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Very Early Grammys 2023 Predictions

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    TomJerry
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    Oct 4th, 2020
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    #1204611947

    Top sps debuts 2017: 1238k – REPUTATION – Taylor Swift
    603k – DAMN. – Kendrick Lamar (105% lead)

    2021: 839k – 30 by adele
    613k – certified lover boy by drake (37% lead)

    25’s greatest asset was its utter obliteration of everything in its path. But while 2017’s 2nd biggest album week is almost at the same level as 2021’s 2nd biggest album week, reputation did almost 50% better than 30 and scraped up 1 nomination altogether. I
    suppose we’ll see how many grammy voters are just diehard adele stans.

    Out of all Taylor’s albums. You could’ve easily chose RED 😭

    Nonsensical.

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    Munchi
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    May 24th, 2021
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    #1204612061

    Imagine Adele releasing a shorter remix of “To Be Loved” with Bruno Mars in the future, another Adult Contemporary ballad hitmaker. My world will stop.

    It’s not impossible, the last track they worked on together (All I Ask) was solid and very successful for an album track.

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    GrammyLoser
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    Nov 25th, 2021
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    #1204612066

    Poor Adele :/ only made 839k in a single week and will win more 6 awards next Grammy cycle.

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    Munchi
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    May 24th, 2021
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    #1204612210

    Top sps debuts 2017: 1238k – REPUTATION – Taylor Swift 603k – DAMN. – Kendrick Lamar (105% lead) 2021: 839k – 30 by adele 613k – certified lover boy by drake (37% lead) 25’s greatest asset was its utter obliteration of everything in its path. But while 2017’s 2nd biggest album week is almost at the same level as 2021’s 2nd biggest album week, reputation did almost 50% better than 30 and scraped up 1 nomination altogether. I suppose we’ll see how many grammy voters are just diehard adele stans.

    😂😂 In my little 5yrs career in data science, I’ve never seen this sort of data analysis/key performance indicator analysis.

    I believe to quantitatively compare the relative performance of 2 data points with accuracy, comparing against the overall average sales within each sample’s period is a more reasonable starting point.

    Runners up are the worst reference points in statistics, unless you can precisely show that the runners up (Kendrick and Drake) would perform exactly the same in a controlled environment (exact same situation). Clearly, Kendrick cannot pull Drake-level numbers. This maths is as bad as Billboard’s silly all-time chart where a song that topped the charts with little points due to absence of competition (Mood) can easily rank higher than a song that was mostly blocked by bigger hits despite having huge points (Bad Guy).

    Adele’s Chasing pavement won much bigger hits “I Kissed a Girl”, “So What”,  “Bleeding Love” in Pop Solo years before she began pulling numbers, a category typically won by very big hits. Not to mention winning BNA over Lady A, a much bigger artist in the US back then. The assumption that she probably only wins due to monster sales do not hold water.

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    Almond
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    Apr 27th, 2020
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    #1204612222

    Do y’all think Brandi’s album will still be in Americana Album or be moved to Pop Vocal Album?

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    PopGuy
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    Sep 27th, 2011
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    #1204612383

    Top sps debuts 2017: 1238k – REPUTATION – Taylor Swift
    603k – DAMN. – Kendrick Lamar (105% lead)

    2021: 839k – 30 by adele
    613k – certified lover boy by drake (37% lead)

    25’s greatest asset was its utter obliteration of everything in its path. But while 2017’s 2nd biggest album week is almost at the same level as 2021’s 2nd biggest album week, reputation did almost 50% better than 30 and scraped up 1 nomination altogether. I suppose we’ll see how many grammy voters are just diehard adele stans.

    30 will be showered with Grammys. Just stop, Tay and Adele are not comodable when it comes to the Grammys.

    FYC: Grammys 2022

    ALBUM: evermore, Montero, Planet Her, SOUR
    RECORD: Happier than Ever, Driver’s License, Leave the Door Open
    SONG: Driver’s License
    BNA: Olivia Rodrigo
    POP SOLO: Driver’s License
    POP ALBUM: SOUR
    POP DUO: Kiss me More
    MUSIC VIDEO: Montero, Good 4 U

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    jarg
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    Feb 18th, 2021
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    #1204613605

    <p style=”user-select: auto;”>30 will be showered with Grammys. Just stop, Tay and Adele are not comodable when it comes to the Grammys.

    that is unless beyonce releases something next year lmao, remember when she won the most awards in a grammy night with just one song, one music video, and a collaboration with megan?</p>

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    Ghost
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    Sep 27th, 2011
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    #1204613724

    Adele has a 83% success rate at the Grammys.

    Taylor has a 26% success rate at the Grammys.

    If we’re going to use stats/numbers, at least use the ones relevant to the Grammys.

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    ELIAS✨
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    Nov 29th, 2017
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    #1204614362

    I guess Arca dropped haha 

    2021: Promises ~ Floating Points & Pharaoh Sanders feat. The London Symphony Orchestra
    2020: After Hours ~ The Weeknd
    2019: Titanic Rising ~ Weyes Blood
    2018: Oil of Every Pearl’s Un-Insides ~ SOPHIE
    2017: Melodrama ~ Lorde
    2016: Blonde ~ Frank Ocean
    2015: To Pimp A Butterfly ~ Kendrick Lamar
    2014: To Be Kind ~ Swans
    2013: Random Access Memories ~ Daft Punk
    2012: The Money Store ~ Death Grips
    2011: Helplessness Blues ~ Fleet Foxes
    2010: My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy ~ Kanye West

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    jjjmoss
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    Jun 2nd, 2016
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    #1204614419

    Reputation might have outsold 30 but critics and reception wise, it was panned. 

    “Generally favorable reviews”
    Better reviewed than the previous year’s winner by bruno mars.

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    Anna Artdeco
    Joined:
    May 1st, 2021
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    #1204614508

    “Generally favorable reviews”
    Better reviewed than the previous year’s winner by bruno mars.

    Narratives are very important with the Grammys. Maybe it was “favourably reviewed” on Metacritic but it was considered a panned record and a step down for Taylor in 2017.

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    jarg
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    Feb 18th, 2021
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    #1204614721

    opinion : if they’re gonna decide to nominate so-called “tiktok music” next year, they better nominate jvke (listen to “this is what falling in love feels like”, it’s an awesome track with, SOME potential to get a grammy nom).

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    Cameron
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    Sep 11th, 2019
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    #1204615021

    Critical Reception does not effect the results of Grammys too. The most acclaimed album of a category could certainly lose to an album with lukewarm reception.

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    ELIAS✨
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    Nov 29th, 2017
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    #1204616639

    Kick iii is Arca’s magnum opus. Idk about the other two kicks but wowowowoowowow

    2021: Promises ~ Floating Points & Pharaoh Sanders feat. The London Symphony Orchestra
    2020: After Hours ~ The Weeknd
    2019: Titanic Rising ~ Weyes Blood
    2018: Oil of Every Pearl’s Un-Insides ~ SOPHIE
    2017: Melodrama ~ Lorde
    2016: Blonde ~ Frank Ocean
    2015: To Pimp A Butterfly ~ Kendrick Lamar
    2014: To Be Kind ~ Swans
    2013: Random Access Memories ~ Daft Punk
    2012: The Money Store ~ Death Grips
    2011: Helplessness Blues ~ Fleet Foxes
    2010: My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy ~ Kanye West

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    jarg
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    Feb 18th, 2021
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    #1204616828

    just a question : does anyone know if charli submitted “good ones” for the 2022 grammys instead of 2023? it was released in september 2nd, so idrk.

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