Now, The Story of OJ and Humble is the strongest nominees in this nomination but because of Charts and Sales are also counts to win this nomination, then HUMBLE is easily gonna win this nomination.
WILL WIN : Humble
SHOULD WIN : 24k Magic and Humble
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